[Game] 39/82: Kings @ Bulls 12 JAN 2025, 12:30pm PT/3:30pm ET

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But we have Len and he is a very serviceable center, but haven't played him much during this run. Being "guard heavy" maybe actually be part of our success.

The thing is Keegan has been very effectively playing the 4, and most importantly guarding at the four, so we essentially have Sabonis, Len, Lyles, and Keegan across the front line, and we can play 2+ guard lineup. What we could really use is another 3, imo. A strong 3 and D guy to give us more depth, someone who could defend the 3 and 4. Basically another Keegan. If only we could clone him.
love Alex but he has a 115.7 defensive rating and a -16.4 (worst on team) net rating so serviceable might be a stretch.

yes we need another 3/4 wing badly.
 
Honestly, man, I'm pretty well done with this. What makes you think Monte doesn't know this? When have I ever said "Draft 16 guards and never trade them". The philosophy is very clear. You draft your BPA, and if/when that guy develops into a star you make a roster decision from then. Again, if Devin Carter is Jrue Holiday 2.0, I do not give 2 flying ****s about what TDS becomes. I want good-great players. I want guys who develop into impact stars.

He's already PROVEN he can make the trade when we have a "guard glut". Monte's also proven he understands where the weaknesses are with this team and has used the 2nd round/UDFA to address defense and length. Keegan Murray has developed into one of the best defensive wings in basketball. Devin Carter is an incredible defensive prospect. Davion was an incredible defensive prospect that didn't work out. Monte knows what he's doing, he understands how this thing works. You don't.

Queta
Woodard
Keon Ellis
Colby Jones
Isaac Jones
Isaac Crawford

Keon Ellis is an enormous home-run. How many GM's have a UDFA hit like him currently?

And there's just plenty of room for Fox/Monk/Keon/Carter to get playing time, especially as Carter develops. If/when Carter ascends to what we hope him to be, then you start looking how to rebalance the roster. But you make sure he's the guy you think he is, before you make that call.
I’m increasingly convinced you are Monte.

If you want to make the play-offs ( not the play-in ) and actually win a first round match up you need another wing now. We have been dicking around with this lack of wing depth for 3 ****ing years. If Monte were half as good as you claim he would have solved this 2 years ago and not signed a string of risk free UDFA to try to solve it.

the fact of the matter is both in business and in sports management there is no risk free approach to success. One of the valid criticisms of Monte is he looks for the risk free path always and therefore fails to solve the problem repeatedly. It is why we have gone 3 years without solving the wing issue.

He drafted Carter …. Fine now make the trade to get us a playable wing.

as for this…..

And there's just plenty of room for Fox/Monk/Keon/Carter to get playing time, especially as Carter develops. If/when Carter ascends to what we hope him to be, then you start looking how to rebalance the roster. But you make sure he's the guy you think he is, before you make that call.

it is complete BS and follow’s Monte’s middle manager tendencies of trying to shift blame versus solving the problem.
 
I’m increasingly convinced you are Monte.

If you want to make the play-offs ( not the play-in ) and actually win a first round match up you need another wing now. We have been dicking around with this lack of wing depth for 3 ****ing years. If Monte were half as good as you claim he would have solved this 2 years ago and not signed a string of risk free UDFA to try to solve it.

the fact of the matter is both in business and in sports management there is no risk free approach to success. One of the valid criticisms of Monte is he looks for the risk free path always and therefore fails to solve the problem repeatedly. It is why we have gone 3 years without solving the wing issue.

He drafted Carter …. Fine now make the trade to get us a playable wing.

as for this…..

And there's just plenty of room for Fox/Monk/Keon/Carter to get playing time, especially as Carter develops. If/when Carter ascends to what we hope him to be, then you start looking how to rebalance the roster. But you make sure he's the guy you think he is, before you make that call.

it is complete BS and follow’s Monte’s middle manager tendencies of trying to shift blame versus solving the problem.
So why did you want to draft Jaden Ivey over Keegan Murray 2 years ago?
 
I think we can leave Keegan out of the discussion as he is a longer wing and nobody is questioning that pick.

