Big Cuz 15
All-Star
if the dubs win it all this year? i know it's premature since they haven't won it all but with the defending champs outta the picture..
We should therefore cheer like hell for the Grizzlies.
Are you implying that getting a historically great 3 point shooter with good handles and high BBIQ with an MVP on the way would be a bad thing?
I think there are two types of players we should be looking for in this draft: a front court player with good size who is a great defender and rebounder, or a SG who can shoot the lights, facilitate the offense, and play solid D.
Getting one would be great. Spending essentially 3 consecutive picks in hopes of finding one to no avail ... not so much.
I've been trying to convince my brother to get off the Warriors bandwagon, since it is mortal danger to the Kings and their starry-eyed owner, Vivek.We should therefore cheer like hell for the Grizzlies.
These are nowhere near close to be projected as "Curries". Curry hit .412 of his 1004 attempts from 3 and .876 of 547 FT attempts. You knew, he was an elite shooter coming into the league. These guys might be good shooters, which ends the comparison instantly. These guys are not ready to get minutes on a PO team in the next couple of seasons for the reasons, you mentioned towards the end of your post. Right off the top of my head I don't see, how Payne becomes better, than what DC is right now, and Kings got Darren for under MLE money. If Payne develops properly, Kings can get him at MLE+$1 million in 4 years.This is the exact reason why I believe this team needs a better PG. Times are changing and this is becoming a PG's league. PGs are the most dominant position in basketball. I still do not know why some people, specifically on this board believe that you should take a big man 9/10 in a striving guard league. It's much more easier to build around a PG than it is a C.
Here are the scoring guards no one is talking about in this draft:
- Cameron Payne 6'2 180lbs Point guard(Maybe Curry)
20pts 6asts 3.8rebs 1.8 stls 2.6tosHanlan is a very good scorer. He shows nice ability to hit his mid range jumpers and shows that he can extend his game out to the 3pt line, although he doesn't live on it. He does a very good job at attacking and finishing at the rim. However, he's not the best at creating. His playmaking skills need to improve.
- 50% from 2pt
- 37% from 3pt
- 78% from ft
- 44% in paint
2. Oliver Hanlan 6'4 188lbs Combo guard(Maybe Curry)
19.5pts 4.2asts 4.2rebs 1.3stls 2.7tos
Those are your Curries. Very good scoring guards that show potential to assists.
- 51% from 2pt
- 35% from 3pt
- 76% from ft
- 68% at the rim
Payne is another good scoring guard. Shows ability to hit shots on the floor. However, he struggles a bit to finish in the paint. He needs to put on weight because his size limits him against bigs defending the rim. His inside game is a - for him. On the other hand, he's a very good passer. He's always looking to get his teammates involved and has a good feel as a PG.
Of those two, Hanlan is the better scorer, but Payne is the better passer.
These are nowhere near close to be projected as "Curries". Curry hit .412 of his 1004 attempts from 3 and .876 of 547 FT attempts. You knew, he was an elite shooter coming into the league. These guys might be good shooters, which ends the comparison instantly. These guys are not ready to get minutes on a PO team in the next couple of seasons for the reasons, you mentioned towards the end of your post. Right off the top of my head I don't see, how Payne becomes better, than what DC is right now, and Kings got Darren for under MLE money. If Payne develops properly, Kings can get him at MLE+$1 million in 4 years.
As for current splash brothers Clippers played them pretty tight with two late season close losses coming without Jamal Crawford, who was surprisingly their most effective player in two earlier contests, plus Clippers were much better defensively vs Spurs than in RS. To be fair though one of 2 March games was close in big part, because Draymond missed the game, and Blake went off on poor David Lee for 40 points. Warriors are still the favorites in potential WCF matchup vs Clips, but it will be pretty close. Grizzlies OTOH will have to elevate from physical and tough to dirty and ugly to have a chance though. Doubt it doesn't end in 5 games.
