Actually, I think the NBA will push for a local buyer, but the owners will end up approving Hansen’s purchase.
I think there will be bidders to keep the team here. Let’s assume it Burkle.
The problem / issue is – how much over Burkle’s bad will Hansen go. Burkle could outspend Hansen, but he’d probably like to make some money or at least break even on the team at some point in the next 10 years. Whereas the Hansen group appears to be a crusade to bring a team back to Seattle. The Kings are the last team that could move soon, and the group doesn’t want to wait for the Bucks, Bobcats, or Hawks.
Expansion has been dangled, but it would need to be approved by the owners. There are a lot of owners that don’t want to slice up the national TV money any more.
In the end, I think the factors above cause the Hansen group to outbid the local buy and force the NBA’s Board of Governor’s hand with a bid that is 75 to 100 million over the top local bid.
At which point, its game over. I have no doubt that there will be many replies about – Stern owes us, the league is pissed at the Maloofs, they want to keep the team here, ect., ect. ect. Those are valid arguments, but you are missing the point or not being objective.
There is no way 20 NBA owners tell another owner – you have to leave 100 million on the table to keep the team in Sacramento. Even if they did, the Maloofs would have a great lawsuit against the league. We needed a sale over $375 million to make any profit. Hansen offered $450 million to buy the team. The NBA said we couldn’t take it and said they would only approve a sale for $350 to Burkle. Jury we are entitled to $100 million (and if they could get this to trial as an anti-trust case, the damages are trebled – 100 x 3 = $300 million.)
Plus, if they wait until next March, they aren’t taking on Stern. Do you think Silver is looking to take on a anti-trust lawsuit with 300 million in damages on the table in his first summer? When he can just fix the Seattle mess instead?
I think this ends up in a sale. If Hansen bids close to a local buyer, team says and we get a new arena in the rail yards. That would be awesome. If he blows the local buyer out of the water, it’s over.
PS - Larry Ellison trying to buy the Hornets is different because the league wasn’t going to try to sue itself. The Maloofs need somebody to bid over market to make any profit. Finally, Stern was able to persuade those other owners in the Ellison / other buyer situation, “Look. I made you a lot of money and your franchise appreciated under my watch. You need to do the right thing by me and other owners and leave a little money on the table. Don’t break the system you benefited from.” You think the Maloofs are buying that speech? Stern couldn’t get them to take the rail yard deal, and they marched across the street for the mother of all press conferences.