First off, by disagreeing with you, I'm not saying that I know that ultimate truth. I'm barely sharing my opinion here. And I don't mind folks like you disagreeing since I know you spent a lot college games scouting.
I started liking the idea of having Drummond next to Cousins because of his elite motors and NBA ready build.
He does have a reputation of disappearing in games but when he's playing next to Cuz, it won't be a big deal.
IMO, even if we draft Drummond, DMC would still be the primary offensive big man on this team.
What Drummond will provide that JT doesn't do on regular basis is that guy who roams around the rim that has a very good weakside defender capability and a monster alley-oop waiting to happen.
The reason I'd let JT walk if Petrie drafts Drummond is because I believe that if you draft the kid with the highest potential on the draft, you show him your confidence in him from the start by giving him starter minutes from day 1.
But then again, I'll trust Petrie's evaluation on this.
All the things you mention are the reasons why Drummond has consistently been the #2 or #3 player in the NBA draft rankings.
Here's the issue: Anthony Davis was the #1 guy along with Drummond going into the season, and by the end of the season you knew Davis was the real deal and would perform well for any NBA team that drafted him.
Drummond is now #2/#3 with the
hope that he will be the real deal and will perform well for the NBA team that drafts him.
All the things that you mention (roaming around the rim, very good weakside defender capability, monster alley-oops) those are the things that you expected to see on a regular basis as he went up against college defenders who are all smaller than him and less athletic than him.
The issue is that all that stuff never happened.
He very rarely had an impact on the game either on the defensive end or the offensive end. How in the world could that have happened?
The answer is that I don't know, and neither do all the NBA scouts who were watching.
At the start of every UCONN game the announcers would talk about Drummond and all that you would expect him to do on the court, and time and time again, they would begin to talk about how he needs to have an imprint on the game, but it wasn't there.
It doesn't make you optimistic that he's going to magically figure it out against NBA-level competition. Remember that UCONN also put Thabeet in a position to succeed at the Center spot, so much so, that they tricked Memphis in taking him #2 overall. Also remember that Oriakhi who was the starting Center for their championship team the year before came back, and Drummond started over him, and frankly didn't play well enough to start over him.
So on paper, prior to the actual play of the college season, if someone told me that I would get Drummond to pair next to Cousins I would be out-of-my-mind estatic, because he looks to be the perfect fit.
After watching game-in and game-out, each game making me like him less and less, I'm not anywhere near as high on him. I'll still take him 5th in the draft, just due to the potential, but it would be a hesitant 5th selection, and if a deal came up to trade the 5th pick + parts for Iggy and the #15 pick, I probably make that deal.