Mock draft 2026

I don't know what to think about Boozer. He looks slow as molasses but he's putting up the second best Box Plus/Minus since they've been tracking the stat. Only second to Zion. Problem is it doesn't look to be the best tracker of whether a player is going to be good or not (list doesn't include this years players)

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I don't know what to think about Boozer. He looks slow as molasses but he's putting up the second best Box Plus/Minus since they've been tracking the stat. Only second to Zion. Problem is it doesn't look to be the best tracker of whether a player is going to be good or not (list doesn't include this years players)

View attachment 14686
Yeah, Boozer is so freaking hard to figure out because he’s producing big numbers and his game tape is legit but at the same time, the athleticism, burst, and positionality concerns are real. If those numbers bear out at the NBA level, he’s a freaking superstar but I think my big fear as a team potentially picking him somewhere in the top three is that the other guys on that tier/around it (AJ/Peterson/Caleb/Flemings) have a different level they can achieve at the next level whereas Cam just has a chance to end up being a solid player in the NBA.

Then again this was also the ‘debate’ during the Luka draft where everyone just sorta thought the lack of burst and athleticism would cap him at a certain level in the league but he then turned out to be European James Harden instead.
 
I don't know what to think about Boozer. He looks slow as molasses but he's putting up the second best Box Plus/Minus since they've been tracking the stat. Only second to Zion. Problem is it doesn't look to be the best tracker of whether a player is going to be good or not (list doesn't include this years players)

View attachment 14686

Big difference is Boozer (Like Zion/AD/Chet/Flagg), is he's doing this as an 18 year old freshman ripping through one of the harder college basketball schedules in the country.

Seniors: Thornwell, Edey, Kaminsky, Trayce, Valentine, Wright
Juniors: Oladipo, Clarke, Edey
Sophomore: Keegan, Clingan
Freshman: AD, Zion, Chet, Flagg

So I think the lesson here is that this list is pretty dang bullish if you're a freshman putting up these numbers.
 
Yeah, Boozer is so freaking hard to figure out because he’s producing big numbers and his game tape is legit but at the same time, the athleticism, burst, and positionality concerns are real. If those numbers bear out at the NBA level, he’s a freaking superstar but I think my big fear as a team potentially picking him somewhere in the top three is that the other guys on that tier/around it (AJ/Peterson/Caleb/Flemings) have a different level they can achieve at the next level whereas Cam just has a chance to end up being a solid player in the NBA.

Then again this was also the ‘debate’ during the Luka draft where everyone just sorta thought the lack of burst and athleticism would cap him at a certain level in the league but he then turned out to be European James Harden instead.

Booz I think answers the question (What if we gave the 2010 PF's a modern skill-set?)

His frame might be a true outlier to me. He's a physical beast at 18.. which presumably will only continue to get better as he ages into his 20's. He's pretty clearly a 4 and he's shown more than enough "wing" skills with his passing and shooting especially that he doesn't give any real tweener concerns. Especially since only a handful of teams run 2 bigs, he's a nightly match-up concern for opposing teams if they try and put a wing on him.

He's kind of like a hybrid Al Horford/Julius Randle with the shooting/passing/IQ/bully ball, but not being an overwhelming athlete.
 
I've come up with a Cam Boozer comparison, someone tell me if I'm hot, warm or cold on this one. Elton Brand?

College recruitment doesn't lie and Duke has types. Brand was a little more shotblocking wise but slowish, strong, and skilled. Somewhere between him and Domas IMO. Brand was a better above the rim finisher early on. All in all Duke bigs usually fall into the same category. The physical ones or the wing/skilled ones. Boozer is somewhere between his dad/Brand/ and the typical Duke wings. He's probably what they hoped Bagley would be when he was clearly not going to be able to skate the line guard skill wise like Banchero can. Bagley was stuck in between those Barrett types and the bigs in terms of mentality. He wasn't strong like the bigs and wasn't skilled like the wings.
 
Yeah, Boozer is so freaking hard to figure out because he’s producing big numbers and his game tape is legit but at the same time, the athleticism, burst, and positionality concerns are real. If those numbers bear out at the NBA level, he’s a freaking superstar but I think my big fear as a team potentially picking him somewhere in the top three is that the other guys on that tier/around it (AJ/Peterson/Caleb/Flemings) have a different level they can achieve at the next level whereas Cam just has a chance to end up being a solid player in the NBA.

Then again this was also the ‘debate’ during the Luka draft where everyone just sorta thought the lack of burst and athleticism would cap him at a certain level in the league but he then turned out to be European James Harden instead.

Yep Luka is the first guy I thought of too.

Big difference is Boozer (Like Zion/AD/Chet/Flagg), is he's doing this as an 18 year old freshman ripping through one of the harder college basketball schedules in the country.

