Yeah, really tough to get the 11 pick. It's not impossible to have a worse record than the other play-in loser in the west, but to also end up worse (or tied and win tiebreaker) than both play-in losers in the east is nearly impossible. Easier to hit the lottery!
I think at this point, if we don't make the playoffs through the play-in, we should try to get in a position to save our draft pick, which is top 12 protected.
We need to Lose tomorrow and Chicago Win and we would be tied for #12/13 at 39 wins each. If Dallas wins, they would be #14 in draft order. Even if Dallas loses, we would all be tied at 39 wins, creating a 3 way tie for 12/13/14.
What we need is a Chicago WIN and us to LOSE tomorrow to secure a tie for #12 draft slot (sans making the playoffs), regardless of what happens with Dallas. But if Dallas loses tomorrow, we would keep home court for the first play in game and be in a 3 way tie for #12.
We could potentially wind up in a 4 way tie for # 12 with Atlanta too, if Atlanta loses their last game and both Atlanta and Chicago both miss the playoffs with 39 wins. This is a less likely scenario, because one of ATL or CHI will probably make the playoffs.
If we miss the playoffs and win the #12 pick tie break, we could still save our draft pick at #12.