Bee: Kings seek lucky bounce

[VF21]

http://www.sacbee.com/kings/story/187907.html

Kings seek a lucky bounce
Last Updated 12:33 am PDT Monday, May 21, 2007
Story appeared in SPORTS section, Page C1
Editor's note: The Bee's Scott Howard-Cooper breaks down Tuesday's NBA draft lottery, in which the Kings will participate.

Q: Who is participating?

A: The 14 teams that missed the playoffs. Plus two very interested observers that did reach the postseason: Chicago gets New York's pick and Phoenix gets Atlanta's pick as long as it is not in the top three, both as conditions to trades.

Q: Where will it take place?

A: The actual lottery will be held in a room in the studios of NBA Entertainment in Secaucus, N.J., with a representative of each team, league officials and an accounting firm in attendance. The results will be sealed in envelopes marked 1 through 14 with the appropriate logo card of each team inside and brought on stage for the telecast with a different set of team representatives and deputy commissioner Adam Silver. None of the participants on stage will know the results from the other room until Silver opens the envelopes.

Q: How does the lottery work?

A: One thousand numerical combinations are assigned to the 14 teams by a computer. Fourteen pingpong balls numbered 1 through 14 are put in a drum. Four balls are drawn. The team with the matching combination, regardless of the order the balls are pulled, will have the No. 1 pick in the draft. The process will be repeated to determine the second pick and again for the third.

Q: What happens to the other 11 teams?

A: Anyone not among the top three will be placed in inverse order of regular-season record. So Memphis (22-60) can pick no lower than fourth, Boston (24-58) no lower than fifth, and so on.

Q: What does that mean for the Kings?

A: They can end up one, two, three, 10, 11, 12 or 13. The greatest probability, at 84.62 percent, is 10th. They have a 1.8 percent chance of moving all the way to first, 2.12 percent of getting second and 2.55 percent of third. Getting worse than 10 will require one or more teams behind them -- Indiana, Philadelphia, New Orleans and the Los Angeles Clippers -- beating tremendous odds to take a spot among the top three.

Q: When is the draft?

A: June 28.

 

[NoBonus]

Interesting... no bent envelope corner this time, I guess.

 

[Dime Dropper]

Hehe, do you believe that? Here's the video for people if they haven't already seen it; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0TgJE7C5wiU

I have a feeling we will end up getting 11th pick

 

[Bricklayer]

We've got a little better than a 1 in 20 of moving up to the Top 3, and conversely a 1 in 10 of dropping a spot or two. The latter would be disastrous.

So any D&D geeks on the board, and you know who you are, now is your chance to shine -- I expect you to be rolling 20-sided dice until the cows come home looking for that magical 20. Could be a franchise turner.

 

[nbrans]

Does anyone know what time they'll show the lottery? Is it halftime of the Spurs/Jazz game? Before the game?

EDIT: nevermind, answered my own question. According to TV listings it's on ESPN at 5:30 PDT, so before the game.

 

[Prophetess]

We've got a little better than a 1 in 20 of moving up to the Top 3, and conversely a 1 in 10 of dropping a spot or two. The latter would be disastrous.

So any D&D geeks on the board, and you know who you are, now is your chance to shine -- I expect you to be rolling 20-sided dice until the cows come home looking for that magical 20. Could be a franchise turner.

Do I get 12 shots at it?

if so, then we're good. lol

 

[Warhawk]

I think I have a 1d20 in a box somewhere....

 

[ParniValjak]

Knowing our luck we will end up with pick 12 or 13

 

[SacTownKid]

We've got a little better than a 1 in 20 of moving up to the Top 3, and conversely a 1 in 10 of dropping a spot or two. The latter would be disastrous.

So any D&D geeks on the board, and you know who you are, now is your chance to shine -- I expect you to be rolling 20-sided dice until the cows come home looking for that magical 20. Could be a franchise turner.

Not really. I still contend the difference between picks 3-12 are not that drastic. I think somebody very good may even last to the late 1st or early 2nd round.

 

[SacTownKid]

Knowing our luck we will end up with pick 12 or 13

This article jinxed us, so might as well accept it now.