Seniors: Thornwell, Edey, Kaminsky, Trayce, Valentine, Wright
Juniors: Oladipo, Clarke, Edey
Sophomore: Keegan, Clingan
Freshman: AD, Zion, Chet, Flagg

So I think the lesson here is that this list is pretty dang bullish if you're a freshman putting up these numbers.

Great point there.
 
The problem with the Luka comparison for Cam is he is nowhere near as fluid an athlete (which is saying something) and can't create for himself off the dribble which Luka is elite at. Cam could be a great player but I can't shake a bad feeling about him due to the way he largely dominates due to his strength. He is skilled, don't get me wrong. But I can't see a lot of his inside bully ball working at the next level. He is extremely strong and will be at the next level, but his lack of footspeed and athleticism will limit his upside as a true number 1. Banchero is probably a better comparison if you think he can be a wing, but even then Banchero is a better athlete with more ability to create off the dribble.

He is very hard to evaluate for me. Undoubtedly dominant at the college level, but it gets muddier when he is not bigger and stronger than everyone at the next level. I would much rather come away with AJ, Petersen or Wilson. I know the latter may never be a true 1 either, but he can be a defensive anchor while still having all-star level ability on offense. There is a lot of talent there to develop.
 
If we don’t get top3, I think we have to get Fleming. He is amazing.
Just watched the last 10 mins of the Texas Tech Houston game. Fleming’s is amazing. Has a ton of Maxey in his game, and quick like Fox but with a reliable jump shot. He also seems really coachable. Made a mistake at the end, Sampson had some words for him, even though he scored 42 at that point, and just nodded. He would be top 3 any other draft.
 
Given that we’ve seen the market for guards absolutely crater over the last year, you absolutely do take Wilson over Fleming

I'm at the point with this top 5, that I honestly don't really care. I think AJ and Peterson are still some combo of 1-2, but you could take Booz/Wilson/Flemmings at 3 and I see every case and argument for it as valid. Especially with where we're at in our rebuild development (we don't have like a Cooper Flagg, Harper, Kon, sort of rookie prospect/foundational piece to think about pairing, that we're so wide open with the team build. We need everything
 
Given that we’ve seen the market for guards absolutely crater over the last year, you absolutely do take Wilson over Fleming
It’s really a tough call. I think wilson has a lot more offensive game than people think. He doesn’t look unnatural out there with the ball in his hand, but the offense at UNC I don’t think shows what he’s truly capable of. Trying to think of who he reminds me of, maybe a slightly smaller Mobley.

there’s definitely a ton of big guards coming out every year, but Fleming has special playmaking ability. This is definitely a tough one and maybe you make a call based on what you see as the ceiling for Wilson’s offensive game
 
If we can get another 1st this draft, we need to take a hard look at Wagler. 6’6 point forward for Illinois. 46 pts today but ran the offense like a pro
yeah the point guard depth in this class is crazy. There’s going to be a Stirtz or Philon who somehow manages to slip to the 20s in the draft and accidentally changes the trajectory of a franchise
 
It’s really a tough call. I think wilson has a lot more offensive game than people think. He doesn’t look unnatural out there with the ball in his hand, but the offense at UNC I don’t think shows what he’s truly capable of. Trying to think of who he reminds me of, maybe a slightly smaller Mobley.

there’s definitely a ton of big guards coming out every year, but Fleming has special playmaking ability. This is definitely a tough one and maybe you make a call based on what you see as the ceiling for Wilson’s offensive game

Yeah it's tough to say. Scoring guards are much easier to find than Wilson's archetype (Mobley, Thompson twins etc), but Flemings has playmaking skills and defensive skills on top of his scoring skills. I think the fact that he could be a legit two way #1 option probably causes me to lean more his way than Wilson's. We'll have to see how they finish the year.
 
Yeah it's tough to say. Scoring guards are much easier to find than Wilson's archetype (Mobley, Thompson twins etc), but Flemings has playmaking skills and defensive skills on top of his scoring skills. I think the fact that he could be a legit two way #1 option probably causes me to lean more his way than Wilson's. We'll have to see how they finish the year.
Just watching Fleming, you can tell he’s an alpha. When you’re that dude and know it and play for Kelvin Sampson, you just know he’ll be an all star at the next level.

Wilson is impressive but when he doesn’t get as many offensive touches, it’s hard to judge. We can’t afford it if he’s more like Ausar than Amen. We don’t have anyone like Cade and Duran to carry the team and wait for him to develop
 
Yeah it's tough to say. Scoring guards are much easier to find than Wilson's archetype (Mobley, Thompson twins etc), but Flemings has playmaking skills and defensive skills on top of his scoring skills. I think the fact that he could be a legit two way #1 option probably causes me to lean more his way than Wilson's. We'll have to see how they finish the year.

Everyone talks about Wilson’s defense do we have stats to prove this
 
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