I know. I’ve read/heard this same argument a couple times now. That if the Warriors go small, Domas will be in trouble trying to guard someone out on the perimeter. Which is certainly partially true.
However, if that someone is Draymond Green, bring it on.
Sure, Domas might get caught on switches or screen and roll or whatever and end up on Curry, Klay or Poole. But guess what naysayers? The reverse is also true.
When the Warriors go small, who is going to slow Domas in the post? Who is going to battle him for rebounds on both ends??
I’ve said this a million times. I’ll gladly take 65%+ of 2 point FG’s over 38-43% of threes. I’ll win. And get your team in more foul trouble than you’ll get mine.
Domas shot 61.5% from the field this season and 63.9% inside the arc. You consistently guard him with smaller, weaker players logic dictates he’ll shoot a higher percentage than that. So long as the Coach Brown and the KINGS focus on exploiting it.
If Domas shoots 65% plus on two point baskets, that’s 13 points for every 10 shots. That’s not including any fouls or free throws he might get on top of that.
The Warriors would have to shoot at least 43.4% from three in order to outscore the pace Domas sets. They’d have to shoot even better than that if Domas is drawing the occassional foul and/or 3 point ”and 1”.
I’d gladly take my chances with that math.
A popular take is "3 points is better than 2". People hear that and it makes sense from a one-dimensional standpoint. But when you add variables such as volume and percentage -- it's not so clear cut.
I'd take Shaq in his prime shooting 70%+ against smaller, overmatched defenders over any team needing to shoot at least 46.7% from 3 in order to keep pace with that.