Big Cuz 15
All-Star
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I like every thing you say except I would choose Aldrich over Johnson if it came down to the 7th or 8th pick. Don't get me wrong I love Johnson, but because we have Greene (who I think will be a star in the future) and Casspi who should be a high energy player off the bench, I would go for Aldrich in this position. These guys need somebody who can get the ball for them. IMO Aldrich is that guy.At this point in time I'd take Evan Turner over Wall as Turner would fit perfectly at the 2 spot next to Tyreke. I don't think Turner will last past the 2nd pick, and he could possibly go 1st.
As far as Cousins I'd take him at 3 in a heartbeat. I've watched him play numerous times and he's going to be a big 270 pound load in the paint who is a fantastic rebounder and plays with the mean-streak you want from a Center.
I wish I could make everyone who has doubts about Cousins watch the Kentucky/Tennessee game which took place a few weeks ago. Cousins was just a monster, and solidified my choice for top big man with that performance.
I do agree with one point though. After the big four (Wall, Turner, Cousins, Favors) there isn't another sure-fire potential all-star level talent which fits for the Kings.
So even if you end up with the 8th pick in the draft you still might be able to get the guy you want. To me, the next two guys I'd go for would be Wes Johnson and then Cole Aldrich.
Wes Johnson, I've seen play a lot, and I really like, but he doesn't have the ball-handling skills we'd need if we tried him at the 2, and I think a trade would have to be made if we picked him up as we don't need him, Donte, and Casspi. (I'd probably put him ahead of both Donte and Casspi, if he can show he's got good defensive chops. Donte gets the edge for me, until Wes can show good man defense)
As far as Aldrich goes, I have to say that I've watched him play a few times and have never walked away overly impressed. He does bring all the things we say we need, (Man Defense & Rebounding) along with decent shot-blocking and athleticism. So he won't be the 'sexiest' choice, but he could turn out to be the absolute best fit for meeting this team's needs.
After those six guys my next two would be Udoh and Whiteside, and both would definitely be available in the top 10. So I guess I want a pick with-in the top 6. And if that doesn't happen, then the guys I'd be most interested in will still be available regardless of where we pick.
One final note. If we pick Monroe I'll be physically ill. I don't care how skilled he is and how much improvement he showed in his rebounding this year. I want nothing to do with him.
And as much as he seems to be a typical Petrie pick, I really get the feeling that Petrie is working towards a tough, physical type of team, and will stay far away from Monroe as well.
So do the substitution game. Aldrich gets all of Hawes's minutes. So if Hawes gets 8 rebs and 1.5 blocks and Aldrich gets 11 rebs and 2 blocks, then you get a whopping 3 rebs and .5 blocks increase. But then you lose how many points in the process? Easily 5. Probably closer to 10. Net-net, what's the diff?
A lot of what you say is just conceptual and theoretical. But we're talking here about an actual guy - Aldrich. How much better is he going to play D than Hawes? And if by good D, you really mean a guy like Howard, then don't get your hopes up. He'll never get to 85% of what Howard is on defense. And on offense, it's a light year difference. Nobody is going to be doubling him like Howard. They'll be doing just the opposite - playing off him, and doubling other guys off of him. (Howards effect is at least felt as much on offense than defense). He's going to be a detriment on offense. You're going to get a guy who's a little better than Hawes on defense (who has been playing better on the defensive end) and a less than zero on offense. If we draft him, he'll just be a guy we use in spots. He'll be just one of the guys in the rotation, not THE guy. He's not going to going to make a large difference, just an incremental one.
Why do we need to move up in the first place? We don't need to win the lottery. We don't need a guard, we need a center. There's no center in this draft worth a top three pick. There's no center in this draft worth a top six pick, and there are only, maybe, two centers in this draft worth a top ten pick.
You misunderstand me. I don't care about losses, but I don't care about the draft, either, and I don't grok the glee of trying to get a high draft pick when the only guy thought to be a can't-miss prospect plays the same position as our best player now.
DeMarcus Cousins? I'm not convinced he's an NBA center.
