Okafor will be 17+9 per 36 as a rookie and will likely have a 20+10 (maybe 19.8+9.8) season, before his rookie contract ends. Same career trajectory like, say, LMA, who was a second pick himself. A lot depends on where he lands: might be an all-star in his 3rd season in the East or wait in line on some West team, that can't get to POs due to youth.
Towns is a mystery. He has 9'1" reach and weak base, so he has to play PF first few seasons to be effective. He's a good passer and should be a good shooter rather early into his career, so he has something to fall back on, but he might be 12+9+2 per 36 as a rookie, and in need of overhauling his physique. He obviously unlikely to get longer, and strengthening of base and core is a rather lengthy process. It's not clear, where his scoring will come from outside of hustle points and making open outside shots. I doubt, he can post most of starting NBA PFs, working on his driving game is probably his best shot. Towns has footwork to execute quick moves around the basket, catching the ball in motion, as well. KAT is definitely very active guy, who will pick his share of FTs. Defensively he will hover around average, but foul prone early in his career. Career-wise, maybe someone like Elton Brand (former 1st pick BTW), who might give you 20+10 with some seasoning, but will likely lead you nowhere, if he's #1 option. Will provide good defense in his prime.
Russell is a darling, because of Curry doing so well right now. But Curry really improved, since coming into the league, so whoever drafts D-Lo will have to give him the reigns early on and be really patient. D-Lo doesn't really work as a sidekick to another strong ballhandler. Coming back to Steph, looser handles or slower release, and it's absolutely different player than Curry. Still Lillard is doing ok too, gunning for that designated max. After that there's not a lot of elite players with similar physical profile/playing style, who look like they are worthy of a top5 pick.
And looking back at Tyreke, people look at the end result and forget about bad coaching and ankle injuries - Evans was an outstanding prospect.
Looking around top picks feels like about average draft.
Towns is a mystery. He has 9'1" reach and weak base, so he has to play PF first few seasons to be effective. He's a good passer and should be a good shooter rather early into his career, so he has something to fall back on, but he might be 12+9+2 per 36 as a rookie, and in need of overhauling his physique. He obviously unlikely to get longer, and strengthening of base and core is a rather lengthy process. It's not clear, where his scoring will come from outside of hustle points and making open outside shots. I doubt, he can post most of starting NBA PFs, working on his driving game is probably his best shot. Towns has footwork to execute quick moves around the basket, catching the ball in motion, as well. KAT is definitely very active guy, who will pick his share of FTs. Defensively he will hover around average, but foul prone early in his career. Career-wise, maybe someone like Elton Brand (former 1st pick BTW), who might give you 20+10 with some seasoning, but will likely lead you nowhere, if he's #1 option. Will provide good defense in his prime.
Russell is a darling, because of Curry doing so well right now. But Curry really improved, since coming into the league, so whoever drafts D-Lo will have to give him the reigns early on and be really patient. D-Lo doesn't really work as a sidekick to another strong ballhandler. Coming back to Steph, looser handles or slower release, and it's absolutely different player than Curry. Still Lillard is doing ok too, gunning for that designated max. After that there's not a lot of elite players with similar physical profile/playing style, who look like they are worthy of a top5 pick.
And looking back at Tyreke, people look at the end result and forget about bad coaching and ankle injuries - Evans was an outstanding prospect.
Looking around top picks feels like about average draft.
