Remaining 22 Games What is your prediction?
- Thread starter Diehard Jim
- Start date
vladetomiller
Bench
16-6 is way too far fetched, 500 is what i expect. Teams that have made a major trade in the mid season have never made a noise in the playoffs unless its the team that got the star. I expect philly to make some noise in the east maybe reaching the ECF, but the kings i dont think so. I watched yesterdays game and i could see that the players didnt want to compete, the new guys were trying but the old ones had no clue. Bibby was looking for excuses every time down the floor and peja was shooting threes from the halfline. They were not used to being the top guys i suppose and they were trying too hard to make it happen.
Making the playoffs depends a lot on the other teams like the lakers/nuggets and wolves. But to me it looks like all these teams are trying hard not to make the playoffs rather than make it
Making the playoffs depends a lot on the other teams like the lakers/nuggets and wolves. But to me it looks like all these teams are trying hard not to make the playoffs rather than make it
bojan_pecanac
Bench
I think 13-9, hopefully we go 16-6+.
TheSerbianQueen
Bench
I just looked at our schedule and i do think they could win 13 of 22. In fact, i think they will do really well during the next few games at home.
GOOOOOOOOOOOOO KINGS!
GOOOOOOOOOOOOO KINGS!
Bricklayer
Don't Make Me Use The Bat
Dallas 38-19
Sacto 36-24
Houston 33-25
Memphis 33-25
Lakers 29-28
Denver 29-29
Minny 29-30
We are 5 back in the loss column on Dallas -- be very hard for this struggling team to cacth them minus a full Dallas collpase. #4 is probably out of reach. We are only 1 up in the loss column on Houston and Memphis for #6/#7. We could EASILY fall to #6 or #7. We are up 4 in the loss column on #8 and 5 in the loss column on #9. Its unlikely we fall back to those positions either.
#5/#6/#7 are by far the most likely.
Sacto 36-24
Houston 33-25
Memphis 33-25
Lakers 29-28
Denver 29-29
Minny 29-30
We are 5 back in the loss column on Dallas -- be very hard for this struggling team to cacth them minus a full Dallas collpase. #4 is probably out of reach. We are only 1 up in the loss column on Houston and Memphis for #6/#7. We could EASILY fall to #6 or #7. We are up 4 in the loss column on #8 and 5 in the loss column on #9. Its unlikely we fall back to those positions either.
#5/#6/#7 are by far the most likely.
Stats are starting to look kind of ugly for the Kings.
Lets assume best case scenario for Kings and worst for top 4 Western seeds
I think its fair to say that even if the Kings go on a tear that 80% wins is about the best you could reasonably hope for. That would be 18-4 record to give the Kings a best case 54-28 record.
By the same token I think the worst you could assume the current top 4 seeds doing would be 50-50. Its just not reasonable for them to go from winning 2/3 of games to below 500 (barring major injuries that is).
So worst case records for others are
San Antonio: 57-25 (beats Kings)
Phoenix: 56-26 (beats Kings)
Seattle: 54-28 (ties Kings, they win with tiebreaker 3-0 currently)
Dallas: 51-31
So the best best case is we COULD slip into the 4 seed, but only if we surge and Dallas tanks.
Looking at Houston and Memphis, current 6 & 7 seeds, if they surge 80% wins they could finish with 52 wins each. Current #8 seed Lakers could surge to no better than 49 wins.
So in order to secure at least #5 seed Kings need to go with that 80% surge. But worst case I think they make the playoffs.
Still it's getting to where math takes over.
Lets assume best case scenario for Kings and worst for top 4 Western seeds
I think its fair to say that even if the Kings go on a tear that 80% wins is about the best you could reasonably hope for. That would be 18-4 record to give the Kings a best case 54-28 record.
By the same token I think the worst you could assume the current top 4 seeds doing would be 50-50. Its just not reasonable for them to go from winning 2/3 of games to below 500 (barring major injuries that is).
So worst case records for others are
San Antonio: 57-25 (beats Kings)
Phoenix: 56-26 (beats Kings)
Seattle: 54-28 (ties Kings, they win with tiebreaker 3-0 currently)
Dallas: 51-31
So the best best case is we COULD slip into the 4 seed, but only if we surge and Dallas tanks.