Haliburton at 12 is different significantly than Davion at 9 after you already drafted Hali. Also one could argue, given team needs and players on the board, the Davion pick could well be in the top 5 worst Kings picks. So I hardly classify Monte’s approach as solid.

as for the Carter pick it remains to be seen. It will only be solid if we convert one of our 3 playable lead guards: Fox, Monk, Carter into a desperately needed rotation 6’8” wing. Monte’s best player available approach is only workable if you are an astute trader and I have seen little aside from the Domas trade to indicate he is.
Plenty of people questioned the pick early on, yourself included. So "leaving Keegan out of the discussion" sounds like you wanting to be rather selective in how you evaluate Monte's record. Also, you don't have much grasp of history if you think Davion is one of the top-5 worst Kings picks. Marvin Bagley, Nik Stauskas, Ben McLemore, Jimmer Fredette, and Quincy Douby all say hello. And that's just on this side of the year 2000. Go back further in the Kings' draft history in Sacramento if you want to broaden your understanding of how bad things can get. By comparison, Davion is still a rotation player for Toronto, averaging nearly 25 mpg. I'm not sure your confirmation bias can show any harder.
 
It might be better to look at those metrics in terms of rank to help drive home that point…


EPM: Fox = 177th / Monk = 416th
DARKO:
Fox = 232nd / Monk = 481st
LEBRON:
Fox = 372nd / Monk = 286th
VPM:
Fox = 195th / Monk = 296th

And if we average their ranks across these 4 metrics, it comes out too…

Fox = 244th
Monk = 370th

I think it’s fair to say that Fox is typically around average defensively (with the ability to really turn it up in crunch time, crucial moments, etc.) and Monk looks to be in that “bad defender” category.

And just for fun, this is how Keon ranks in the same metrics…

EPM: Ellis = 39th
DARKO:
Ellis = 75th
LEBRON:
Ellis = 23rd
VPM:
Ellis = 32nd

And if we average those ranks and compare it to Fox and Monk, it comes out to…

Ellis = 42nd
Fox = 244th
Monk = 370th

Using these defensive metrics, that equation is probably closer to…

Ellis >>> Fox >> Monk

But again, I think Fox has the ability to elevate his defensive impact which shortens the gap between him and Ellis and widens the gap between him and Monk.
Curious what was Monks ranking n the period where Fox was out?
 
Plenty of people questioned the pick early on, yourself included. So "leaving Keegan out of the discussion" sounds like you wanting to be rather selective in how you evaluate Monte's record. Also, you don't have much grasp of history if you think Davion is one of the top-5 worst Kings picks. Marvin Bagley, Nik Stauskas, Ben McLemore, Jimmer Fredette, and Quincy Douby all say hello. And that's just on this side of the year 2000. Go back further in the Kings' draft history in Sacramento if you want to broaden your understanding of how bad things can get. By comparison, Davion is still a rotation player for Toronto, averaging nearly 25 mpg. I'm not sure your confirmation bias can show any harder.
care to post me questioning the Keegan pick? In no world did I ever say take Ivy over Keegan.
 
Plenty of people questioned the pick early on, yourself included. So "leaving Keegan out of the discussion" sounds like you wanting to be rather selective in how you evaluate Monte's record. Also, you don't have much grasp of history if you think Davion is one of the top-5 worst Kings picks. Marvin Bagley, Nik Stauskas, Ben McLemore, Jimmer Fredette, and Quincy Douby all say hello. And that's just on this side of the year 2000. Go back further in the Kings' draft history in Sacramento if you want to broaden your understanding of how bad things can get. By comparison, Davion is still a rotation player for Toronto, averaging nearly 25 mpg. I'm not sure your confirmation bias can show any harder.
given team rosters/needs, talent on the board.

I rank the Davion pick 2nd behind the Bagley pick as far as worst picks. By the way Bagley is still playing for Washington so if that is your metric he would (wrongly) fall down the list also.
 