 

[Entity]

Well alot of ppl think this is fixed and the 1st pick goes to who ever Stern wants it to right??? Well Stern is the guy that stepped in and is going to get us an arena deal. What better way to get the deal done then a team with a big name #1 draft pick like Oden. That ranks up there with Lebron, Yao as far and franchise turning. Then Stern can pat himself on the back at getting the Kings an arena deal and have the Maloofs owe him. Who better to owe you than the owners of the Western Hemisphere.

 

[kennadog]

Does anyone know what time they'll show the lottery? Is it halftime of the Spurs/Jazz game? Before the game?

EDIT: nevermind, answered my own question. According to TV listings it's on ESPN at 5:30 PDT, so before the game.

And I'm afraid to watch.

 

[Bricklayer]

Not really. I still contend the difference between picks 3-12 are not that drastic. I think somebody very good may even last to the late 1st or early 2nd round.

Yes, however the rest of the world disagrees fairly vehemently. If we get very lucky, we can still catch a slipping stud at #10 in a draft that has maybe half a dozen of them. That chance virtually evaporates by the time you hit #12 or #13.

 

[VF21]

And I'm afraid to watch.

I have to watch. I dreamed we get the #3.

 

[kennadog]

I have to watch. I dreamed we get the #3.

I like your dream!

 

[Circa_1985_Fan]

This is gonna suck if we slide to 13th. Oh well, remember, we ARE the Kings, afterall.

 

[BMiller52]

I gotta pray we get a 1,2, or 3 pick before I go to bed... you all should too

 

[fnordius]

Odds:
1st: 1.8%
2nd: 2.1%
3rd: 2.5%
10th: 84.6%
11th: 8.7%
12th: 0.2%

4th-9th and 13th or beyond: not possible.

 

[Vlade4GM]

I gotta pray we get a 1,2, or 3 pick before I go to bed... you all should too

I tried but I feel way too silly for praying things like that. Someone pray double for me please.

 

[BMiller52]

I tried but I feel way too silly for praying things like that. Someone pray double for me please.

Man why you gotta make my job harder... just kidding

I might pray like 5 times before I go to sleep, probably say 10 tomorrow before the draft.

 

[VF21]

Someone asked somewhere today who was going to represent the Kings at the lottery drawing. According to tonight's news, it will be Phil Maloof. Interesting because Phil is the one brother you don't normally even think about when you think of the Kings...

 

[BMiller52]

I just read about that in the Bee. I thought it'd be Geoff but I guess not. Why Phil though?

 

[VF21]

I just read about that in the Bee. I thought it'd be Geoff but I guess not. Why Phil though?

I'm not sure, of course, but my first thought was he's the only Maloof brother nobody will recognize.

 

[ParniValjak]

Hopefully a sign of things to come

 

[Hansel]

Odds:
1st: 1.8%
2nd: 2.1%
3rd: 2.5%
10th: 84.6%
11th: 8.7%
12th: 0.2%

4th-9th and 13th or beyond: not possible.

Why???

 

[Warhawk]

Why???

We are currently 10th.

If we win one of the three top spots via a lucky bounce of the ping-pong balls (lottery), we go there. We cannot be 4-9 because there are only 3 spots chosen in this manner (1-3).

We can be 11-13 if teams 11+ get even more lucky and grab the top spots (everyone else gets bumped higher). VERY unlikely we would go any higher than 11th, though, worst case.

 

[Rockmeister]

What time is the lottery?

 

[Oskor]

Does anyone know what time they'll show the lottery? Is it halftime of the Spurs/Jazz game? Before the game?

EDIT: nevermind, answered my own question. According to TV listings it's on ESPN at 5:30 PDT, so before the game.

There ya go. Quoted from the first page.

 

[Rockmeister]

There ya go. Quoted from the first page.

Thanks. I found out when the lottery was after I posted. I was just too lazy to delete my post.

 

[Vlade4GM]

Someone asked somewhere today who was going to represent the Kings at the lottery drawing. According to tonight's news, it will be Phil Maloof. Interesting because Phil is the one brother you don't normally even think about when you think of the Kings...

Maybe we're trying to trick the basketball gods into believing we're a different team