Looking at Houston and Memphis, current 6 & 7 seeds, if they surge 80% wins they could finish with 52 wins each. Current #8 seed Lakers could surge to no better than 49 wins.
So in order to secure at least #5 seed Kings need to go with that 80% surge. But worst case I think they make the playoffs.
Still it's getting to where math takes over.
Rockmeister
All-Star
I agree.Variant said:8 - 5 at home, 3 - 6 on the road. .500 ball and good enough for a first round exit.
quick dog
Starter
troosvelt said:
That last statement is not true. If the Kings win as many games as Memphis and Houston, regardless of how many that is, the Kings will maintain their fifth seed. We obviously must assume that the Lakers will not "clear the table."
I think the recent series of Kings losses is a non-recurring event that was casued by the trades, injuries, and morale problems associated with those events.
I think there is far too much pessimism around here. Just stop and consider that the problems that the Kings have faced recently. Those problems can be fixed, and probably will be fixed soon.
To ensure good mental health, Kings fans need to take a collective deep breath and relax for a few weeks.
Don't worry, be happy.
Edit solely to fix quote mechanism. VF21
Last edited by a moderator:
Bricklayer
Don't Make Me Use The Bat
People underestimate Memphis and Houston a bit. Both have been considerably better than we have for the last few months. With only a 1 game edge in the loss column, means even if we were to go 14-8 over the final 22, they would only have to go 17-7 to tie us up and go to the tie breakers. Not at all impossible.
Now actually dropping to #8 is unlikely, but there the real threat is not the Lakers, but the revitalized Nuggets under George Karl. If we did struggle to an 11-11 or whatever, its not impossible, just unlikely.
Now actually dropping to #8 is unlikely, but there the real threat is not the Lakers, but the revitalized Nuggets under George Karl. If we did struggle to an 11-11 or whatever, its not impossible, just unlikely.
quick dog
Starter
It is worth noting that the Memphis Grizzlies lost four straight games in February: Indiana Pacers - 2/13, Boston Celtics 2/16, Washington Wizards 2/23, and Denver Nuggets 2/25.
Also, the Houston Rockets lost four out of five games recently: Seattle Supersonics 2/22, San Antonio Spurs 2/23, Utah Jazz 2/27, and Washington Wizards 3/2.
Neither of those teams had significant roster changes.
Also, the Houston Rockets lost four out of five games recently: Seattle Supersonics 2/22, San Antonio Spurs 2/23, Utah Jazz 2/27, and Washington Wizards 3/2.
Neither of those teams had significant roster changes.
ReinadelosReys
Starter
VF21 said:Then we'll all be like young children on Christmas morning when we've found out we got the new bicycle AND the pony!
More Publishing Clearing House showing up at our front door with baloons and a big check.
Bricklayer
Don't Make Me Use The Bat
tyrant said:
then I hope they are stocked up on firewood down in hell
4-18.
And no, I really don't want to talk about it.
And no, I really don't want to talk about it.
Diehard Jim
Bench
so far 1-0
21 games to go.
21 games to go.
bballagrl24
Bench
bballagrl24 said:22-0....keepin the faith in these guys.
I'm sticking with my prediction...so far so good
the math is just a bit off here. Seattle does not need a regular season tie-break unless they allow denver to make up 12 games by the end os the season. Division winners get the three top seeds. Assuming you mytholigical 80% surge also included Dallas playing at 500 ball. to get a four. not gonna happen. as there is no reason to suspect the kings to fall to 8 - first round will be Dallas, Phoenix, or Seattle - all w/o homecourt for the kings.
dang brick, been a long time since we had to measure at this point of the season - Kings 37-24, Denver (currently 9th) 30-29. 6 game lead with 22 to play = magic number 16 to make the playoffs, Who would have thought that would come into play in March ....... again. (seems like old times!! hahaha)
Diehard Jim
Bench
I'll bump it after every game
Similar threads
- Locked
- Poll
- Locked
- Poll
