Marcus Smart is in the top 3 in most mock drafts.
Unlikely on that one.
Of course, but McLemore and Noels will also both go top 4. My post was made on the basis that either a) we get lucky in the lottery, or b) one of those guys falls, however unlikely. If either of these two things happen, I'd keep the pick, barring an offer that can't be ignored. Apart from this, I'm open to trading the pick (although there's still some other guys I like such as Oladipo, Burke etc.).
I don't know that it's fair to say that now. If we knew at this point last year that Lillard was a star, for instance, he wouldn't have been drafted 6th. I agree in a way though -- I don't see a can't-miss star this year either. Not like John Wall a few years ago or Andrew Wiggins next year anyway. But I think Nerlens Noel is actually a better all-around defender than Anthony Davis, which is saying a lot. And actually, I think the top 5 guys in this draft are really going to help whatever team is lucky enough to pick them. They all have some question marks, but it's also rare that the top 5 prospects in a draft are all average to good or even very good defenders this early in their careers. We need players like that. And besides, we already have a star in Cousins and a very good could-be star in Evans.
When was the last time we had the #1 overall pick? 1989? Even if we get the #1 overall pick, I don't trust the FO anymore. They will find a way to screw it up. The last great move they made was drafting Cousins.
I don't know that it's fair to say that now. If we knew at this point last year that Lillard was a star, for instance, he wouldn't have been drafted 6th. I agree in a way though -- I don't see a can't-miss star this year either. Not like John Wall a few years ago or Andrew Wiggins next year anyway. But I think Nerlens Noel is actually a better all-around defender than Anthony Davis, which is saying a lot. And actually, I think the top 5 guys in this draft are really going to help whatever team is lucky enough to pick them. They all have some question marks, but it's also rare that the top 5 prospects in a draft are all average to good or even very good defenders this early in their careers. We need players like that. And besides, we already have a star in Cousins and a very good could-be star in Evans.
Trading a draft pick is often a losing move long-term unless you find a team in a desperate situation or you have a short and fast-approaching window of opportunity. Veteran players are almost always overpriced precisely because they're known commodities. You can't short-cut your way to the top or everybody would do it. Look at how many young players around the league are having big impacts on their teams this year. Vucevic and Tobias Harris in Orlando. Jeff Teague in Atlanta. Chandler Parsons in Houston. Evan Turner in Philly. Paul George in Indiana. Vasquez in New Orleans. Kawhi Leonard in San Antonio. Enes Kanter just put up 20 and 20 in his last game. These are all guys drafted in the last couple years, most of them in the middle of the first round or later. We talked about all of them as prospects, talked ourselves out of believing in their talent at times. Some fans may think that waiting on young players takes too long and we need to cash out and get there faster, but those fans are wrong. We know this. We've been talking about it here for 5+ seasons. But drafting talent alone is meaningless unless you have a system in place where their talent can be utilized. That's where we've come up short and where hopefully the next braintrust will turn things around.
None of which changes what I said before about letting the draft standings sort themselves out naturally. I've been as guilty as anyone of counting our eggs before they hatch when it comes to the draft. The team has been so miserably bad for so long that it's all I could so sometimes to hope that our on-court savior was coming even though every year someone else moves above us, grabs a superstar, and punches their ticket to the playoffs. I'm sick of it. I like watching the team win. When John Salmons of all people drops 5 straight bombs on anyone, lowly Bobcats or defending champs. it makes me smile. Because for a few brief moments I actually considered that perhaps we don't need to amnesty him out of town at the next possible second. For a few brief moments John made me smile, and looking back on everything else he's done in his tenure as a King, how great is that? And then I thought about how this might be the last game the Charlotte Bobcats ever play in Sacramento. Either because they'll be the Hornets next time or the Kings will be no more. The draft is going to happen and we'll either get lucky or we won't. But through this long journey we've all been on -- pouring over every news article, watching every game like it might be the last -- I think I've finally realized that it's all pretty simple. Someone wins and someone loses. And we get to watch with bated breath. How cool is that? Once upon a time we understood that somehow, innately. I know Mitch Richmond understands that or he wouldn't have pledged as an investor. Coming so close to a championship and falling short turned me into something else. Somehow without realizing it, that end goal became all I cared about. But the simple joy of basketball is back for me. I've seen it slip away, slipping away. Just one more game, one more season, one more last-minute pitch, one more arena plan. I get it now. The game is all that matters, every game.
So I'll worry about the draft when we get to it. Till then, go Kings!
Marcus Smart is looking like a Jason Kidd to me.
for those not paying attention, it should be noted that john wall has rarely looked like a "can't-miss star" thus far as an nba player. he certainly looked that way coming out of college, but he's been as inconsistent as they come since entering the nba, and his jump shot is more broken than tyreke's at any point in either's respective careers. that said, the draft is an utter crapshoot. picks that seem like surefire gamechangers (wall, rubio) sometimes take longer to pan out than a team may like. sometimes they don't pan out at all (oden). then there's picks that make an immediate impact seemingly out of nowhere (leonard, lillard). since drafting tyreke evans and demarcus cousins, i've been harping on and on about how the kings need to flip their future draft picks for veteran talent, because draft picks are always at a premium as low-cost/high-reward assets. you can fill out a team with quality, supplementary, and complementary veteran talent by packaging picks and young players. and, even with the prospect of new ownership on the horizon, i hold fast to my claim that the kings should consider this route, though it's an unlikely scenario that the kings move their 2013 first rounder, despite how shallow the '13 draft appears to be. i would hope that new owners recognize the potential of a team headlined by demarcus cousins and tyreke evans, and get to work building a team of quality veterans around them, as petrie and the magoofs should have done from minute one...
didn't noel blow out his knee?
