6 out of 10 years making the playoffs isn't that bad.
Yes but making the playoffs wasn't all that great of an accomplishment in the Eastern conference for most of those years. In 2004 his team was 10 games under .500 and still made the playoffs. That's historically bad. Do you think any team headlined by Paul Pierce and Antoine Walker would have cracked the top 8 in the west? Paul Pierce and Ricky Davis? And Jason Williams made the playoffs 7 out of 10 years in the same span anyway. 6 of those in the western conference.
It's not revisionist history, its a really interesting and pertinent "What if?"....IMO, its the most interesting and least talked about "What if" in Kings history.
Revisionist history is saying that Paul Pierce was just a scorer on a bad teams. He was a great player who dragged a bad team to the playoffs three times, then won a championship when he finally got help. He's very similar to Mitch Richmond actually, only a little better.
And in terms of how he would have fit...I'm sure it would have worked out fine. On defense Pierce can guard 2's and on offense he's a good shooter who's gets most of his points on post-ups and seal off cuts to the rim. In other words, he would have been perfect with Peja spreading the floor and Vlade and Webber feeding him down low.
Revisionist history is saying we passed on two Hall of Famers to pick an oft-injured journeyman PG. Because nobody would have made that comparison 8 years ago or even 5 years ago. That statement can only be made looking backwards at the careers of three different players who played on different teams. Now we can say that Paul Pierce is a hall-of-famer -- but what does that even mean? It means he put up good numbers for a long period of time. Without KG he goes down in history as another pretty good player who never made it to the finals and never won a ring. There's tons of those types of players in the NBA. If Peja stays healthy as long as Pierce did, he's got very similar credentials (excepting the 1 championship) and not that many people aroud here are arguing that Peja is a hall-of-famer. He might not even get his jersey retired. Go back in time to 2002, do you trade Peja for Pierce straight up? It's an obvious answer now, but not as obvious then. Some of you are going to say it was always obvious, but
that's revisionist history. Pierce may have had better career numbers at that point, but there's no guarantee he sustains them on a much better team in the western conference. Since we can't go back and change history, there's no way to know.
It is an interesting "what if" to imagine, I'll grant you that, but you act as if you've answered the question merely by asking it. Like "man, if we'd only drafted Dirk or Pierce we would have won a championship by now". Well, while we're at it -- what if Webber doesn't get injured? What if Bobby Hurley wears a seatbelt? What if Bonzi Wells didn't get greedy? What's the point? What if Jason Williams wasn't coached by Sidney Lowe, Hubie Brown and Mike Fratello? What if he wasn't exiled to the least visible place in NBA basketball right about the time his popularity should have been peaking? All sorts of things
could have happened. Once you start throwing out hypotheticals you have to admit that you depart from
actual reality very quickly and thus can't use any examples from
actual history (ie Pierce's stats as a Boston Celtic) to prove your point.
I think you rather dramatically underestimate how good Paul Pierce was/is -- he was always a Kobe class player (albeit lower end), always far more than just a scorer, and always out of Peja's league in Peja's best year.
I don't know that it's quite so obvious. Rebounding rate isn't that far off. Peja's shooting percentages are obviously much better. But Pierce takes more shots and gets more free throw attempts, so that helps to inflate his point totals. Pierce was a pretty good shot blocker in his first few years but that's fallen way off. And the only other distinguishing factor is the assists, which is of negligible importance I think considering that Peja played with some pretty good point guards and two of the best passing big men of all time while Pierce was basically given the ball and asked to create.
We could have a whole debate about which is a more valuable skill -- true shooting percentage or creating shot opportunities off the dribble. In fact, I think that debate is going to be on-going this season and beyond as it pertains to our new Martin/Tyreke backcourt. Without getting too far into it, basically I think that both skills are equally important in a team game, as a potential assist means nothing if the basket isn't made. I would go one step further and say that Peja's shooting touch made him a better fit for the team we had than Pierce would have been. Pierce wouldn't have spread the floor as well, wouldn't have converted open looks as well, and would have taken the ball out of the hands of Webber, Bibby, and Vlade. Or at least that
could have happened. Like I said, it's an open question. My point is simply that the answer is not so obvious.
You could also make a point about "clutch" factor perhaps (which is maybe what you meant with the Kobe comparison) but it's been statistically proven again and again that "clutch" shooting is a myth. The percentages even out over the course of the game and that last shot has the same chance of falling in as any other shot. What changes is the impression last-second shots make in our mind. We ascribe those shots more importance as the game is being decided in the fourth quarter and thus the myth of the "clutch" shooter is born. If you go back and look at anyone who you think is a clutch shooter, you'll find that they took more shots than other players, missed more shots than other players, and naturally also made more shots than other players. It's purely volume shooting. The more opportunities you have to make a last-second shot, the more you're going to make.
The numbers say Pierce is the better player, but that just goes back to what I said before. We're talking about real basketball here, not fantasy basketball. And in real basketball terms, Peja was just as good at his peak as Paul Pierce was at his. And Pierce's numbers aren't even that much better than Peja's anyway. He just sustained his peak level a lot longer.