[Game] Kings @ Grizzlies - 1/30/16 - 5 PT, 8 ET

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http://sports.yahoo.com/news/inside-the-denver-nuggets-151035814.html

Interesting article about Mike Malone's game planing and post game analysis with his staff to prepare and fix things from a game to game basis. I wonder if our Kings coaches do this with Karl.

If there is a solid game plan going into each game and players are provided scouting reports of who they will be defending, I don't think we can be this bad defensively. Of course, the effort of the players also plays a big part. If we have a game plan going into each game defensively and put up an effort, we can at least be respectable defensively. If we can rank say, #20 in defense, we'll probably be #6 in the west right now in the standings considering we can score with the best of them.
 
yeah, this is the way this typically works.

Any traditional analysis based on previous results, recent streaks, pessimism, optimism, or any of the rest is just wasted.

All that matters is that Kings will do exactly the opposite of what you expect them to.

Fine. I'll go on record. I expect them to not win the championship this year ;)
 
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/inside-the-denver-nuggets-151035814.html

Interesting article about Mike Malone's game planing and post game analysis with his staff to prepare and fix things from a game to game basis. I wonder if our Kings coaches do this with Karl.

If there is a solid game plan going into each game and players are provided scouting reports of who they will be defending, I don't think we can be this bad defensively. Of course, the effort of the players also plays a big part. If we have a game plan going into each game defensively and put up an effort, we can at least be respectable defensively. If we can rank say, #20 in defense, we'll probably be #6 in the west right now in the standings considering we can score with the best of them.

Highly doubt it.

Karl's strategy is to run. That's it.
 
I'm thinking just the opposite. With Rudy back, I think there's gonna be a lot less of Marco and a lot more of focused concentrated effort. Rudy doesn't like to lose in Memphis.

He doesn't seem a little worn out to you?

I just thinking maybe he needs those few days off at the break here soon, even though he will be active for some of it.

I think Memphis is beatable with a reasonably healthy Rudy though.
 
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He doesn't seem a little worn out to you?

I'm just think he needs those few days off at the break here soon, even though he will be active for some of it.

I think Memphis is beatable with a reasonably healthy Rudy though.

Nope. I think his ankle might have been bothering him after the Charlotte game but I do not believe that DeMarcus is worn out, at least not physically.

Of course, he may have regained that problematic couple of pounds so who knows? :p
 
I don't think we're going to beat Memphis tonight. The person who worries me most is actually Tony Allen. He's going to frustrate our shooters.

With that said, we at least catch a break in regards to outside shooting. Memphis isn't exactly a powerhouse in that department.
 
I expect Conley to put up some good numbers tonight. He has got to be one of the most underrated guards in the league. His shooting % is down this year, but he's still a solid contributor on both sides of the ball.
 
I think Gasol might cause a few problems for Cousins today. Good thing? Memphis doesn't have a team full of 3pters...but they'll probably take a lot of 3pt shots anyways. Look out for Chalmers.

Yeah, they don't generally jack 3's up as a team ... but the Kings sure do invite it so they are likely in for an outlier game.
 
yeah, this is the way this typically works.

Any traditional analysis based on previous results, recent streaks, pessimism, optimism, or any of the rest is just wasted.

All that matters is that Kings will do exactly the opposite of what you expect them to.

Agree. Either that or lose. Flip a coin and if it lands on edge maybe we win. Go Kings!!
 
Sacramento Kings ‏@SacramentoKings 2h2 hours ago
Injury Update: Marco Belinelli (Gastroenteritis) is QUESTIONABLE & Rudy Gay (Corneal Abrasion Left Eye) is PROBABLE for tonight's game.


Marco is out, we might win this!

And what's with our guys and gastroenteritis... Marco, Karl, KK, Rudy and Casspi all lost games because of it THIS SEASON.


After Ben gets benched for missing an assignment, Anderson will absorb all the minutes. He'll then clank a few 3-pointers off the rim, and everyone will demand we trade or release him.
 
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Knowing how schizophrenic this team is, we will beat the Grizzlies!

