He or his advisors watched MD game and thought that next year front court talent may actually be as good as advertised.![]()
McGary would scare the hell out of me if we drafted him as high as top 10. I just don't think that'd be a good pick for us.
I know your leery of instant wonders, but other than that, do you have any particular things you don't like about McGary? Just curious. He seems to have a nose for the ball and rebounds well. He has a good touch around the basket, and appears to be a hustle guy. His man defense, in the small sampling we've had, appears to be decent to good. I admit, he'd be a bit of a reach at this point, and I think a lot would depend on bringing him in for a closer look at his skill level. Telemachus compared him to David Lee, and I think thats a good comparison at this point. Except I think he's a little bigger than Lee, and a better athlete than he's being given credit for. As a matter of fact, its his athleticism thats surprised me. He's a lot quicker than I thought he would be.
If nothing else, he would add some depth to the draft.
I DO like him. Having watched all of Michigans tournament games (intending to watch Burke) McGary HAS stood out as a 'better' player. I put it in quotes because I do not think he will be a better pro than Burke, but he has played better in this tournament. Side note on Burke - not as impressed with him as others seem to be. My viewing is a smaller sample size than yours, Baja, so you could easily be right on him - but my reaction so far on Burke has been 'he's fine'. I say that to say - if we don't draft him I don't think there is a lot of regret potential like there is on a guy like Lillard in this past years draft. I could be wrong! but I think Carter-Williams has a little more potential, however I'm not overly impressed with either guy.
My issue with McGary, first and foremost is the fact that I think top 10 is too high. After that, the next thing on my list is that I find him a little too similar to Jason Thompson. Not necessarily because they are identical players with identical skill set. They do things differently, but ultimately I think the production will be the same. Good size, good energy, good rebounder, decent defender (at best).
I go back to Cousins every time I talk about trading, signing, or drafting another big man. At this point in time we have 2 legit NBA player power forwards. Patterson and Thompson. The bad news is neither guy is the 'perfect' player to pair with DeMarcus. Neither guy is good enough on the defensive end to truly protect the rim and make up for how bad Cousins is on that end. Add McGary and you have 3 perfectly fine power forwards with none of them working with your overall best player. This is the same reason why I was hesitant to go all in on Thomas Robinson. Even if Trob panned out, I knew we'd have issues on the defensive end for eternity with those two playing a bulk of the big man minutes.
I keep saying this, but it is again why I loved WCS so much. Athletic, long, role playing defensive big man! and from Kentucky no less. Perfect fit.
Maybe WCS will change his mind and make me happy, maybe he won't but I think I'd prefer Dieng over McGary. I don't like Dieng's age, but maybe that extra experience will allow him to come in and play right away. You mentioned Withey in another post - I know he can block shots, but I don't know if he can cover the same amount of ground a guy like Dieng can.
Actually, now that I finished up this post - I just realized McGary and Dieng will get to play against each other tonight. Exciting!
Also - I think Otto Porter is the guy we all want. Draft Express has him going right in our range, so .... you never know![]()
I know there's a ton of hype around Trey Burke right now, but how do you guys feel about him? Any good NBA comparisons? I only watch NCAA basketball for the tournament, and he's been the most exciting player to watch in the tournament so far. Based on just his play and not his talent/potential, I like drafting him for the Kings.
I know there's a ton of hype around Trey Burke right now, but how do you guys feel about him? Any good NBA comparisons? I only watch NCAA basketball for the tournament, and he's been the most exciting player to watch in the tournament so far. Based on just his play and not his talent/potential, I like drafting him for the Kings.
Dammit. I really liked how Gorgui Dieng played last night. I can see a scenario where HE is the guy you want next to Cousins, but top 10 for him would be crazy - if you believe in the 'experts' opinions.
His biggest knock is his age, however we are actually done rebuilding. We need someone who can play now, and I think Dieng can do that.
He's in the mix for me, personally. Might be my favorite big in this draft after Noel.
Dammit. I really liked how Gorgui Dieng played last night. I can see a scenario where HE is the guy you want next to Cousins, but top 10 for him would be crazy - if you believe in the 'experts' opinions.
You know, on the other hand we took Brian Grant #8 in the 1994 draft when he was not considered to be a first-rounder - and he turned out to have been basically the best player left on the board. Is Dieng going to be the best player left on the board? I obviously have no idea. But in this draft of all drafts I think you need to go with whoever you think the best guy is.
I don't really get the age argument too much. Sure, it limits the extent of their upside, but considering the draft is a crapshoot anyway for most players, it doesn't matter too much in the grand scheme. Taj Gibson had similar problems with being an overaged junior in USC and he's a key role player for the Bulls. In fact, I bet Dieng is in the same vein as Gibson. Ginobili came in the league at age 24ish, Bernard James is a 27-year rookie this year and had a 7 block game already. It's about NBA-translatable production. I don't like Shabazz because I don't think he has many NBA translatable skills, not because he's two years older than his class. Same as Plumlee. But Dieng is old as well, and I like the guy. So it's really about production.
Just wondering, what are people's thoughts on Ricky Ledo? There's nothing to go on except for some grainy high school footage, presumably, because he didn't even play a college game. I've heard comparisons of OJ Mayo here. Obviously he's raring for the NBA because he's staying in, but as a highly touted HS'er with a relatively blank slate he might get 2nd round looks.
the draft is a crapshoot.
