I haven't followed him all that much this year, but I'm not too impressed --he was considered to be "all that" coming out of high school, but he's now a junior and he's just starting to come into his own. Basically an NBA athlete with defensive chops who can slash and shoot mid range J's--but he'll undoubtedly be a role player in the NBA due to his lack of ballhandling ability and unpolished all-around/offensive game. I think he can earn minutes, but it will really have to be because of his defense--he seems like he can be a respectable offensive player in the league, but for a guy like him the defense really has to come first.
There are already cons to go with some of his strengths--he's an NBA athlete, but that's not enough to distinguish him from the athletic wings that the NBA already possesses--his lack of height will limit him here. He can slash, but he can't handle or change direction well--so he's really limited here in halfcourt sets. Most of all, he's not a good passer for even the shooting guard spot, so he's a 6'4" SF. The lack of height may affect him defensively, but he's very fundamentally sound, disciplined, athletic and amasses many steals and blocks. So really, I expect the offense to be rather ordinary, but the defense, if he puts his work into it, can be stellar. Think Tony Allen or Ruben Patterson, although he probably uses his smarts well and is less physical.
He's productive offensively for the Blue Devils (17 ppg in 28 mpg) and has played lockdown defense this year, but I have real questions about how he's going to get his points in the league. Maybe a shorter Dahntay Jones, another former Duke player. Notice my comparisons are mostly to role players...because that's who he probably is. He's most likely 1st round pick due to his current production and the past hype he's received, but when we get to long term projections I'm not jumping up and down--the lack of height, the lack of great range of the jumpshot, the lack of handles, the lack of passing ability are more than enough to hold him down to some degree. Jackie Manuel (6'5" SF from UNC) had a similar athletic and physical profile, and the defensive pedigree, but he was far less skilled offensively and went undrafted. I'm not sure how Henderson can distinguish himself offensively here, and really I'm sort of surprised how he may even be a mid-1st rounder.