At this point in time I'd take Evan Turner over Wall as Turner would fit perfectly at the 2 spot next to Tyreke. I don't think Turner will last past the 2nd pick, and he could possibly go 1st.
As far as Cousins I'd take him at 3 in a heartbeat. I've watched him play numerous times and he's going to be a big 270 pound load in the paint who is a fantastic rebounder and plays with the mean-streak you want from a Center.
I wish I could make everyone who has doubts about Cousins watch the Kentucky/Tennessee game which took place a few weeks ago. Cousins was just a monster, and solidified my choice for top big man with that performance.
I do agree with one point though. After the big four (Wall, Turner, Cousins, Favors) there isn't another sure-fire potential all-star level talent which fits for the Kings.
So even if you end up with the 8th pick in the draft you still might be able to get the guy you want. To me, the next two guys I'd go for would be Wes Johnson and then Cole Aldrich.
Wes Johnson, I've seen play a lot, and I really like, but he doesn't have the ball-handling skills we'd need if we tried him at the 2, and I think a trade would have to be made if we picked him up as we don't need him, Donte, and Casspi. (I'd probably put him ahead of both Donte and Casspi, if he can show he's got good defensive chops. Donte gets the edge for me, until Wes can show good man defense)
As far as Aldrich goes, I have to say that I've watched him play a few times and have never walked away overly impressed. He does bring all the things we say we need, (Man Defense & Rebounding) along with decent shot-blocking and athleticism. So he won't be the 'sexiest' choice, but he could turn out to be the absolute best fit for meeting this team's needs.
After those six guys my next two would be Udoh and Whiteside, and both would definitely be available in the top 10. So I guess I want a pick with-in the top 6. And if that doesn't happen, then the guys I'd be most interested in will still be available regardless of where we pick.
One final note. If we pick Monroe I'll be physically ill. I don't care how skilled he is and how much improvement he showed in his rebounding this year. I want nothing to do with him.
And as much as he seems to be a typical Petrie pick, I really get the feeling that Petrie is working towards a tough, physical type of team, and will stay far away from Monroe as well.
Intentionally so. I don't feel like I've seen enough of the likely lottery picks' games this year, I'm not confident that I really know first hand who to root for. So I'm leaving it as a theoretical discussion.
But I do know *what* I want. And I'm absolutely NOT expecting any Dwight Howard clones.
How many times have you seen Aldrich play? I ask because what your saying about him is pure nonsense. To say he's less than zero on offense tells me that you don't even know what your talking about. The last two years he's averaged 13.1 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 3.1 BPG. He's never been the focus of the offense at Kansas, and even less this year. But he can score in the post and he does have a little 15 foot jumper. He played within the system. He's a team oriented player thats very unselfish basketball.
No, he may not ever be the man. But unless we draft in the top four, were probably not going to get the man as you call him. Marcus Camby isn't the man on his team and never has been. But you can't deny that he impacts the game.
A few games.
So we agree: He's not going to be the man. On that point, it's really irrelevant when we would pick him. Pick him #1, he's not the man. Pick him at #10, he's not the man.
The fact that he hasn't been the focus on offense, isn't that a red flag? Unless the coach is terrible, and I doubt that, don't you think there's a reason for that? And if the guy isn't a focal point on offense in college don't you think there's a microscopic chance of him ever being the focal point in the NBA? Like I said, he'll be another guy in the rotation, not THE guy. Will he help? Yes. Incrementally. Another guy to rotate in with Hawes and Thompson and Landry. It might excite you. I doesn't excite me, regardless of what pick we have.
How many times have you seen Aldrich play? I ask because what your saying about him is pure nonsense. To say he's less than zero on offense tells me that you don't even know what your talking about. The last two years he's averaged 13.1 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 3.1 BPG. He's never been the focus of the offense at Kansas, and even less this year. But he can score in the post and he does have a little 15 foot jumper. He played within the system. He's a team oriented player thats very unselfish basketball.
No, he may not ever be the man. But unless we draft in the top four, were probably not going to get the man as you call him. Marcus Camby isn't the man on his team and never has been. But you can't deny that he impacts the game.
