Who do we get at the 5th and 6th picks?I just thought there is so much talk about the top 4 what about 5 and 6.
![]()
I agree with you guys this is a 5 player draft and Wes Johnson is one of them. My concern is while I see great potential in Johnson I also see a similar player that we already have that might be better in Donte Greene (especially with his growth).
My question is, say we get #5, Wes Johnson is still on the board.
Do we take Johnson and deal with the wing city or possibly trade Casspi/Greene
or trade #5 for a lower spot in the draft to pick another big that is either most NBA ready (Patterson or Udoh) or a defensive prospect (Whiteside)
Wesley Johnson's overrated. He's an average scorer in the NBA, at best, and in particular I'm really skeptical about his methods of scoring--he's not that good at getting to the line for an "athlete", and he takes more threes than expected for someone who doesn't shoot that well in it. Average passer. I think his real calling card in the NBA is his defense, but I'm not even sure that's a guarantee--he rebounds well for his size, and while he was a deflection master and good weakside shotblocker this year he wasn't either in years past. Overall his skill level to me doesn't put him in lottery contention--I know it's hard to confuse late bloomer with possible "fluke" season, but in cases like this for college I usually opt for the latter. Of course, Brandon Roy being the exception,
I don't know that late bloomer or fluke would apply since he put up 12pts 8rbs his freshman year and was considered one of the best of that Big 12 Class.
Wesley Johnson's overrated. He's an average scorer in the NBA, at best, and in particular I'm really skeptical about his methods of scoring--he's not that good at getting to the line for an "athlete", and he takes more threes than expected for someone who doesn't shoot that well in it. Average passer. I think his real calling card in the NBA is his defense, but I'm not even sure that's a guarantee--he rebounds well for his size, and while he was a deflection master and good weakside shotblocker this year he wasn't either in years past. Overall his skill level to me doesn't put him in lottery contention--I know it's hard to confuse late bloomer with possible "fluke" season, but in cases like this for college I usually opt for the latter. Of course, Brandon Roy being the exception, but the guy had latent dimensions all around in his first three years of college. Anyway, Johnson to me is a talent in the 20s range, at best. Mind you, I don't think he's an absolute bust, but that expectations need to be set accordingly--he's a role player, much like DeMar Derozan ended up being.
We've gotten into Aldrich already. Suffice to say I'm not terribly high on him (mostly because of his potential, or lack thereof) and many draftniks share the same reasoning.
Udoh's another overrated player to me. He's a player who won't make it to the league because of his offense (I think he'll be somewhere between poor and average here in the NBA). He doesn't touch the ball often, but moreover he's not efficient on offense, just being very raw (he doesn't even get to the line that well for an athlete). I'm not even highly convinced about his rebounding ability--it could be average in the league, and in particular, I think he's much more of an offensive rebounder than defensive. So because of that perceived fatal flaw, I'm not sure he can really become that defensive patroller in the league. But let's get into the pros--the reason why some are infatuated with him is largely because of his shotblocking ability. He has a slight wrinkle of passing ability to add to that, but that won't help his stock that much. The problem is, there's many poor defensive rebounders, bad offensive players and all-out shotblockers hanging in the fringes, and Udoh?--what makes that different? I sense another raw guy who might become a bust in the league. I think he's more of a late 20s talent, again--because I think it's more "fluke" season than late bloomer, as with Wesley Johnson.
Al-Farouq Aminu will be an average SF scorer in the NBA, but I believe he's more an inside playing type SF than an outside playing one. He's still finding his bearings here, but he gets to the line fairly well, but isn't a terribly effective foul shooter, and he won't be much of a three point shooter, if at all, at the next level. He's also a bit of a black hole offensively. What will immediately translate to the NBA is his superb rebounding ability--he's excellent at clearing the defensive glass, and also contributes on the offensive boards as well. He's a pretty good disruptor, in particular a good weakside shotblocker, so defensively may be where he truly makes his mark, although offensively he has okay, but not great, skills. He's definitely a role player but with nice defensive potential. Talentwise he'd fall as a mid-1st round pick to me, because his offense is such a mixed bag, but defensively he's got the goods.
You really don't want to be there. Aldrich, Monroe, Johnson, maybe Patterson.
I haven't seen Vesely play (he's Czech), but from just reading about him he has the adjectives that Kings management would like - plays hard, outside shooter, slasher, plays D, has potential inside with 6'11" frame. Sounds like a gamer, kind of like a longer Casspi. At the least, he's intriguing on paper.
I forgot about Udoh. He could have star potential. Would instantly improve Kings defense.
Aldrich - no chance to be a star; solid
Monroe - soft
Johnson - hasn't shown he can be a guy that can create his own shot
Patterson - solid competitor, but probably not star material
Aldrich or Udoh.
Johnson fits the mold but the big guy fit the need.
But we're going to get the #1 pick and create angst of a different kind.![]()
Wesley Johnson's overrated. He's an average scorer in the NBA, at best, and in particular I'm really skeptical about his methods of scoring--he's not that good at getting to the line for an "athlete", and he takes more threes than expected for someone who doesn't shoot that well in it. Average passer. I think his real calling card in the NBA is his defense, but I'm not even sure that's a guarantee--he rebounds well for his size, and while he was a deflection master and good weakside shotblocker this year he wasn't either in years past. Overall his skill level to me doesn't put him in lottery contention--I know it's hard to confuse late bloomer with possible "fluke" season, but in cases like this for college I usually opt for the latter. Of course, Brandon Roy being the exception, but the guy had latent dimensions all around in his first three years of college. Anyway, Johnson to me is a talent in the 20s range, at best. Mind you, I don't think he's an absolute bust, but that expectations need to be set accordingly--he's a role player, much like DeMar Derozan ended up being.
