Kings: It could come down to end

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http://www.sacbee.com/content/sports/basketball/kings/story/14242774p-15061803c.html

It could come down to end
By Joe Davidson -- Bee Staff Writer
Published 2:15 am PDT Thursday, April 13, 2006


It's rare territory for the Kings these days, scrambling for their very playoff lives and a fan base at the edge of its seats ready to celebrate or kick a levee.

In each of coach Rick Adelman's previous seven seasons with the Kings, Sacramento has made the postseason with plenty of breathing room to spare.

Generally, the Kings were jockeying for higher seeds as opposed to now, when they'll take any berth they can get their mitts on.

As it stands, the Kings sit at No. 8, with the footing as tenuous as thin ice and the magic number to clinch still at two.

The last time the Kings were in a similar plight was 10 seasons ago, when the Kings of Mitch Richmond, Walt Williams, Brian Grant and Corliss Williamson secured the eighth and final playoff spot with a 39-43 record.

Fight to the finish
A closer look at the teams vying for the West's final postseason berths

LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Record: 42-37.
Western Conference standing: seventh.
Record in last 10 games: 7-3.
Remaining schedule: vs. Portland, Friday; vs. Phoenix, Sunday; vs. New Orleans, Wednesday.

Bottom line: The Lakers can only fault themselves if they blow it from here, as they're the first team in 35 seasons to have its final five games at home, though Phoenix has beaten the Lakers nine straight.

X-factor: Dare we say Kwame Brown? Much-maligned for not playing like an overall No. 1 pick, he has elevated his game of late.
Projection: A 2-1 finish, joy again in Lakers land after missing the postseason last season. They will get Phoenix in Round 1.

KINGS
Record: 41-38.
Western Conference standing: eighth, one game behind Lakers.
Record in last 10 games: 6-4.
Remaining schedule: at Denver, Saturday; vs. New Orleans, Sunday; vs. Seattle, Tuesday.

Bottom line: It's right there on the buffet table for the Kings to seize and conquer, though no game is a breather, particularly in the thin air of Colorado and a back-to-back with the desperate Hornets.

X-factor: Has anyone seen Kenny Thomas' game? He had no points and three rebounds in 15 minutes against Phoenix, and he'll need to rebound and run the floor to help out from here.

Projection: A 2-1 finish, relief as the No. 8 seed, a temporary pause on the doom-and-despair mode of fans and some heavyweight from Texas in Round 1.

UTAH JAZZ
Record: 39-39 .
Western Conference standing: Ninth, 1 1/2 games behind the Kings.
Record in last 10 games: 7-3.
Remaining schedule: At New Orleans, Friday; at Dallas, Sunday; at San Antonio, Monday; vs. Golden State, Wednesday.

Bottom line: Brutal. The only "easy" contest is the final one, and it may be too late by then. At the very least, the Jazz may disrupt top-seeding honors for the Mavericks and/or Spurs.

X-factor: Carlos Boozer. Out for so long the league forgot about him, he has been solid since his return. He'll have to play like an MVP to give his team any fighting chance.

Projection: A 1-3 finish, another lottery ball and the sudden question of whether Jerry Sloan returns as coach.

NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Record: 38-40.
Western Conference standing: 10th, one game behind Utah.
Record in last 10 games: 6-4.
Remaining schedule: vs. Utah, Friday; at Kings, Sunday; at Phoenix, Monday; at Lakers, Wednesday.

Bottom line: A year after going 18-64 and months after Hurricane Katrina, the Hornets are to be applauded for still sticking around. But it's one savage ride from here with an unbeaten run likely needed to earn it.

X-factor: Chris Paul. Already a lock for Rookie of the Year, can he possibly do any more for the franchise than what he already has achieved? At the very least, he'll look to tire out some playoff foes.

Projection: A 1-3 finish, some semi-satisfaction that it came down to the end and a chance to boost the roster with a lottery pick.
 
UTAH JAZZ
...Projection: A 1-3 finish, another lottery ball and the sudden question of whether Jerry Sloan returns as coach.

Well, that brings up an interesting question...

;)
 
KingCookie said:
I really could use the Kings locking this up ASAP...my stress levels can't handle it...

Well, barring an absolute collapse, we're going to make it, so destress young man. If we go 0-3 down the strech against these opponents...well, frankly we didn't deserve to make it.

The more interesting question is whether it will be as the 7th or the 8th seed. We really need to win out to give ourselves a realistic shot at the #7. Edit -- oops, simulpost with what PH16 said.
 
I would not bet a lot of money that the Kings will even make the playoffs. There is still time to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The Phoenix game was an eye-opener.
 
I'll bet you money they make it, quick dog...

