Rick's good at failing...
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VF21 said:
We can second-guess what Adelman and the team did forever, and it will never change the results of the games.
Wudda, shudda, cudda just is an exercise in futility at this point. It's what TDOS is for, IMHO.
But, having said that, I would NOT have had Kenny on the floor at that moment in time.
Wudda, shudda, cudda just is an exercise in futility at this point. It's what TDOS is for, IMHO.
But, having said that, I would NOT have had Kenny on the floor at that moment in time.
How about letting them earn none with some decent defense (or at least take a 2-pt attempt). You have a better chance to have them miss a 2-pt shot (about 50-55% for a 45-50% shooter from the field) than miss both free throws (for an 80% shooter that's 1-.8*.8=.36 or 36%).
Then you get the ball back still up 3 instead of 1-2, as long as everyone sticks to the 3-pt shooters.
Then you get the ball back still up 3 instead of 1-2, as long as everyone sticks to the 3-pt shooters.
Thank you Slim.
This is often lost in today's overanalyzed and overexposed basketball: When you're up by 3 with seconds to go, you don't stop the clock! You have to assume that the "other guys" will make free throws. Why give them an opportunity to close out the lead and then if you misss your free throws give them a chance to tie or win?
That whole "You're up three with seconds to go - why don;t you foul..." schtick is something that makes for good banter for talking heads on BSPN but has anyone ever actually won a game like that? I didn't think so...
This is often lost in today's overanalyzed and overexposed basketball: When you're up by 3 with seconds to go, you don't stop the clock! You have to assume that the "other guys" will make free throws. Why give them an opportunity to close out the lead and then if you misss your free throws give them a chance to tie or win?
That whole "You're up three with seconds to go - why don;t you foul..." schtick is something that makes for good banter for talking heads on BSPN but has anyone ever actually won a game like that? I didn't think so...
Fourteen seconds left! Here's an all-too-probable scenario when fouling:
0:14- ball is inbounded by Spurs
0:13- we foul and put someone on the line
0:13- they make both FTs, pull within 1 point. We inbound.
0:11- They foul us. We hit 2 FTs and reestablish a 3pt lead.
0:10- We foul them again. They hit 2 FTs, pull within 1 again.
0:08- They foul us. We hit 1 of 2.
0:08- They have the ball down by 2. We've only run 6 seconds off the clock and now we still have to play honest defense, except a two sends us to OT and a 3 beats us. Notice we actually hit a decent 3 out of 4 FTs here. But they probably make 4 of 4 with Barry, Ginobili, & Parker shooting well. Heck, even Duncan was nailing them from the line. And of course, if we shoot worse than 3 of 4 we leave ourselves wide open to actually lose in regulation. No thanks.
But hey, that's in the distant past now, we got a game tonight.
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0:14- ball is inbounded by Spurs
0:13- we foul and put someone on the line
0:13- they make both FTs, pull within 1 point. We inbound.
0:11- They foul us. We hit 2 FTs and reestablish a 3pt lead.
0:10- We foul them again. They hit 2 FTs, pull within 1 again.
0:08- They foul us. We hit 1 of 2.
0:08- They have the ball down by 2. We've only run 6 seconds off the clock and now we still have to play honest defense, except a two sends us to OT and a 3 beats us. Notice we actually hit a decent 3 out of 4 FTs here. But they probably make 4 of 4 with Barry, Ginobili, & Parker shooting well. Heck, even Duncan was nailing them from the line. And of course, if we shoot worse than 3 of 4 we leave ourselves wide open to actually lose in regulation. No thanks.
But hey, that's in the distant past now, we got a game tonight.
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