Personally, I have my sights set higher, but wanting and getting are two different things. So while in one of my more realistic moods, I thought I would compare Dedmon to Willie, with the idea, that if Dedmon is cheaper, then maybe that's the way to go. Of course there will be quite a few players out there that will be cheaper. The question is, are they better, or at least equal to Willie. I've watched as much film as I could find, along with looking at his game logs from last season.
The first thing that leaps out at me in the game logs, is the inconsistency from game to game. Very similar to Willie, the difference being, I know the circumstance surrounding Willie, and I don't with Dedmon. I believe that Dedmon had double digit rebounds only 11 or 12 times. On the other hand, he was playing with John Collins who is a rebounding machine. Dedmon operates in the pick and roll very well, but Trey Young ran it more with Collins than he did with Dedmon. Willie is a better passer than Dedmon, but Dedmon is a very good 3 pt shooter, averaging 38.2% for the year.
The fairest way to compare the two is with per 36 numbers.
Willie's per 36: 15.7 ppg - 11.0 rpg - 3.2 apg - 1.6 stl's - 0.8 blk's
Dedmon's per 36: 15.5 ppg - 10.7 rpg - 2.0 apg - 1.5 stl's - 1.6 blk's
As you can see, the points and rebound numbers are almost the same. Ditto the steals. Willie has an advantage in assists, but Dedmon is a much better shot blocker. Last season Dedmon was paid 7.2 mil and I believe Willie was paid around 6 mil. So, can Dedmon be had for considerably less money than Willie, and if so, is that the route we should take? What if the money is equal, what then? Would Dedmon put up better numbers on the Kings, or would they be similar playing next to Bagley. One advantage of course is that Dedmon can clear the other teams center out of the post, or make them pay a price, making it easier for Bagley to post up.
In many ways, Dedmon is a very good fit for the Kings with his ability to stretch the floor. I think one of the reasons Joerger didn't want to start Bagley was because both Willie and Bag's took up space in the lane, and when Willie moved out of the lane, his defender often cheated down to double. That wouldn't be a problem with Dedmon on the floor. They would actually compliment each other. I'm not saying that Dedmon is the be all/end all. That would probably be Vucevic, but he will likely cost around 25 mil a year, while Dedmon might be gotten for somewhere between 8 and 12 mil a year. I think Willie's asking price is going to be around 18 mil. Of course asking and getting aren't the same thing.
It's possible that the Hawks will offer more than the 12 mil. They don't really have anyone on their roster at center that's better than Dedmon. I don't think they want to play Collins at center, but could be wrong. Or they could have a target in free agency, or the draft. Dedmon and Willie's defensive rating is almost the same as well, but if you break it down, Dedmon wins the post battle while Willie wins on the perimeter. In case you can't remember who Dedmon is, here's one of those video's that makes you into an all star.
Just for the hell of it, I thought I give mention to a player no one is talking about very much. Jonas Valanciunas. I would have made a case for him, but he has an opt in of 18 mil, and I think he would be crazy not to take that money. But if he does opt out, he'll likely be asking for that amount or more. However here are his per 36 numbers for comparison.
Valanciunas per 36: 25.9 ppg - 13.9 rpg - 2.8 apg - 0.4 stl's - 2.0 blocks.
Pretty good numbers, no? Valanciunas is more of a traditional center, but he is a good post defender, and while he didn't put up good averages last season, he can step out and shoot the three. And, I believe he's still only 26 years old. Food for thought.
The first thing that leaps out at me in the game logs, is the inconsistency from game to game. Very similar to Willie, the difference being, I know the circumstance surrounding Willie, and I don't with Dedmon. I believe that Dedmon had double digit rebounds only 11 or 12 times. On the other hand, he was playing with John Collins who is a rebounding machine. Dedmon operates in the pick and roll very well, but Trey Young ran it more with Collins than he did with Dedmon. Willie is a better passer than Dedmon, but Dedmon is a very good 3 pt shooter, averaging 38.2% for the year.
The fairest way to compare the two is with per 36 numbers.
Willie's per 36: 15.7 ppg - 11.0 rpg - 3.2 apg - 1.6 stl's - 0.8 blk's
Dedmon's per 36: 15.5 ppg - 10.7 rpg - 2.0 apg - 1.5 stl's - 1.6 blk's
As you can see, the points and rebound numbers are almost the same. Ditto the steals. Willie has an advantage in assists, but Dedmon is a much better shot blocker. Last season Dedmon was paid 7.2 mil and I believe Willie was paid around 6 mil. So, can Dedmon be had for considerably less money than Willie, and if so, is that the route we should take? What if the money is equal, what then? Would Dedmon put up better numbers on the Kings, or would they be similar playing next to Bagley. One advantage of course is that Dedmon can clear the other teams center out of the post, or make them pay a price, making it easier for Bagley to post up.
In many ways, Dedmon is a very good fit for the Kings with his ability to stretch the floor. I think one of the reasons Joerger didn't want to start Bagley was because both Willie and Bag's took up space in the lane, and when Willie moved out of the lane, his defender often cheated down to double. That wouldn't be a problem with Dedmon on the floor. They would actually compliment each other. I'm not saying that Dedmon is the be all/end all. That would probably be Vucevic, but he will likely cost around 25 mil a year, while Dedmon might be gotten for somewhere between 8 and 12 mil a year. I think Willie's asking price is going to be around 18 mil. Of course asking and getting aren't the same thing.
It's possible that the Hawks will offer more than the 12 mil. They don't really have anyone on their roster at center that's better than Dedmon. I don't think they want to play Collins at center, but could be wrong. Or they could have a target in free agency, or the draft. Dedmon and Willie's defensive rating is almost the same as well, but if you break it down, Dedmon wins the post battle while Willie wins on the perimeter. In case you can't remember who Dedmon is, here's one of those video's that makes you into an all star.
Just for the hell of it, I thought I give mention to a player no one is talking about very much. Jonas Valanciunas. I would have made a case for him, but he has an opt in of 18 mil, and I think he would be crazy not to take that money. But if he does opt out, he'll likely be asking for that amount or more. However here are his per 36 numbers for comparison.
Valanciunas per 36: 25.9 ppg - 13.9 rpg - 2.8 apg - 0.4 stl's - 2.0 blocks.
Pretty good numbers, no? Valanciunas is more of a traditional center, but he is a good post defender, and while he didn't put up good averages last season, he can step out and shoot the three. And, I believe he's still only 26 years old. Food for thought.