Kings need to go 14 -3 to catch the Spurs. That's .823 ball, which would end the season at 47 -35. Assumption is the Spurs play .600 ball the rest of the way.
The Kings are 33 -32, which is .507 ball. They would need to outperform their record by 65% to get to 47 -35. That's pretty much a two deviation jump from their current record. I don't see it. Need the Spurs or another team to regress, play below .500 ball the rest of the way.
See here:
Kings Remaining Games
See Here:
Spurs Remaining Games