Edit: I never said draft Ivy over Keegan.

why did Monte draft Keegan: because Keegan was the most risk free draft pick. If you just go by which is the most risk free selection it explains almost every single Monte pick.
The point of the draft is to get a rotational player, not to take a flyer on potential. The GMs who do the later usually find themselves out of a job. Generally, less than 40% of first round picks become consistent rotational players (I would include players like Lyles as a rotational player). Of course, you hope they become starters or stars, but most do not even if taken in the lottery.
 
care to post me questioning the Keegan pick? In no world did I ever say take Ivy over Keegan.
I'm not the type to go back and hunt for receipts. @The_Jamal did re-post an Ivey comp that you made prior to that draft, but that's also not the same thing as questioning the Keegan pick, so if my overall recollection is incorrect, then I apologize.

given team rosters/needs, talent on the board.

I rank the Davion pick 2nd behind the Bagley pick as far as worst picks. By the way Bagley is still playing for Washington so if that is your metric he would (wrongly) fall down the list also.
That said, this is madness. The Kings passed on perennial MVP candidate Luka Doncic to draft Marvin Bagley, who is currently averaging less than 9 mpg on the worst team in the NBA, a team who is actively tanking in the hopes of drafting Cooper Flagg. They took Jimmer Fredette (via draft day trade) over Kawhi Leonard in the 2011 draft. Who was on the board when the Kings picked in 2021 that you were so high on when they drafted Davion? I would have preferred they grab Jalen Johnson, and Sengun looks great, but he's basically Sabonis 2.0. Missing on those guys is still a world away from passing on Doncic or Leonard, so I really don't understand why the Davion pick is Monte's original sin for you. If Franz Wagner had fallen to the Kings and they had still taken Davion, I would have been pretty upset. But they missed that chance, so Johnson was my next guy. Who was yours?
 

funkykingston

Super Moderator
Staff member
I'm not the type to go back and hunt for receipts. @The_Jamal did re-post an Ivey comp that you made prior to that draft, but that's also not the same thing as questioning the Keegan pick, so if my overall recollection is incorrect, then I apologize.

That said, this is madness. The Kings passed on perennial MVP candidate Luka Doncic to draft Marvin Bagley, who is currently averaging less than 9 mpg on the worst team in the NBA, a team who is actively tanking in the hopes of drafting Cooper Flagg. They took Jimmer Fredette (via draft day trade) over Kawhi Leonard in the 2011 draft. Who was on the board when the Kings picked in 2021 that you were so high on when they drafted Davion? I would have preferred they grab Jalen Johnson, and Sengun looks great, but he's basically Sabonis 2.0. Missing on those guys is still a world away from passing on Doncic or Leonard, so I really don't understand why the Davion pick is Monte's original sin for you. If Franz Wagner had fallen to the Kings and they had still taken Davion, I would have been pretty upset. But they missed that chance, so Johnson was my next guy. Who was yours?
I'm wrong often, but for that particular draft my wishlist at the time was Wagner at 9 with Sengun as my next choice and that Monte would trade a future first for Jalen Johnson.

If Sengun continues his evolution he'll be better than Sabonis, but even if he isn't, I don't think people realize how valuable a good backup center could be. It's why I was hoping the Kings would trade for Robert Williams this offseason and why I wanted McNair to move up to get Filipowski when he started slipping in the draft.

But also another reason you always go BPA in the NBA draft. Having an all-star level big coming off the bench would be a great luxury, but I have to imagine Sengun would net quite a haul in a trade. Obviously we don't know if he would have developed the same way in Sacramento in a smaller role, but he no doubt would have still been very good.

Your don't balance your roster via the draft. You acquired the best talent you can and then use trades to balance your roster as needed.
 
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I'm not the type to go back and hunt for receipts. @The_Jamal did re-post an Ivey comp that you made prior to that draft, but that's also not the same thing as questioning the Keegan pick, so if my overall recollection is incorrect, then I apologize.



