I believe Mobley, Cunningham, Suggs, Green, and Barnes will all be gone by the 9th pick. For me, that means at least one of these four guys will be available:
Jalen Johnson
Alperen Sengun
James Bouknight
Franz Wagner
Jonathan Kuminga
And I think that's the order I have them ranked as targets.
All of them have warts which is why they likely won't go top 5.
Johnson needs to improve his outside shooting, be more productive in the half court, and has some flexibility/lateral movement issues as well as concerns about his toughness and of course leaving Duke midseason.
Sengun has major questions about his actual height and wingspan. Is he big enough to play center against NBA bigs? If not, who does he guard at the 4? Also, can he develop a consistent outside shot to extend his effective range?
Bouknight currently offers very little as a secondary creator and has issues of tunnel vision and poor off ball defensive instincts. Can he become more than a microwave scorer? Will he be able to hit the three consistently in the NBA? Will he get eaten up on switches where he has to guard bigger wings?
Wagner needs to show that he can add the consistent 3 to be a 3&D guy. Ideally he'll rework his shot mechanics in the NBA to speed up his motion and be more consistent. He should also spend a lot of time working on driving and finishing with his left. Also, is he a three or a four? In today's NBA that only matters in terms of who you can guard. Is he quick enough to guard quicker wings and/or is he strong enough to handle bigger wings? Is he a high floor/low ceiling player?
Kuminga needs to show that he can play on either end of the floor. He was a poor shooter and was often out of position on defense. Right now is he anything more than a bet on upside?
On the other hand, each has significant strengths.
Johnson is a big playmaker which is one of the most valuable archetypes in today's NBA. His defense was a welcome suprise. He battled bigs like Kofi Cockburn and acquitted himself decently while also being able to guard most wings and provide good help defense. Workouts and interviews will probably be more key for him than anyone else on this list. If he shows well in both he could be a very good pick at #9.
Sengun put up huge numbers in a grown man's league on his way to MVP. His footwork is probably going to be top 5 in the NBA on day 1 and he's shown good playmaking and offensive rebounding as well. I was concerned about his defense until I realized that even if he starts at the 4, he'll likely be an improvement on offense AND defense from Bagley while offering significantly more toughness, better screens, and I think ultimately better outside shooting. His inside game is a nice compliment to Fox and Hali and if he is manning the five spot with two shooters on the wings that's not a bad offensive attack.
Bouknight is probably the second best three level scorer prospect in this draft after Jalen Green. His shot creation is fantastic and his hesitation is already elite. He's quick, sneaky athletic and gives a ton of effort on D. He's a poor fit with the current Kings roster, but if he's the pick you find a taker for Buddy and try to find enough minutes for Fox, Hali, and Bouknight.
Wagner is exactly what this Kings team needs on defense. And on offense he makes the right read and moves the ball or attacks quickly. He may not be a star but he's a guy that helps the team right away and fills a need. And maybe it's wishful thinking but some of the talk about Haliburton before the draft was that (a) his shot may not translate and (b) he may just be a high level role player. Well, if lightning struck twice you could have two very good fits next to Fox that outperform their draft slot.
Kuminga has elite physical tools and the potential to be a 2 way monster. He's also shown more playmaking than I thought he was capable of. But he's last on my list because while he may have the highest upside of the five I also think he has the highest bust potential and at this point the Kings can't afford to have another lottery pick not pan out. That said, I think his peak upside is as a bigger, slightly better Jaylen Brown which is the kind of player the Kings need. He's an enticing gamble, but I'd almost prefer if he was gone by #9 so McNair & co don't have that dilemma.
Of course if Barnes dropped I think the Kings have to grab him. But I don't see that. Suggs? Maybe, but I don't know that he gets past both of Orlando's picks or the Warriors at #7.
So that's my list.