iowamcnabb
Hall of Famer
The Grizzlies are 8th no matter what happens. They may rest starters vs Dallas so we might need to beat Suns to get the 9th seed.
The Grizzlies are 8th no matter what happens. They may rest starters vs Dallas so we might need to beat Suns to get the 9th seed.
Yeah, really tough to get the 11 pick. It's not impossible to have a worse record than the other play-in loser in the west, but to also end up worse (or tied and win tiebreaker) than both play-in losers in the east is nearly impossible. Easier to hit the lottery!
For them to finish 7th Minnesota should lose against Jazz which is a long shot.
Sounds like KD will not play Sunday but Booker and Beal will play normal minutes per Hoopshype suns rumorWell not no matter what but yes most likely (like 95% at least).
For them to finish 7th Minnesota should lose against Jazz which is a long shot.
Phoenix also might rest their starters, somehow they didnt do it against the Spurs but who knows?
I'm sorry, but it's the most Kings thing ever to lose our pick in a strong draft and get bounced in the play-in. Even if we make the playoffs, it will be a very swift exit. Essential a totally wasted season given the timeline of our roster.
Strong draft? Eh, last years draft was deeper IMO. The top end is much better in this draft though so once the team was falling off the rails earlier the only thing to doubt is the Kings lack of blowing it up right then to secure a top end slot. The downside is the mocks are starting to correct and we're seeing legit first round talent moving up from the 2nd round unfortunately. This is another fairly guard heavy draft and if someone drops again it is what it is.
Still can’t take them lightly. Their young guys gonna come in hungry potentially fighting for their next contract. Hope they learned their lesson and that Wizards loss is still fresh.
They absolutely need to win this. You cannot head into the play-in games on a loss, ceding homecourt advantage in the process.
Monk is out, LaRavia is out, Sabonis is hobbled (though not admitting it), but we have young, hungry guys, too. And a lot of pride.
Beal out tomorrow too. If the Kings don't secure 9th tomorrow against the Zombie Suns, then I expect an irrational run to the Finals.
Wonderful. So we're almost guaranteed to lose our draft pick in the dumbest way possible, with the last gasp of the "super team" Suns rolling over and playing dead. This, by the way, means Monte McNair will have given up a better draft pick to Atlanta for two years of Kevin Huerter than any of the picks he got in return for De'Aaron Fox. Make that one make sense.
Memphis has almost all players uncertain for tomorrow so even though Dallas is still an underdog (according to bookmakers at least) they have a big chance of winning this if they all sit out.
Kings (according to bookies) are huge favorites to win (-15 points handicap) while Minnesota looks like a lock (-22.5 points) since Ant tech was rescinded and Utah is also resting most of their starters. I guess thats the reason Memphis plans to protect their players.
If it doesn't convey this year it will almost certainly convey next year, and if not then it turns into 2 second rounders, correct? How long are we going to hamstring ourselves with regards to our own picks (just in the hopes of keeping this year's middling first rounder in what I've been told is not a great draft)? Get it off our books and free up resources to make moves. It's going to convey eventually, somehow. Folks keep complaining about both not keeping the pick and also about not being able to make trades with our picks due to that one hanging out there indefinitely.Wonderful. So we're almost guaranteed to lose our draft pick in the dumbest way possible, with the last gasp of the "super team" Suns rolling over and playing dead. This, by the way, means Monte McNair will have given up a better draft pick to Atlanta for two years of Kevin Huerter than any of the picks he got in return for De'Aaron Fox. Make that one make sense.
OK, just in time for the first games to start today, I nerded out and modeled the last two games of the season and the play-in for Sac, Dallas, and all four eastern conference play-in teams. I made the simple assumption that all games are 50/50 tossups, because come on. And then I modeled the lottery if we were in it. The results:
Probability we get the 8 seed in the playoffs (lose our pick) = 25% (obviously)
Probability we finish 13/14 in lotto (lose our pick) = 64.2%
Probability we get the 12 pick = 7.7%
Probability we get the 11 pick = 0.2%
Probability we get the 4 pick = 0.9%
Probability we get the 3 pick = 0.8%
Probability we get the 2 pick = 0.7%
Probability we get Cooper Flagg = 0.6%
Just so we know where we stand right now...
Still, a win today (which, with the Suns sitting everybody of consequence seems very likely) will continue to make it difficult, and none of it matters if we make the 8 seed.
Mavs fans had to be irate when they found out that Phoenix was going to sit four starters. 'Cause Kings fans might go back-and-forth over whether or not they should tank, but you know who for sure wasn't trying to tank? The Dallas Mavericks.
Eh, I stand by it. I appear to be wrong about this specific game, but there's no way that Nico Harrison traded for an aging star to go along with the aging stars (Irving, Thompson) he already had and thought, "We'll go all-in for Flagg."Umm, the Mavericks are sitting AD, Klay, P.J., and Lively, so I'm not so sure about their intentions.
Mavs appear to be not taking this game particularly seriously lol
So did we just smoke the pick?