This has become a popular narrative but there is pattern more than randomness. The fortunes of the team correlate strongly to the efficiency of Boogie and his historic usage rate.

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When Boogie can abuse an undersized frontline like the Hornets without Jefferson (56 points) Pacers without Manhimi (48 points) or dance around lumbering bigs (Roy Hibbert), his usage is justified and team prospects are favorable.

When Boogie is hobbled and out of shape (most of December) and goes up against imposing front-lines with higher resistance (Portland with Plumleee and Leonard; Pelicans with Asik and Davis; Thunder with Ibaka and Adams), his extraordinary usage (TOs and FGAs) is detrimental and team prospects dim or sour.

There is nothing profound about your best player dictating prominent role in team success but you want to be able to win when your best player has an average or off night!

The Kings cannot readily absorb an average or off night because Boogie's usage is so high (blessing or curse depending on his play) and also because his quality of offense foreshadows quality of his defense.

Boogie tends to become more engaged defensively when his shot is falling. This is true for most players but especially a personality like Boogie who gets frustrated and discouraged and frankly will stop trying on defense when his shot is not falling.

When you have a player with a 30% to 40% usage rate on some games....whose effort defensively seems to be dictated by how well he performs offensively, you are too dependent on one person who cannot be depended on....not because of talent but because of decision-making and maturity.

When we beat Clippers it was significant Boogie took only 14 shots when Aldrich but the clamps on him. Boogie had 6-14 FGs (19/13/6) foul and turnover trouble but other players picked up slack. Boogie's usage rate in this game was about 20% to 25%. This type of game has been too infrequent because of the way our offense is designed and executed and scoring passivity and assertiveness of certain players (Rondo, Willie, Ben, Boogie).

We need more games like Clippers in which Boogie can stall out (which is going to happen based on attention he gets or lacking touch or bad calls or etcetera) without him dragging the whole team down!

To emphasize this point it should not require Boogie to be benched with foul trouble for Omri to have his career night in Golden State! Boogie should be willing to defer to the hot hand and play decoy without feeling constant burden to dominate offensively.

It should also not require half of a season for Ben to explode for 26 points! I am not blaming Boogie for Ben's struggles. I am saying that Ben would have more chances to shine if Boogie was not so ball dominant. (Ben has a 56% TS percentage vs Boogie's 54.2% TS which justifies a shift in FGAs which is 20.6 to 6.2, meaning Boogie shoots the ball almost 4 times for every one time Ben does.)

Moreover Boogie should be dishing to Willie at least 1-2 times per game or more for easy shovel pass or lob and throw down (54.2% TS vs 61% TS for Willie). The difference in attention Boogie receives versus Willie is profound and should be exploited for easy buckets and jams.

It does not escape my analysis that as a shot creator Boogie is going to likely have a lower efficiency rate relative to guys who cannot create their own shot (Willie, Ben). But the shot distribution is out of whack and it is the responsibility of all involved led by Boogie, Rondo, Karl to seek better equilibrium. Doing so will play prominent factor in playoff push.

(To his credit Karl has talked in post game interviews lately about shot distribution and shot quality and need to improve as team and Boogie specifically).

In summary disproportionate usage and over-reliance on an unreliable guy is one of primary reasons this team is 20-26 along with an inability to defend on perimeter and black hole production at SG. The erratic play from night to night is not as unpredictable as casual fans think. It is tied primarily to the aforementioned variables.
 
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Solid points, but the primary issue of his usage when he is having an off-night is that who else is going to absorb the shots when nobody aside from Gay seems to be able to create their own? And lord knows we don't have an offensive gameplan in the halfcourt, which means the ball is in DMC's hands even if he dumps it off to create for others. His usage is justified until the team can develop an offense and get players who can create.
 
Highly doubt it.

Karl's strategy is to run. That's it.

Actually, if we can run, it might give us the best chance of beating Memphis. They don't like to run. They're the kings of the halfcourt offense, and once allowed to get into their halfcourt defense, they're hard to score on. I'd let Boogie play Gasol straight up and let Willie guard Randolph. Randolph has been known to struggle against tall athletic shotblockers. Of course he's also known for getting them in foul trouble.
 
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