I agree with you that its unlikely that Evans lasts till the 34th pick in the draft. I see him going at the bottom of the first round, and frankly, I think he shoule be going mid first round. He's that talented. I disagree on your comparison of Leaf and Zach Collins. To me, there is no comparison. Collins is the far superior player and the best center in this draft. When you compare their minutes, and what they accomplished, Collins is the winner. He's taller at seven foot. He's a better athlete, and he's just as skilled with more tools in his tool box. Such as being a very good shotblocker and a better rebounder. Colliins is the better shooter from the three. To me, Collins is a top ten player, and Leaf, who I like, is a mid to late round player.
I like Motley, and defensively he shows a lot of potential, but if I had the choice between Motley and Jarrett Allen, I would go with Allen. Motley does have some offensive skills, but he''s a year or two away from being able to play significant minutes in the NBA offensively. So I look at him as a long term project that could be worth the effort. But not at 10. Evans would definitely be a reach at 10, but you could plug him in almost right away at the backup position. Motley would spend the entire year in the D-League. Excuse me, the G-League.
By the way, I don't see any comparison between Motley and Robinson. So I agree with there. For one thing, I think Motley has legit size where Robinson was undersized at the PF position. Robinson relied almost totally on his athleticism in college, and then struggled in the NBA. Motley is more skilled overall than Robinson, although while a good athlete, not as athletic as Robinson. So Motley does have an offensive foundation to start with. Robinson was more of a blank check, that unfortunately remains somewhat blank years later.
It looks like you mis-read that bit about Collins and Leaf. I wasn't comparing them, just saying that they are both guys projected to go in the middle of the first round who wouldn't be seen as big reaches at #10. You're right that there is no comparison. biltalent was asking me why I would have Evans and Motley under consideration at #10 when all the mocks have them going much lower than that and my rationale is we're trying to find the best player on the board not "win" the draft. If you can trade down and get the guy you want at a lower pick while adding additional assets that's great but there won't necessarily be a trade there just because we want one. Every year there are a few players who are overlooked and fall 10, 20, or 30 spots lower than they should have been drafted. Knowing what we know now nobody would bat an eye at taking Isaiah Thomas at #10 (other than being surprised he lasted that long) but on draft day that pick would have been ripped apart. I brought up Motley because I think he'll be better than his current projection but he's barely under consideration for me at 10, and his injury makes me pretty certain he'll slip into the second round after all.