From Vegas Insider:
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The Warriors appeared to have Sacramento on the ropes in the aftermath of their gutsy Game 5 victory at Golden 1 Arena, as many bettors previously doubted their ability to steal a win on the road in this series, but to the surprise of the Golden State’ doubters, the Warriors played pretty well on the road in Game 5, aside from Steph Curry knocking down just 2-of-10 three-point attempts in the contest, and all of a sudden, even their most rigid skeptics seemed to have little-to-no doubt as to whether Golden State would close out the series at home in Game 6.
However, in a rather stunning turn of events, the Warriors shot just 37% FG and 31% 3P in an ugly 118-99 home loss in Game 6. So, now we’re right back to where we started prior to Game 5 with the Warriors hitting the road for Sacramento in desperate need of a win, but it’s almost impossible to trust them because they’ve been garbage on the road all year.
The Warriors posted a miserable record of 10-31 on the road during the regular season, while ranking 23rd in the league in net rating in those contests. On the other side of that same coin, though, the Warriors are a completely different team on their homefloor, and their discrepancy in performance based on game location was on full display in Games 3 and 4 as Golden State erupted for 120 PPG on 45% FG and 36% 3P in back-to-back home wins to even the series, which is why we saw them tagged as relatively hefty favorites at home in Game 6.
Golden State really dropped the ball in Game 6, though, and quite frankly, if the Warriors were ever going to make it out of this series alive, they probably needed to win it then and there, because this team’s struggles away from home tend to be far more pressing than they have been throughout this series, and it’s bound to catch up with them at some point.
Back in Game 5, the Warriors needed every ounce of 20-point performances by Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green in order to secure their first victory of this series on the road, and they managed to do it on a combined 60% shooting. If Steph Curry happens to receive a similar amount of help from his supporting cast again in Game 7, the Warriors could easily steal another one on Sunday afternoon, but given their horrendous records of 12-32 and 12-30-1 on the road this year, I’m willing to bet that he won’t. Take Sacramento in Game 7.
Score Prediction: Kings 116, Warriors 109
Best Bet: Kings ML (-105)
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I dont know if I agree with this completely - from the last 2 games, you can state, home court is not as big a deal as made out to be here.
As Sactowndog I think went over, Kings need energy, but need to be careful about turnovers getting too amped. The energy needs to come during defense especially. Very costly late turnovers in game 5 which prevented ability for chance to come back. Worred about a repeat of Game 5. -> Tomorrow Red Velvet coming back to grace the home-floor would be a bigtime insurance if Fox or Monk falter.