How would you feel if we sign Kuzma

How would you feel if we sign Kuzma?


  • Total voters
    33
#31
So I wanted to look at how Kuzma’s stat profile changed when he was on the floor with both Beal & Porzingis (making him a 3rd option) vs. when he was a 1st or 2nd options. These are the per36 stats I found:

1st or 2nd Option (1,449 MIN)
USG% = 0.293
TS% = 0.541
FG% = 0.449
2P% = 0.529
3P% = 0.328
FT% = 0.723
FGA = 19.8
2PA = 11.9
3PA = 7.9
FTA = 4.3
PTS = 23.4
REB = 7.2
OREB = 0.7
DREB = 6.5
AST = 4.0
TO = 3.4
AST:TO = 1.2
STL = 0.6
BLK = 0.4

3rd Option (711 MIN)
USG% = 0.229
TS% = 0.575
FG% = 0.467
2P% = 0.562
3P% = 0.357
FT% = 0.763
FGA = 15.3
2PA = 8.2
3PA = 7.1
FTA = 3.0
PTS = 19.1
REB = 7.8
OREB = 1.2
DREB = 6.6
AST = 3.4
TO = 2.3
AST:TO = 1.5
STL = 0.5
BLK = 0.6


Looking at some On/Off numbers as well, the Wizards had a net rating of +3.6 when Beal, Porzingis, & Kuzma were on the floor (119.4 ORTG and 115.8 DRTG) which would be 5th compared to other team net ratings. We had the best ORTG this year at 118.6 but a 115.8 DRTG would have ranked 22nd. Defense is larger than Kuzma obviously but it's promising to see a very high ORTG with Kuzma as the 3rd option. It suggests that his efficiency concerns may not be dragging an offense down when he's in a secondary role.

What's also interesting is the Wizards net rating when Kuzma is either a 1st or 2nd option. The net rating drops to -3.1 (113.3 ORTG and 116.4 DRTG). Makes sense that we see a huge drop in ORTG here considering we all recognize that he's not a #1/#2 option. Also, it's important to note that only 32.8% of his minutes this year came with both Beal and Porzingis on the floor so he was very often forced to be in that #1/#2 role for a large majority of his playing time. Maybe with guys like Monk, Huerter, & Murray, the Kings can afford to keep Kuzma more in a 3rd/4th role keeping those efficiencies higher.

Having said all of this, I still don't like the signing but thought I'd share these splits as I thought it was another data point for us to consider.
Interesting, thanks for sharing. Marginal bump, and when you consider the actual productivity drops as evidenced by his time with the Lakers that's something else to consider.