The way teams look at draft picks is going to change. Next season the new CBA is going to make things very restrictive, especially in the freeagent market. Teams over the luxury tax limit for more than two years will have to not only pay a larger penalty adjusted to the amount, but double because of being over for a third year. Your going to see teams like the Lakers, Celtic's etc, trying to shed players with huge salaries. Draft picks are going to be more valuable because if you choose wisely, you have a player locked up for 4 years at a very very reasonable salary. Even 2nd round picks are going to be more valuable. You'll see fewer teams, if any wanting to sell their picks. Most of the teams that made trades before the deadline, were looking for 1st round picks instead of players in return. Or a pick and players with ending contracts.
I will admit that the Kings need some veteran leadership on the team, but that doesn't have to be at the expense of giving up their draft pick. Lest we forget, every player in the league was drafted at some point. So its not like there's a magic machine somewhere that spits out the better players. They all come through the same process. The teams that are good at it, are the one's that succeed.
This team fit and played better IMO. I thought with good management and development they could have a bright future. There is still time but we're cutting it close.
I think Cruzy misunderstood me a bit. I said there were no sure fire stars, like a Lebron or a Jordan in the draft. That however doesn't mean there won't be some stars emerge from this draft. Every draft has a couple of stars in it, the trick is to figure out who they are. Also, just because there are no apparent stars leaping out at you, that doesn't mean you won't get a good player. And right now, the Kings need good players, and preferly one's with a good skill set and good BBIQ. Like Otto Porter! My top three right now are Noel ( who is recovering from a torn ACL), Otto Porter, and Ben McLemore. If off the top of my head I had to pick one player that five years from now will be an all star, it would be Ben McLemore. He just has that IT factor. Needs to improve his ballhandling a bit, but man what a sweet shot he has.
But I do know that I would be happy with any of those guys on the team. Unless something radical changes the rest of the way, we'll likely be in the mix for a top 5 pick anyway.
In terms of fit and talent for us, I see it as a 4 player draft.
McLemore, Noel, Smart, Porter.
Mclemore should be gone when we pick, which is good. Everyone else is either a sg or a more traditional center. For those reasons, I feel as if we need to get a top 4 pick to be successful in this draft. Porter is rising, which is not good. I don't really care for Shabazz and Oladipo for us.
I agree with you on Shabazz. I think he should probably stay another year at UCLA. He won't obviously because next year's draft already looks deeper and he's going to lose position, but he's not ready. And he looks like a volume scorer with some serious holes in his game right now. But I disagree about Oladipo. As a top 5 pick in the draft you maybe want more of a star to build around, but putting that aside for a minute, he's exactly the type of player this team needs more of. He's an efficient and opportunistic scorer, a hard worker, and a terror on defense. I would take 10 guys like that before I took a guy who's a knock down shooter but a liability in every other way. But that's just me. I'd actually take him before Smart if I'm drafting right now because I'm not sure that Smart's ceiling is really all that much higher and he still has a ways to go to get there. But that could change in a few months.
As a pure talent Oladipo ranks higher than Smart but when I think of a Evans/Smart backcourt I see them putting the clamps on the league's guards forcing turnovers and scoring on easy buckets in the open court.
How does this not work with an Evans/Oladipo backcourt? That's even better defensively is it not?
How does this not work with an Evans/Oladipo backcourt? That's even better defensively is it not?
Smart = pg/combo
Oladipo = sg/undersized sf
Tyreke = sg
Better defensively. Horrible at running plays. Unless you believe that Tyreke can be a full time game manager. Which I do not.
I think there's a way to make it work in which you use aggressive defense to create easy scoring opportunities and rely heavily on pick-and-roll or post-up situations with your half court sets. Basically something akin to what Portland implemented under Nate McMillan (who coincidentally, is on the market). You'll want the offense to go through Cousins a good portion of the time anyway to maximize his abilities so that lessens the need for a traditional playmaker. And Tyreke has shown that he can be effective at getting into the lane and drawing extra defenders. I guess our difference in thinking here is that I don't think every team in the league needs a full-time game manager. We have strength advantages we can exploit at two positions this way and if you really lock in defensively you don't need to throw up 100 points anymore to win a game. It's not conventional, but I do think it could be effective provided we also find starters at the two forward positions who make us better defensively.
I agree that a Smart/Evans backcourt does have a lot of potential as well although you need a better coach than we've had to figure out who's going to handle the ball when and for how long. It's not an impossible task for a good coach, but it's not trivial either. And I also like the Evans/McLemore combo, which gets you a shooter next to Evans and a very big and intimidating defensive presence in the backcourt. I don't think we should be ruling any of these guys out because of Evans' perceived limitations. If we can't make it work than we keep the better player, but I'm pretty confident that a good coach could work with all three of these backcourt combinations and find a way to build a winner.
Depends on a system. What you're proposing is not conventional, which also relies on a lot more preparation. Can DMC be a focal point of the passing? He's got great vision, but forces the pass a lot. Tyreke will make the proper pass on drive and kicks, but he's not consistent enough to be full time backcourt handler imo.
Can it work? Need a hell of a coach and high iq people. But we tried Reke/Kmart, and you saw how that worked out. McLemore is a curl/catch and shoot guy right now, much like Kmart was. Higher ceiling, but we have tried this stuff. There's a precedence. You also need good screeners, and DMC is... lazy with them. He slips more frequently than he actually sets a screen and looks like he doesn't care whatsoever. That's not going to cut it.
I'm not enamored with Smart as a perfect backcourt pairing to Reke. I just like him because he is a leader, which we lack. Tyreke drifts in and out. Soemtimes he just looks like he doesn't understand fundamental basketball. DMC is DMC. We need someone to reign this in.