I mean as a fan base we are a bit of a chip on our shoulder attitude. I’m a Fresno State fan and I think it’s a valley thing.…
I have no idea how we will do this year but factors I’m weighing
1) Con: we were exceedingly healthy and Hollinger pointed out age and history as factors but even then it would be unlikely to be that healthy again.
1) Our age is in our favor. Barnes is our only key/rotation player over 28, and he has basically no injury history. The injury history for the rest of our players is also pretty clean. It's not like we're dragging a bunch of guys out there with bum legs. We had two top guys get their hands broken last year, and they played through that. I think we're far more likely to be healthy than not.
2) Con: Wing defense is a real issue. No one has clearly owned the defensive stopper role. Do we trade a stretch 4? Does Edwards progress as a shooter? If we are starting Sabonis we need a wing stopper
We had zero wing defense last year and managed to stumble our way into the #3 seed. I'm not saying wing defense is BAD, but maybe having wing defense is a bit overrated. The bottom line is that the team that scores the most points wins. For some teams, the plan to score the most points includes trying to stop other teams from scoring points with excellent wing defense. For other teams, the plan doesn't include that, but rather relies on scoring yet more points. To that end, we just brought in the best scoring player in the entire continent of Europe. If we score 130 points per game, wing defense may not really matter a whole lot.
3) Pro: Keegan Murray could be very good and provide a running mate with Fox. His development will go a long way to determining how we perform
Agreed. Keegan was great last year as a rookie, and we can reasonably expect him to be even better this year.
4) ???: do we have a trade coming. This team is very unbalanced in we have in my opinion 4 good to very good stretch 4’s: Keegan, Sasha, Lyles, Barnes…. and we have potentially if Mitchell steps up 3 good to very good primary ball handlers: Fox, Monk, Mitchell.
I don't quite get this trend where people like to call Barnes a PF. He's clearly a SF. He keeps playing SF. He defends the wing. What more do you want?
Lyles is likely to play a lot of bench 5 this year, just like last year. Sure, he's not a
starting 5, but once things roll over to the bench things get a bit fluid.
Bottom line, one never really knows when a trade is coming, but I don't think we really need one. The balance here is fine. For my part I'd be in favor of a 3rd-string PG who isn't a SG in disguise, but perhaps where we're going we don't really need PGs.
5) ???: Sabonis was exposed in the play-offs. He can expect every team is going to overplay on our wings, drop their rim protector and dare Sabonis to beat them. Can he make them pay or did the Kings overpay him?
He also was playing with a broken hand and a freshly stomped chest. (BTW, I'm not going to forget about that, or remotely consider forgiving, either. People somehow manage to completely memory-hole that fact that one of our top two players was assaulted on the court in a manner that would have been charged as a literal felony had it happened on the streets.) Sabonis put up a ridiculous .221 WS/48 last year in the regular season. LeBron has literally gone 5 seasons in a row without putting up those kinds of numbers. Webber, arguably the best player in Sacramento history, NEVER put up numbers like that. Fretting over Domas is only a small step down from fretting over Ted Williams ("Golly, I know he's a threat to hit .400 every year, but can he make a tiramisu where the base doesn't go all soggy by the time we can bring it over to the Jones's potluck?").