If there was a real Curry in this draft, they'd be drafted in the top 5. These guys are late 1st-2nd round picks. Nowhere near polished as Curry, but they're both scoring guards with potential.These are nowhere near close to be projected as "Curries". Curry hit .412 of his 1004 attempts from 3 and .876 of 547 FT attempts. You knew, he was an elite shooter coming into the league. These guys might be good shooters, which ends the comparison instantly. These guys are not ready to get minutes on a PO team in the next couple of seasons for the reasons, you mentioned towards the end of your post. Right off the top of my head I don't see, how Payne becomes better, than what DC is right now, and Kings got Darren for under MLE money. If Payne develops properly, Kings can get him at MLE+$1 million in 4 years.
As for current splash brothers Clippers played them pretty tight with two late season close losses coming without Jamal Crawford, who was surprisingly their most effective player in two earlier contests, plus Clippers were much better defensively vs Spurs than in RS. To be fair though one of 2 March games was close in big part, because Draymond missed the game, and Blake went off on poor David Lee for 40 points. Warriors are still the favorites in potential WCF matchup vs Clips, but it will be pretty close. Grizzlies OTOH will have to elevate from physical and tough to dirty and ugly to have a chance though. Doubt it doesn't end in 5 games.
No, the most ridiculous part is trying to find a comp player in college. Everytime someone predicts a prospect to be a certain type of player, it almost never happens.Agreed all around. Around draft time I think everyone starts over valuing guys coming out and undervaluing players already in the league. I can understand it - guys in the draft are all shiny and new and every one of them is compared to several currently established players or even all-stars or hall of famers. All of which helps people forget that half of them won't make any sort of impact in the NBA and at least one or two of the guys taken top 5 will be complete busts.
Curry scored 31 points a game as a senior when defenses keyed ONLY on stopping him. 31 ppg despite that absolutely ridiculous Loyola game where he was held scoreless. How many other players in NBA history can say they were double and triple teamed every possession even without the ball?
If the Kings traded for a 2nd rounder I'd love to take a flyer on Hanlan as I think you want a scorer off the bench behind Collison.
I don't think it should change anything for Kings, since, I believe, you misunderstand, what "that way" means. There are 3 major factors in going all the way:If the warriors win the title it proves you can win that way, can't really deny it at that point.
doesn't look like the Grizz could stay with them in game 1, don't see them losing the series, don't see the clippers beating them either, no one from the East will be able to do anything against them.
Redo the 2009 draft and Curry goes #1 overall followed by Harden and Blake Griffin. He would not fall out of the top 3.Curry didn't "fall" in the draft. He was drafted just about where everyone predicted he would be picked or if anything, taken a spot or two higher.
Steph Curry was among the best scorers (if not the best) and was absolutely the best shooter in college basketball. And he'd get more spacing and better looks in the NBA. But considering he only played PG his final season at Davidson and was not a great athlete the questions were whether he could play the point full time or if he'd be an undersized SG without the quickness to make up for it.
But him doubling his assists his junior year assuaged some concerns. Curry's floor was a Steve Kerr type player. He was actually a pretty safe pick as a junior with tons of tape. I just don't think people (including me) realized how high his ceiling could be.
I don't think it should change anything for Kings, since, I believe, you misunderstand, what "that way" means. There are 3 major factors in going all the way:
1. Team must have a top-10 offense.
2. Team must have a top-10 defense. Note, that a team can survive not having top10 offensive efficiency during RS with subsequent improvement in POs. Not having top10 defense dooms you from the start.
3. Must have someone able to score in crunch time, or at least someone demanding so much attention, his teammate can sneak in a crunch time shot. I believe, in previous 24 years one of just five players was featured on one of competitors for the title.
Warriors defy only rule 3, while acing first two (late season push by Clippers moved them to #2 in offensive efficiency, but Dubs were likely slacking late in the season).
Rule 3 was always a symbol of the fact, that you generally must have someone attacking the basket, when jumpshots stop falling. When talk about a jumpshooting team failing at POs starts, people often turn to 2011 Mavs, and then go for Spurs 2010s. Well, Dirk wasn't exactly hoisting long-range shots in bunches, and surprisingly not even Heat were able to shut down Barea's penetration, while Spurs still had Parker to get inside and for stretches Timmy would bring back the past. In this sense, yes, Warriors would be the first to win as strictly a jumpshooting team. Always helps to have likely best shooting duo in history, that is at least average defensively.
