since you've seen him play more than most of us, let me ask you this, how long has Bamba been playing basketball?
Well I've done as much research on the kid as I can, and it appears he's been playing basketball since he was a kid. Both his brothers played basketball in college. Very different from Willie Cauley-Stein for instance who didn't really start playing basketball until his sophmore year of highschool. Of course Bamba wasn't always 6'11" with that huge wingspan, and like a lot of big men who shot up quickly, he's probably still going through some adjustment to his height.
I don't want anyone to misunderstand me. I don't dislike Bamba, or think he's going to be a bust. I just don't like drafting him as high as seven. If we were picking at 10 or after, then I think he'd have more value. He's going to be a work in progress offensively, and he's going to struggle defending on the perimeter. In the NBA I think he'll get most of his points on alley oops and put backs. Eventually he should do well in the P&R, but it'll take a while. For some reason they don't run many P&R's in college, and as a result many big's don't have much experience defending it.
I don't like projecting a player, such as comparing him to Gobert. Every player is different, but sometimes that label sticks to a player for part, or all of his career, rightly or wrongly. Willie was compared early on to Tyson Chandler, and as a result, everyone thinks he should be the second coming of Tyson Chandler, and he's not. He's an entirely different player. There's no good or bad in that, just different. I think over time Bamba will leave his mark, and then some young player will be compared to him. Vicious cycle!
A comparison I would do is Bamba versus Jaren Jackson. Jackson is a far better player right now especially if you compare per 40 minutes. And I think the dropoff is significant at this stage of their careers. But the dropoff between Jackson and lets say Carter, isn't as great. I'm not talking about potential now, because you and I can envision whatever we want that potential to be. I'm talking about the current ability of each player. Right now, Mikal Bridges is a better player than Bamba, and he can impact a game in multiple ways. Five years from now, is very hard to project. I know what I would want to expect from Bamba, but he doesn't come with a guarantee.
He's a very bright kid, and from what I've read, a hard worker with desire, and I wouldn't bet against him. So he's going to take a while, and if your OK with that, then fine! But patience isn't a strong suit on this forum. My realistic expectations for Bamba long term would be someone that can protect the basket and grab rebounds. Maybe he can become a stretch five down the road. One of the things that was touted about Bamba was that he already had a 3 pt shot. And, one of the things that was criticized about Bagley, was his lack of a 3 pt shot. The actual results are interesting.
Bamba took just a tick over 50 threes last season and shot 27%. Bagley took just a tick over 50 three's and shot 39%. Ayton, who wasn't even brought up in the 3 pt discussion took even more three's and shot 35%. JJJ also had a good year in that dept shooting 39%, and the king of the three point shot among bigs was Carter who shot 41%. Now all those players circumstances were different and that has to be taken into consideration, but I think we can safely say, that Bamba has some work to do in that area.
If someone asked me who I thought was the safest player out of that group to bet on, I'd probably say Carter. Who of that group has the most upfront potential, Ayton. Who could end up being the best player out of that group 5 years from now, Jaren Jackson. Who is the most fun to watch out of that group, Bagley. But, Bamba could fool everyone and be something special in a few years. Or, they all could. Now that's committment!