Is Griffin really a "no-brainer" No.1 pick?

[KingNoy]

Just as the subject says, is Griffin really a no-brainer pick if the Kings get the No.1 draft pick? I was having a conversation with some friends, and they say that Griffin would impede the development of Thompson/Hawes and that we should go for a good PG like Rubio. They also say that if we were going to go big then we'd be better off with someone like Thabeet who would offer more of a defensive presence.

IMHO, I think it'd be stupid to pass up on someone like Griffin who has so much star potential. Not only would he be a great NBA player, but the media hype around him would make Sacramento relevant again. I think Sac could really use someone with his heart and toughness, both of which the team really lacks.

Opinions?

 

[=LarryLegend=]

I like the idea of Ricky Rubio if he comes out over Griffin, and I like Griffin.

It also depends Griffins height. If Ricky doesnt comeout. I am fine with Griffin/Mills combo. That would be the 2nd best day of my life.

 

[SacKings7]

In this draft, yes he is. If he had to come out last year he would've been top 10, but last year's draft was much stronger

 

[fnordius]

Unless Rubio enters this year's draft, which is still doubtful, anyone not taking Griffin at #1 will have their sanity questioned. Whether he deserves that, only time will tell -- he might, as many #1s have, or he might be the next "most regrettable draft pick" candidate. Geoff has sometimes done unpredictable things in the draft, but he's never had a really early pick before, so it wouldn't be possible to guess based on past performance.

But the odds don't favor our getting the #1 pick, so I wouldn't lose any sleep over it.

 

[SacKings7]

^Actually the odds DO favor us getting the #1, if we stay in last of course. But I know what you mean, with the history n all. But I'd still rather have the most chances of getting #1 overall, especially if Rubio declares because our % for getting a top 2 would be very high.

 

[fnordius]

^Actually the odds DO favor us getting the #1, if we stay in last of course. But I know what you mean, with the history n all. But I'd still rather have the most chances of getting #1 overall, especially if Rubio declares because our % for getting a top 2 would be very high.

To clarify: if the FO has the wisdom to keep us in #1, which is uncertain, we will have a 25% chance of the #1 pick. That may be better chances than anyone else would have, but it's still only halfway to a 50-50 chance. For me to say that the odds favored our getting the #1 pick, both of those things (probable last place finish, at least 50% chance) would have to be true.

As things stand right now, we seem likely to finish 2nd, +/- 1 spot. Maybe a 45% chance of getting a top-2 pick, unless we blow it badly. That's enough to make me happy, but not enough to make me jump to any conclusions.

 

[bajaden]

To clarify: if the FO has the wisdom to keep us in #1, which is uncertain, we will have a 25% chance of the #1 pick. That may be better chances than anyone else would have, but it's still only halfway to a 50-50 chance. For me to say that the odds favored our getting the #1 pick, both of those things (probable last place finish, at least 50% chance) would have to be true.

As things stand right now, we seem likely to finish 2nd, +/- 1 spot. Maybe a 45% chance of getting a top-2 pick, unless we blow it badly. That's enough to make me happy, but not enough to make me jump to any conclusions.

Huh?

 

[VF21]

I'm closing this thread because it's already being thoroughly discussed in at least three other threads in this forum...

http://www.kingsfans.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31093

http://www.kingsfans.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31246

http://www.kingsfans.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29276

The third one is the incredibly long thread about the #1 pick that's gone on since the beginning of the season, but the other two are pretty good at discussing Griffin's strengths and weaknesses, how he'd relate to the Kings, etc.