The Phoenix game WAS an eye-opener, but only to the fact that teams who take the Phoenix shooters for granted are going to end up regretting it. Everything that could go wrong DID go wrong in that second half.

I think that loss will pretty much be the impetus for the team to win at least two of the next three games. These young men do NOT want to drop out of the playoffs.

This break between games is a significant bonus for us. Both Kevin and Cisco will have a little more time to fully mend. (If you watch closely, you can see both of them still hesitating just a bit to do things they did almost by rote pre-injury.) Shareef is going to do everything he possibly can to make sure the Kings get to the land of post-season play. Artest doesn't like to lose. Period.

Yes, there is time to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. There's also a chance the Earth will be blown to smithereens by a comet. There's also a chance I will become a baseball fan...

Just because something is possible doesn't mean it is in any way probable.

;)
 
VF21 said:
I'll bet you money they make it, quick dog...

The Phoenix game WAS an eye-opener, but only to the fact that teams who take the Phoenix shooters for granted are going to end up regretting it. Everything that could go wrong DID go wrong in that second half.

I think that loss will pretty much be the impetus for the team to win at least two of the next three games. These young men do NOT want to drop out of the playoffs.


This break between games is a significant bonus for us. Both Kevin and Cisco will have a little more time to fully mend. (If you watch closely, you can see both of them still hesitating just a bit to do things they did almost by rote pre-injury.) Shareef is going to do everything he possibly can to make sure the Kings get to the land of post-season play. Artest doesn't like to lose. Period.

Yes, there is time to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. There's also a chance the Earth will be blown to smithereens by a comet. There's also a chance I will become a baseball fan...

Just because something is possible doesn't mean it is in any way probable.

;)
indeed

and as much as that loss sucked, it could be very beneficial to have gotten it out of the way already. it will make little to no difference if the kings remain 8th seeded because that would, in all likelihood, result in a first-rounder-outer. however, if the kings somehow reclaim the 7th spot (and hold it), then the recent loss to the suns will be very valuable. the strategy in a playoff series almost always revolves around adjusting to your opponent. sometimes that means retooling an offensive or defensive scheme in order to better match up with your opponent, and sometimes it means doing the same in order to force your opponent to adjust. its a back-and-forth battle that the kings have, historically, not been real good at. of course, this is an entirely different team, so we'll see how well they react to the recent loss, given that they could play the suns in the first round (which may very well be a long shot).

now that they've been reminded of how potent the suns can be, offensively, they can better prepare for it, as opposed to taking PHX shooters for granted, which they did in the second half of that recent dissapointing loss. the suns can, at any given time, throw 5 three-point shooters on the court. however, they still have no inside presence. it is not necessary to double on the low block, cuz the suns [currently] have no one to double. so there should be no excuse for getting back to your man on the perimeter, where the suns love to chill. take away the outside shot, and you take away half of the suns game. then you just have to deal with the fast break threat, which is the other half of the suns game and is, in itself, quite a task. in order to limit the suns fast break opportunities, you have to make some shots. you live and you die by the three point shot, and the suns prefer to take that risk. they're good enough from the perimeter to do so. but their legs are gonna tire in a playoff series. the kings can't afford to take that risk, and they don't really have the legs to do so...but they've got at least three players that can easily back down any sun on the active roster in the post. own the suns in the paint. those are high percentage shots. the more you make, the more you limit the suns fast break opportunities. shut down the 3. suns shooters are, notoriously, rhythm shooters. when they're hot, they're HOT. if there's a hand in their faces on every 3 pointer they take, and if you limit their fast break opportunities, then you instantly increase your chance of beating them by a lot.

hm...didn't mean for this post to be as long as it is...but there you have it: Matt Zellmer's Game Plan against the suns in the first round, if the kings somehow reclaim and lock up the 7th seed. ;)
 
Padrino said:
hm...didn't mean for this post to be as long as it is...but there you have it: Matt Zellmer's Game Plan against the suns in the first round, if the kings somehow reclaim and lock up the 7th seed. ;)

My game plan is significantly shorter:

VF21 Game Plan for the Phoenix Suns

1. Tie each player's shoelaces together.
2. Repeat as necessary.
 
I would bet anything that we are in. I don't see Utah running the table, and the Hornets or the Jazz have to lose that game. Could eliminate the Jazz, or bring the Hornets to its knees. Our magic number may be 0.
 
There is so much parity in the League that any team can beat any other team on a given night. Dallas and San Antonio both lost tonight. Inconsistency has marked the Kings this year. The Phoenix game was a "must win". We still gave up a 17 point lead and lost.

Now after seeing Phoenix dispose of the Kings and Dallas, I am not sure that San Antonio really is the best team. Despite Charles barkley's opinion. Maybe the eighth seed aint so bad.
 
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