Padrino
All-Star
I'm totally looking at the opposite side of the coin: Given the Kings' proficient offense, the Kings success (or not) is driven by their energy (or not) on the defensive end of the floor. Sure, if they can't hit the broadside of a barn, defensive energy won't matter, but 80+% of the time when they have average to good offense it's about defensive effort. I use Fox as a "tell" in every game. If I see him put out defensive energy in the first quarter, I feel the Kings have a good chance of winning. If I see him in awol defensive mode in the first quarter, I don't feel good about the prospects of the game, especially if the Kings are playing a playoff contending team. The factor that is going to be most important for the rest of the season: How much are they willing to sacrifice to win?
I mean, fundamentally I agree with you. That said, I'm sort of taking an "all things being equal" approach to the final 28 games. If the Kings perform no worse offensively and no better defensively than they have on average to this point, my belief is that they could play at least .500 ball the rest of the way regardless of what the rest of the conference accomplished at the trade deadline. If they manage to turn on the jets, defensively, then I imagine they'd lock up the 2 or 3 seed with ease, but I don't really expect that of this particular configuration of players. With respect to their identity as we understand it this season, I still think a top-6 finish is likely, and a top-4 finish remains quite possible. Of course, a long-term injury to Domas or Fox undoes all of that, so I'm hoping the All-Star break is good to both of them and that their eyes are on the prize in the final stretch.