I think that's wrong; this class is really underrated and has a lot of great potential. You've got got guys Ben Mclemore, Nerlens Noel, Anthony Bennett, Victor Oladipo, Marcus Smart and Trey Burke who all look like future superstars, you've got solid, well rounded starters in guys like Otto Porter, Glenn Robinson III, Alex Len, Cody Zeller and Kelly Olynyk, and you've goot value in the later rounds with guys like Mitch McGary, Jeff Withey, Nate Wolters, Isaiah Austin (laugh at me if you wish, I think he has potential), and Dario Saric.
I'm not convinced any players at the top of this draft have superstar potential. Adetokunbo is the only that looks to have insane upside, but he's extremely raw and that kind of comes with that territory. What this draft is weak in is franchise talent, I think that's indisputable at this point in time. Now, there's always surprises and all-stars in every draft, but I think this one is closer to 2000 and 2011 than say 2008.
Look, I'm not saying that they'll all come into the league and dominate. What I am saying is that guys may or may not do that in the future. The talent in this draft is great, but extremely raw, and it will take a lot of developement to reach it's potential.
P.S. 2014 lottery-the ultimate prize. Who bets the Lakers win it after just missing the playoffs?
Guys like Adetocunbo and Ricky Ledo really intrigue me as sleepers because they're so young and we know so little about them. But everyone who's watched them really likes them. Adetocunbo in particular is being hyped as some 6'10" athletic long PG with two-way ability. If that's the template, man, wow. Sounds very much like Nicolas Batum, at the very least.
I'm not crazy about the upper end of the draft, and really, the only guys I have in the lottery that match up with the consensus with Nerlens Noel, Marcus Smart, Otto Porter, Michael Carter-Williams, Cody Zeller, Ben McLemore, and Trey Burke. I think all of those guys will pan out to different degrees.
Nerlens is a one-way guy, but man, that defense is so great he'll probably stick with the same team for many years and could be a defensive cornerstone. Marcus Smart has great upside and two-way potential.
The others I'm less sure about--Michael Carter-Williams plays in a system that hides defensive weaknesses and Syracuse in general has produced a ton of first round busts in recent years (Wes Johnson, Jonny Flynn, Donte Greene, but let's not forget the super hyped yet undrafted guys like Paul Harris, Terrence Roberts, Demetris Nichols, Darryl Watkins, etc). Having mocked the next two years, I'm pretty sure that Jim Boeheim deliberately scouts out 6'8" small forward/power forward tweeners and PG/SG tweeners knowing that they'd stay longer in school, which gives them less potential--look at the aforementioned Flynn, and now guys like CJ Fair/Jerami Grant on that team. So there's always that factor lurking, which in fact should drop him about 10 spots in this draft just for the Syracuse factor--kind of like the UCLA bump up fudge factor. Moreover, Carter-Williams has a serious inability to hit jumpers, which might mitigate his passing game, but at the same time there's the counterargument the open floor game would also boost is assist power. Jumper's easiest thing to learn in the league. I remember Jose Calderon in Europe was an inconsistent shooter, as well, but somehow is a pure shooter now. Not saying Carter-Williams will do that, because he sure might be a Darius Morris/Shaun Livingston, but who knows.
Ben McLemore strikes me as a Ben Gordon type--BOOM BOOM BOOM first four-five years, then everyone starts saying, he doesn't do too much besides score...where's the passing...and he's slightly undersized. We'll go for the next great young guy. Becomes interchangeable. Comparisons to Jason Richardson also lend to such interchangeability.
I don't hate McLemore at all--in fact, being in the consensus list of seven means that he should be a top seven player in the draft--but I find the uppity end of the upside less than most players. I mean, there's no doubt that he's a NBA-level scorer--really good shooter and diversifies his shot selection from deep and slashes--and can rebound really well, so that's why I said he's a major boom for the first five-six years. That's the sort of stuff that really helps lottery teams--teams in need of improvement. My concerns about the uppity end of the upside are due to his height: listed height of 6'5" is on the generous side given that he was listed at 6'4" earlier this season, and the passing: yeah, he passes like a power forward and mad props for trying to move a position down, but almost always, passing's the hardest thing to improve with age. Typically scouts love to see players move up positions rather than move down positions. You know, like the guys who grew up as PGs, had growth spurts and retained the ballhandling ability at 6'10" or something. McLemore's on the wrong end of that stick and almost very much passes like a small forward. It's not a huge concern, but if you look at the great shooting guards, almost all of them could pass when it was called for in their heyday: Wade, Bryant, Ray Allen, Sprewell. I kind of put McLemore in the Eric Gordon/J-Rich class--good starter, but an interchangeable starter for the first part of his career. I mean, still a lottery pick, but I'm not seeing enormous upside here.
I find Cody Zeller nothing overly special--good touch for a big man, reasonable ability to draw fouls, tries to active on defense and will get a few steals and blocks. But he isn't really a good rebounder or shotblocker, and an average passer. There's something a bit Tyler Hansbrough about his game, which kind of paints him as an energy guy who tries to mask his limitations with endless energy. I might be underrating him a bit on offense, though, because there looks to be some inside-outside value here. Still, lottery pick.