We've gotten into Aldrich already. Suffice to say I'm not terribly high on him (mostly because of his potential, or lack thereof) and many draftniks share the same reasoning.
Udoh's another overrated player to me. He's a player who won't make it to the league because of his offense (I think he'll be somewhere between poor and average here in the NBA). He doesn't touch the ball often, but moreover he's not efficient on offense, just being very raw (he doesn't even get to the line that well for an athlete). I'm not even highly convinced about his rebounding ability--it could be average in the league, and in particular, I think he's much more of an offensive rebounder than defensive. So because of that perceived fatal flaw, I'm not sure he can really become that defensive patroller in the league. But let's get into the pros--the reason why some are infatuated with him is largely because of his shotblocking ability. He has a slight wrinkle of passing ability to add to that, but that won't help his stock that much. The problem is, there's many poor defensive rebounders, bad offensive players and all-out shotblockers hanging in the fringes, and Udoh?--what makes that different? I sense another raw guy who might become a bust in the league. I think he's more of a late 20s talent, again--because I think it's more "fluke" season than late bloomer, as with Wesley Johnson.
Al-Farouq Aminu will be an average SF scorer in the NBA, but I believe he's more an inside playing type SF than an outside playing one. He's still finding his bearings here, but he gets to the line fairly well, but isn't a terribly effective foul shooter, and he won't be much of a three point shooter, if at all, at the next level. He's also a bit of a black hole offensively. What will immediately translate to the NBA is his superb rebounding ability--he's excellent at clearing the defensive glass, and also contributes on the offensive boards as well. He's a pretty good disruptor, in particular a good weakside shotblocker, so defensively may be where he truly makes his mark, although offensively he has okay, but not great, skills. He's definitely a role player but with nice defensive potential. Talentwise he'd fall as a mid-1st round pick to me, because his offense is such a mixed bag, but defensively he's got the goods.
^^^
My beef with players like Wesley Johnson and Ekpe Udoh is that I'm a bigger fan of seeing a player's overall body of work rather than sudden, exponential improvements.
I might be harsh on Johnson and Udoh for those reasons, but Johnson in particular has played 30+ minutes in his freshman year, and 25+ minutes his sophomore year--and he didn't impress me that much. What's probably a given in the NBA is that he's an average scorer, athletic, and pretty good rebounder and defender, which will definitely garner him a place in the NBA. The x-factor will definitely be his shooting--if he shoots well and can continue his surge here to the NBA, he can become that ultimate cog piece. If he doesn't, well...he's maybe another Dorell Wright (and I used to like Dorell Wright, a lot). I'm not really sure if he can sustain the shooting, but hey, I've been proven wrong many a time. I just like to make projections, and so far, just color me skeptical. Johnson will definitely have a role in the NBA as a role player in the worst, but as a 5th-6th pick is just where I have my doubts.
Udoh I'll readily admit that I could be wrong about. He's an active, athletic body out there, and that caters to the up-tempo NBA, and unlike other raw players of his ilk he's never really had problems of foul trouble and can decently pass the ball, so those wrinkles will only help him. Has some face-up game too. But between his nondescript seasons at Michigan and this sudden breakout at Baylor, where he did look impressive, I just wonder how well he can score in the NBA...I'm not sold he has a bread and butter besides getting offensive rebounds, dunks off feeds and such. But if he's blocking shots and patrolling the paint, that won't matter. We can certainly use a shotblocker like him, and as you said we'll have to see about his defensive rebounding at the next level. There's a lot of potential for sure, but after seeing so many years of these raw bigs I guess I've just gotten used to discarding them. My bad. I might do a full turn on this one.
P.S. I've done these sort of thumbnail reports over the past year, and I haven't always got them right. Looking over my past reports I've gotten Toney Douglas, Marcus Thornton, Darren Collison, and Wayne Ellington wrong, so don't always take my opinion for granted. But there's so many variables, such as playing time and trust, that could make a player look good.
What i REALLY DONT UNDERSTAND is how people can falsely critisize Udoh for not have an offensive game and then totally underplay Cole Aldrich's utter lack of offensive skill. Udoh does alot of nice things on the offensive end. He has a nice shot outside of 15 feet. He can put the ball on the floor. He has a better low post game than Aldrich. Udoh is also a pretty good passer. Aldrich is a robot with 2 moves and he cant shoot.
Well, what exactly soon to be 23-year old prospect Ekpe Udoh does on the offensive end at NBA level? Shooting? Well if you take out high percentage finishes is he really shooting that well with his .505 2pt-FG%(.685FT%)? Obviously he went a long way from .443 2pt-FG% and .589 FT% he shot as a sophomore but if you tell me something's wrong with Aldrich's shot, well, something is cause he was making .792 of his FTs as a sophomore(pretty decent indicator of shooting ability). Aldrich was moved away from the basket to free up space for Morris brothers so his bread and butter, finishes, dipped in numbers but he still shot .562 2pt-FG%(.598 as a sophomore). His jumpshot is not pretty but it has very high release point and mysteriously it goes in too often.What i REALLY DONT UNDERSTAND is how people can falsely critisize Udoh for not have an offensive game and then totally underplay Cole Aldrich's utter lack of offensive skill. Udoh does alot of nice things on the offensive end. He has a nice shot outside of 15 feet. He can put the ball on the floor. He has a better low post game than Aldrich. Udoh is also a pretty good passer. Aldrich is a robot with 2 moves and he cant shoot.