IfAt1st
Starter
I don't follow the NBA as close as some on here, so I'd like an "educated Kings fan's" take on this concept. This is a subjective discussion and I almost didn't post this, but what the heck.
When I watch NBA games, I have noticed that the majority of the time, the team with the most "NBA starters" on the floor wins.
What's an "NBA starter"?
Someone who has, or would, start and play over 30 minutes a game on a competitive NBA team.
It's a very subjective term, since there are players who have started, played a lot, but aren't NBA starter quality IMO. And there are players who don't start and/or play 30 minutes who are certainly starter quality.
There is a component of playoff experience factored in there, and most certainly clutch play required (4th quarter in close games).
So looking at the Kings roster, I just don't see anyone who would really qualify as an NBA starter in my criteria.
* Yes, this includes Tyreke, since IMO his stats are inflated and lots of times fairly meaningless. He has yet to prove to me that he belongs on an NBA floor in crunch time, since he led the league last year in failed drives, TO's and missed shot % when it mattered (I have no stat website to back this up, just memory).
* DMC may easily be a bona-fide NBA starter by midseason, but he wasn't last year.
* Thornton comes closest IMO. He is clutch, and doesn't crumble when the pressure is on. Problem is, he's a relative flash-in-the-pan, only doing this for a small time in the NBA. Assuming he continues to play this season like he did last year for us, I'd put him as an almost-starter.
* Dalembert is barely an NBA starter, IMO, due to him averaging less than 30 minutes a game the past 3 years, and him only starting half the games for us even last year. He's a borderline role player, though a significant one. You can't pencil him in the lineup and be assured he's going to be the best player you have for that position on any given night.
* John Salmons, JJ Hickson, and Chuck Hayes are backups on a competitive team.
* Jimmer's an untested rookie, drafted 10th.
After seeing the way the Kings collapsed time and time again in competitive games last season, I don't see why we should realistically expect a huge jump in team cohesion and ability to score/defend when it matters this year.
Am I missing something in this subjective comparison?
Maybe I'm guilty of preconceived simplistic notions, thinking that you want a "best player" on the floor, and missing some contemporary, "specialist player" NBA strategy?
I am not trying to rain on anyone's parade, I'm just trying to realistically set my expectations for this year.
The Kings are averaging 22 wins the past 3 years. They may have to double that to make the playoffs. I believe they have to either make the playoffs this year, or make a long hard run at making them, to spark enough fan interest to remain here in the future.
I want the Kings to stay here. I don't want this team to build pieces and cohesion, and then come together into a competitive team in Anaheim.
I am worried that the fanbase and management may think we have enough proven players on this team, because they don't seem too concerned with acquiring proven players (Billups, AK47, Iguadala, etc).
I mean - this is basically the same team as last year, right? Plus a few backups (Hickson, Chuck Hayes, & Salmons) and a rookie, but minus Dalembert (thus far).
Are the Kings really resting their entire future on the required development of Tyreke, DMC, and Jimmer?
When I watch NBA games, I have noticed that the majority of the time, the team with the most "NBA starters" on the floor wins.
What's an "NBA starter"?
Someone who has, or would, start and play over 30 minutes a game on a competitive NBA team.
It's a very subjective term, since there are players who have started, played a lot, but aren't NBA starter quality IMO. And there are players who don't start and/or play 30 minutes who are certainly starter quality.
There is a component of playoff experience factored in there, and most certainly clutch play required (4th quarter in close games).
So looking at the Kings roster, I just don't see anyone who would really qualify as an NBA starter in my criteria.
* Yes, this includes Tyreke, since IMO his stats are inflated and lots of times fairly meaningless. He has yet to prove to me that he belongs on an NBA floor in crunch time, since he led the league last year in failed drives, TO's and missed shot % when it mattered (I have no stat website to back this up, just memory).
* DMC may easily be a bona-fide NBA starter by midseason, but he wasn't last year.
* Thornton comes closest IMO. He is clutch, and doesn't crumble when the pressure is on. Problem is, he's a relative flash-in-the-pan, only doing this for a small time in the NBA. Assuming he continues to play this season like he did last year for us, I'd put him as an almost-starter.
* Dalembert is barely an NBA starter, IMO, due to him averaging less than 30 minutes a game the past 3 years, and him only starting half the games for us even last year. He's a borderline role player, though a significant one. You can't pencil him in the lineup and be assured he's going to be the best player you have for that position on any given night.
* John Salmons, JJ Hickson, and Chuck Hayes are backups on a competitive team.
* Jimmer's an untested rookie, drafted 10th.
After seeing the way the Kings collapsed time and time again in competitive games last season, I don't see why we should realistically expect a huge jump in team cohesion and ability to score/defend when it matters this year.
Am I missing something in this subjective comparison?
Maybe I'm guilty of preconceived simplistic notions, thinking that you want a "best player" on the floor, and missing some contemporary, "specialist player" NBA strategy?
I am not trying to rain on anyone's parade, I'm just trying to realistically set my expectations for this year.
The Kings are averaging 22 wins the past 3 years. They may have to double that to make the playoffs. I believe they have to either make the playoffs this year, or make a long hard run at making them, to spark enough fan interest to remain here in the future.
I want the Kings to stay here. I don't want this team to build pieces and cohesion, and then come together into a competitive team in Anaheim.
I am worried that the fanbase and management may think we have enough proven players on this team, because they don't seem too concerned with acquiring proven players (Billups, AK47, Iguadala, etc).
I mean - this is basically the same team as last year, right? Plus a few backups (Hickson, Chuck Hayes, & Salmons) and a rookie, but minus Dalembert (thus far).
Are the Kings really resting their entire future on the required development of Tyreke, DMC, and Jimmer?