Besides, we already have "The Man" in Tyreke. What we need to do now is to surround him with "men" that can help him steamroll through the NBA.
Ha ha.. Sorry Aldrich doesn't excite you. The sight of him doesn't excite me either. Something I suspect my wife is happy about. I'm just trying to be realistic. Sure, getting Wall, Turner (now I'm excited), Cousins, or Favors would certainly increase my blood flow. But in all likelyhood were not going to get one of those guys unless we get real lucky. In which case this conversation will change dramaticly.
After those four, the most likely player to be a star is Wesley Johnson. But having said that, we know from experience that someone chosen after those four will become a star. If I had a crystal ball I'd tell you who. I could make an educated guess, but thats all it would be.
One of the problems with judging college players is you have to not only take into consideration what they've done, but also who they're playing with and what the team concept is. Syracuse plays a zone. So its difficult to judge how good a defender a player from Syracuse will be. Favors played on a team with guards that thought their job was to immediately shoot the ball from anywhere on the court. While Cousins played on a team with a terrific playmaker in Wall. Would Favors have been as good as Cousins if he were on the Kentucky team? How good would Cousins have looked at Georgia Tech?
It is what it is, but you have to try and look through what it is as well as you can to come up with a true picture. Thats why seeing as many games as possible is an absolute neccessity. What if the only game one would see was the best game in that players college career? Or the worse? You'd come away with a flawed picture of that player.
This year Aldrich averaged 11.3 PPG and 9.8 RPG to go with 3.5BPG. If you watched Kansas last year, you would have seen that Aldrich was more involved in the offense. He averaged over 15 PPG and 11.1 RPG to go along with 2.7 BPG. Not shabby numbers, and proof that he can score if he's needed to. This year with the addition of Xavior Henry and a couple of other pieces and with the team having more experience, they asked Aldrich to concentrate on defense. He had fewer shot attempts, so his PPG went down a little, as did his RPG. But his BPG went up.
Now if you ask me if he'll ever be a star, I'd probably say no. But then if you would have asked me that same question about Chris Kaman when he came out of college, I would have said the same thing. I expect that some would still argue that Kaman isn't a star. I would be one of those. But he has become a very good efficient player. Aldrich is a better athlete than Kaman and is just as big. I would bet he has a longer wingspan than Kaman. So there's no reason not to believe that in time Aldrich couldn't become as good a player as Kaman. But there are no guarantee's.
Is Shawn Marion a star? Because that's as high as Johnson is gonna get. You say his long-range shooting is much better than Marion's? Johnson doesn't have the strength to play 4. So he's true SF where his shot is good but nothing spectacular. He still can't create for himself outside of post and he's not on the level of Gerald Wallace or Josh Smith to make a lot of athletic plays.After those four, the most likely player to be a star is Wesley Johnson. But having said that, we know from experience that someone chosen after those four will become a star. If I had a crystal ball I'd tell you who. I could make an educated guess, but thats all it would be.
Last season Kansas' offense basically consisted of 3 men: Collins, Aldrich and Marcus Morris. This year Self built an offensive powerhouse with Henry and Markief Morris helping previous trio. Too many guys, only one ball. Last year Collins basically controlled offense and created a lot for Cole. This year Collins was one of playmakers. Henry and Morrises create mainly for themselves. Coles offense plumetted.This year Aldrich averaged 11.3 PPG and 9.8 RPG to go with 3.5BPG. If you watched Kansas last year, you would have seen that Aldrich was more involved in the offense. He averaged over 15 PPG and 11.1 RPG to go along with 2.7 BPG. Not shabby numbers, and proof that he can score if he's needed to. This year with the addition of Xavior Henry and a couple of other pieces and with the team having more experience, they asked Aldrich to concentrate on defense. He had fewer shot attempts, so his PPG went down a little, as did his RPG. But his BPG went up.