Still if Warriors go all the way, they do it on the strength of their defense as well. Warriors managed to surround their two shooters/non-liabilities defensively with defenders, ranging from good to pushing for league-best. Combing through the list of their PO contributors, only Speights can be characterized as below average defender. Their backup C is a strong, long dude with some mobility and barely any skill. They got lucky many times during team building: star forward turned out to be unselfish and humble, accepting low usage role off the bench; former star center, who couldn't stay on the floor for a long time, manages to fix his ankles (also happens to be a perfect match to a pair of jumpshooters due to defensive and passing ability); former college star center, disciple of arguably the best teacher of defensive fundamentals, manages to trim down and develop a reliable outside shot, effectively moving his passing game and defensive ability to PF spot.
Still turning back to a team, that features Demarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay, what Warriors' example would show us?
Here, I would imagine, we go rather different ways in our thought process. My main take away is let's go for defensive role players, who don't get in a way of main guys. My definition would include guys, who can only effectively shoot from corners among wings, or quickly cut to the basket for swift finishes inside for big guys.
This conversation will also inevitably turn to a discussion of "pace and space" and "pushing the ball".
Concept #1. Anyone arguing against second part of this mantra have problems understanding, how NBA offense works these days. Note that Brick, who is unconditionally for "bully ball" advocates for throwing a baby with water (Ben obviously being a baby) to get bit better spacing as early as possible. Second part is trickier: given that your main player will never be mistaken for a track&field athlete unconditional "run, run, run" just doesn't make sense. What would the conditions be then? Don't jeopardize defense and rebounding, while passing on low percentage shots, unless they are at the end of the shot clock:
Wanna push the ball after a made basket? - Good.
Wanna gamble for a steal to get two more easy points? - Bad.
Leaking out from strong side, even before the ball is secured? Ok.
Leaking out from weak side instead of crashing towards the basket? Bad.
Taking an early 3 after path to the basket was cut off in transition, while being 35% shooter from outside - coach told to seek early opportunities, right? Really bad.
Defend without much gambling; secure the ball; push it in transition, looking for a high percentage shot early; otherwise wait for Demarcus - this should be modus operandi for Kings.
Lost in some of this is it's incredibly rare to luck into a guy like Curry, or a Nash. You can't just say I'm going to draft the next Curry. There's so much which goes into a player's success from training habits to mentality to confidence. What was the difference between TMac/Vince and Kobe? It was mostly mentality, training habits, supreme confidence and a cutthroat mentality. Put Kobe's brain into TMac's or Vince's body and they'd have likely been a fair amount better. And put TMac's brain into Kobe's body and Kobe doesn't have 5 rings.
It's also rare to luck into a guy like Cuz. When you do, you celebrate what you came across and acquired and find a way to develop and use that player most effectively. That's the worst part of this addiction to GS, you can't simply go out and replicate it. There is one Steph Curry. As we've seen, what's more likely is to end up with Jimmer Fredette.
Any blueprint which says I'm going to draft the next Curry or the next Dirk or the next Durant or the next Lebron is foolish. If we had Curry, we'd love him. It'd be great. Absolutely phenomenal player. Yet we don't and we won't. Attempting to replicate a poor-man's version is an exercise in futility. Enjoy Curry for what he is as an NBA fan. Enjoy what we have in Cuz for what he is as an NBA fan and Kings fan. Both are rare players. No one around the league can say I'm going to draft the next DeMarcus Cousins either. Doesn't work that way.
Sunk costs. Nik and Ben still have potential but neither look like future all-stars. I don't really have faith in how this FO has drafted but there's absolutely nothing with drafting another SG, seeing as it's still a huge need for this team.
BPA, all day every day.
I mean if you're solely looking for a Curry in the draft then you've already lost because you can't find another Curry.So what's your method of evaluating prospects then?