That said, this is madness. The Kings passed on perennial MVP candidate Luka Doncic to draft Marvin Bagley, who is currently averaging less than 9 mpg on the worst team in the NBA, a team who is actively tanking in the hopes of drafting Cooper Flagg. They took Jimmer Fredette (via draft day trade) over Kawhi Leonard in the 2011 draft. Who was on the board when the Kings picked in 2021 that you were so high on when they drafted Davion? I would have preferred they grab Jalen Johnson, and Sengun looks great, but he's basically Sabonis 2.0. Missing on those guys is still a world away from passing on Doncic or Leonard, so I really don't understand why the Davion pick is Monte's original sin for you. If Franz Wagner had fallen to the Kings and they had still taken Davion, I would have been pretty upset. But they missed that chance, so Johnson was my next guy. Who was yours?
apology accepted. I’m old so I never say with absolute certainty but I don’t ever remember advocating for Ivy.

As for draft let me explain my evaluation criteria…

1) what are the team holes
2) how many rotation players were available that addressed those key holes at draft time.

so using the Davion draft as an example.

I show the following 6’8” plus forwards on the board:
Zaire Williams - bust
Trey Murphy - starter
Kai Kones - bust
Jalen Johnson - starter
Usman Garuba - bust
Santi Aldama - rotation
Isaiah Todd- bust
Jeremiah Robinson Earl - rotation
Herb Jones - starter

4 busts
3 starters
2 rotation guys.

so basically if Monte had drawn names out of a hat blindly he had a better than 50% chance of pulling a rotation player. I consider that a very bad draft given team needs and what was on the board in terms of 6’8” swing men.

for the record I wanted Johnson but was more mad we didn’t bother to tank at all and could have gotten Franz who was whom I really wanted.
 

pdxKingsFan

So Ordinary That It's Truly Quite Extraordinary
Staff member
Using these defensive metrics, that equation is probably closer to…

Ellis >>> Fox >> Monk

But again, I think Fox has the ability to elevate his defensive impact which shortens the gap between him and Ellis and widens the gap between him and Monk.
Maybe that is more accurate when I said it I was going by eye tests and when Fox is "on" he can be a top defender. Aside from an occasional athletic maneuver (block or rangey steal) I never really see anything impressive from Monk on defense. That's ok with the right lineup around him.

But in hindsight I should have also put more distance from Ellis and Fox even acknowledging that Fox is capable of being a lock when he wants/needs to be.
 
The point is that he’s been vocal about starting regardless of how the team was performing. Now that he’s been promoted to the starting lineup, it’s going to be difficult to put that genie back in the bottle unless the team goes through a rough patch (or a major trade occurs).

Also, my point is that I don’t know if I’d prefer him to close even if he doesn’t start. Fox, DeRozan, and Sabonis is a lot of offense. Adding in Ellis/Carter and Murray between those 3 make a lot of sense. Have Ellis/Carter, Murray, and Fox (since he tends to dial it up more in these moments) lock up the opposing offense down the stretch and then let Fox and DeRozan cook off action with Sabonis to bring us home offensively.
Every player is vocal about starting. Come on man. Ask Bobby Jackson. I have.
 
apology accepted. I’m old so I never say with absolute certainty but I don’t ever remember advocating for Ivy.

As for draft let me explain my evaluation criteria…

1) what are the team holes
2) how many rotation players were available that addressed those key holes at draft time.

so using the Davion draft as an example.

I show the following 6’8” plus forwards on the board:
Zaire Williams - bust
Trey Murphy - starter
Kai Kones - bust
Jalen Johnson - starter
Usman Garuba - bust
Santi Aldama - rotation
Isaiah Todd- bust
Jeremiah Robinson Earl - rotation
Herb Jones - starter

4 busts
3 starters
2 rotation guys.

so basically if Monte had drawn names out of a hat blindly he had a better than 50% chance of pulling a rotation player. I consider that a very bad draft given team needs and what was on the board in terms of 6’8” swing men.

for the record I wanted Johnson but was more mad we didn’t bother to tank at all and could have gotten Franz who was whom I really wanted.
Yeah we get it, you draft for need, not BPA. Myself, Monte (or are we the same person?) and a few others here prescribe to take the best player available and figure out fit later.
 
Yeah we get it, you draft for need, not BPA. Myself, Monte (or are we the same person?) and a few others here prescribe to take the best player available and figure out fit later.
I wouldn’t say I go that far. I’m not a religious adherent but I do try to balance need and talent. Davion was not such a can’t miss prospect and we had Haliburton and Fox so certainly that time I would have passed on Davion as is well documented.
 