Ha ha.. Sorry Aldrich doesn't excite you. The sight of him doesn't excite me either. Something I suspect my wife is happy about. I'm just trying to be realistic. Sure, getting Wall, Turner (now I'm excited), Cousins, or Favors would certainly increase my blood flow. But in all likelyhood were not going to get one of those guys unless we get real lucky. In which case this conversation will change dramaticly.
After those four, the most likely player to be a star is Wesley Johnson. But having said that, we know from experience that someone chosen after those four will become a star. If I had a crystal ball I'd tell you who. I could make an educated guess, but thats all it would be.
One of the problems with judging college players is you have to not only take into consideration what they've done, but also who they're playing with and what the team concept is. Syracuse plays a zone. So its difficult to judge how good a defender a player from Syracuse will be. Favors played on a team with guards that thought their job was to immediately shoot the ball from anywhere on the court. While Cousins played on a team with a terrific playmaker in Wall. Would Favors have been as good as Cousins if he were on the Kentucky team? How good would Cousins have looked at Georgia Tech?
It is what it is, but you have to try and look through what it is as well as you can to come up with a true picture. Thats why seeing as many games as possible is an absolute neccessity. What if the only game one would see was the best game in that players college career? Or the worse? You'd come away with a flawed picture of that player.
This year Aldrich averaged 11.3 PPG and 9.8 RPG to go with 3.5BPG. If you watched Kansas last year, you would have seen that Aldrich was more involved in the offense. He averaged over 15 PPG and 11.1 RPG to go along with 2.7 BPG. Not shabby numbers, and proof that he can score if he's needed to. This year with the addition of Xavior Henry and a couple of other pieces and with the team having more experience, they asked Aldrich to concentrate on defense. He had fewer shot attempts, so his PPG went down a little, as did his RPG. But his BPG went up.
Now if you ask me if he'll ever be a star, I'd probably say no. But then if you would have asked me that same question about Chris Kaman when he came out of college, I would have said the same thing. I expect that some would still argue that Kaman isn't a star. I would be one of those. But he has become a very good efficient player. Aldrich is a better athlete than Kaman and is just as big. I would bet he has a longer wingspan than Kaman. So there's no reason not to believe that in time Aldrich couldn't become as good a player as Kaman. But there are no guarantee's.
There is just no way that Cousins and Jefferson can play at the same time. They are so much alike that they are a really bad fit together.I respectfully disagree. Cousins is definitely worth a top four pick. And depending on the team picking, possibly a top 2 or 3 pick. For instance, if the Timberwolves end up in their current spot at number 2, what is their biggest need? A center. Now personally I'd take Turner because I think he could really help them. But you never know what a team is going to do. Good centers are very hard to find. Look around the league and start counting all the truely good ones out there. And Cousins has a chance to be very good.
Cousins has to, and mean HAS to be a force in the low post offensively to become a very good center in the NBA. That's going to be not just up to him, but up to his future NBA coach. He's going to be at a distinct disadvantage if he is matched up against outside shooting types, so he must be allowed to repeatedly go at them in the post. And then he's got to convert. I think he's going to have a dickens of time staying out of foul trouble in the NBA, especially in the first two or three years. I can definitely see him going through a Jason Thompson foul prone temper tantrum maturation period.
Quincy Pondexter. Thoughts?
There is just no way that Cousins and Jefferson can play at the same time. They are so much alike that they are a really bad fit together.
I read a rumor Daniel Orton said if he is a lotto pick he would come out.
the other option would be to trade Jefferson for a more complimentry player.
Is Shawn Marion a star? Because that's as high as Johnson is gonna get. You say his long-range shooting is much better than Marion's? Johnson doesn't have the strength to play 4. So he's true SF where his shot is good but nothing spectacular. He still can't create for himself outside of post and he's not on the level of Gerald Wallace or Josh Smith to make a lot of athletic plays.
Last season Kansas' offense basically consisted of 3 men: Collins, Aldrich and Marcus Morris. This year Self built an offensive powerhouse with Henry and Markief Morris helping previous trio. Too many guys, only one ball. Last year Collins basically controlled offense and created a lot for Cole. This year Collins was one of playmakers. Henry and Morrises create mainly for themselves. Coles offense plumetted.