Statistics and the art of getting the #1 pick (split from Rubio thread)

[Jespher]

The Kings just lost to the Bobcats at home. I think they're pretty good at tanking. Clippers, Wizards, and Grizzly fans must be incensed at the ability of our team to tank...Clippers are tied with the Celtics in the 4th quarter tonight, and the kings lost to the Bobcats...

 

[VF21]

The Kings just lost to the Bobcats at home. I think they're pretty good at tanking. Clippers, Wizards, and Grizzly fans must be incensed at the ability of our team to tank...Clippers are tied with the Celtics in the 4th quarter tonight, and the kings lost to the Bobcats...

It's not about "tanking," which to me signifies a team intentionally not trying to win. The guys on the court did their best and played hard, as opposed to some teams last year who stunk up the court on a nightly basis with a total lack of anything even remotely resembling any kind of effort.

 

[Kings Faithful]

It's not about "tanking," which to me signifies a team intentionally not trying to win. The guys on the court did their best and played hard, as opposed to some teams last year who stunk up the court on a nightly basis with a total lack of anything even remotely resembling any kind of effort.

No kidding...id much rather be us than the Clippers right now, regardless of record and draft position.

 

[Emma]

Only once in the last ten years has the team with the league's worst record won the lottery. Just something I heard on Sportsline, I would have to dig that up if ya'll need a link or proof or something.

 

[Vlade4GM]

Only once in the last ten years has the team with the league's worst record won the lottery. Just something I heard on Sportsline, I would have to dig that up if ya'll need a link or proof or something.

So?

 

[Emma]

so let's say that that 25% chance has a 10% chance of actually working.


Hold on, the math's just burning my skull.







Nah, i'm just being a pain. Someone asked how many times in the past 20 years it yielded the # 1 and I heard the 10 year figure so I reported it. Trying to be informative.

 

[Capt. Factorial]

Only once in the last ten years has the team with the league's worst record won the lottery. Just something I heard on Sportsline, I would have to dig that up if ya'll need a link or proof or something.

One might be tempted to misapply probability to suggest that this year the odds that the team with the worst record gets the number one pick will be elevated, but of course the odds this year will still be one in four (25%).

 

[FakeInjury]

Honestly, i would rather have the number 5 and 6 consecutive than the 1 and 20.