Capt. Factorial

ceterum censeo delendum esse Argentum
Staff member
Yeah we get it, you draft for need, not BPA. Myself, Monte (or are we the same person?) and a few others here prescribe to take the best player available and figure out fit later.
Bro, if you signed up for this website almost 11 years before landing the GM job, that's a hell of a long play. Congrats.
 
Every player is vocal about starting. Come on man. Ask Bobby Jackson. I have.
I think you’re missing the point…

It’s much easier to keep a guy on the bench that has never started vs. telling a guy who is currently starting to go back to the bench especially after…
  • He finally gets his chance to start after 2 years of coming off the bench (despite expressing his desire to start throughout the years)
  • He’s been posting 18.6/4.1/6.5 as a starter
  • Accepting a team friendly contract when he might have been able to make more money if he was starting the last couple of years
  • The team’s record has been 11-8 while he’s been a starter (and he’s started every game during this 7 game winning streak)
I wouldn’t be shocked if Monk is upset by being moved to the bench, but I also don’t think it’s a 100% certainty that he would be upset by being moved to the bench. It’s a dynamic that needs to be considered by the coach when making that decision, and I’d hope Christie has a good pulse on that situation.
 
Yeah we get it, you draft for need, not BPA. Myself, Monte (or are we the same person?) and a few others here prescribe to take the best player available and figure out fit later.
Especially if the player fits. So far the tests that Davion failed in playing 4 positions as Monte stated are being passed by Devin Carter. Gee, might be because they are nothing alike? haha. Obviously some matchups won't work, but look at some of the players he already guarded. Jaylen Brown and a tank named Talen Horton Tucker. No, he's not a fulltime SF, but that guarding up thing? Yeah, doesn't look like a major issue at this point. Nor is him handling the ball. If he was an all offensive player sure, that would be a major issue but he's impacting the game in basically every area outside of offense right now.
 
I'm wrong often, but for that particular draft my wishlist at the time was Wagner at 9 with Sengun as my next choice and that Monte would trade a future first for Jalen Johnson.

If Sengun continues his evolution he'll be better than Sabonis, but even if he isn't, I don't think people realize how valuable a good backup center could be. It's why I was hoping the Kings would trade for Robert Williams this offseason and why I wanted McNair to move up to get Filipowski when he started slipping in the draft.

But also another reason you always go BPA in the NBA draft. Having an all-star level big coming off the bench would be a great luxury, but I have to imagine Sengun would net quite a haul in a trade. Obviously we don't know if he would have developed the same way in Sacramento in a smaller role, but he no doubt would have still been very good.

Your don't balance your roster via the draft. You acquired the best talent you can and then use trades to balance your roster as needed.
your point is true if

a) you can play the person enough to develop in their role

b) you actually make a trade and don’t just keep stacking assets.

neither of these were true in the case of Davion and at 10 min a night when all are healthy is not starting well for Carter. Lastly it is much easier to trade big for small.
 
your point is true if

a) you can play the person enough to develop in their role

b) you actually make a trade and don’t just keep stacking assets.

neither of these were true in the case of Davion and at 10 min a night when all are healthy is not starting well for Carter. Lastly it is much easier to trade big for small.
I think whatever Carter does this season is gravy. A rookie missing 9 months of ball, summer league, training camp really puts you behind the 8-ball. It's much smarter to continue to bring him along slow, don't give him too much on his plate and keep him in a muted 10-15 MPG role for now.

He's looked awesome, but I think that's also partially because we've put him in spots to succeed so far. Why ruin his good developmental track when what we are doing is working?
 
I think whatever Carter does this season is gravy. A rookie missing 9 months of ball, summer league, training camp really puts you behind the 8-ball. It's much smarter to continue to bring him along slow, don't give him too much on his plate and keep him in a muted 10-15 MPG role for now.

He's looked awesome, but I think that's also partially because we've put him in spots to succeed so far. Why ruin his good developmental track when what we are doing is working?
we are not too far off but I would more give him 15-20 minutes a night. I think you need at least that to develop.