Personally, I think we are closer to contention than what most people think. I'd give it one, maybe two years before we are a 50 win team again. Tyreke really has made me a believer, and with the shadow of the Arena talks looming, the Kings' front office may need to make moves sooner rather than later. This offseason could be highly important, seeing as how we will have capspace in addition to a top 10 pick.
The hardest part of the process is taken care of. Tyreke is the cornerstone, now its time to build around him. I had my doubts before if Reke could be the primary distributor on a championship contender, but these last few games we have really trusted the ball to Reke's hands and he has performed marvelously. You can easily envision Reke in a Lebron type of role as the primary playmaker on a squad where everyone is involved and the offense just hums. You just have to watch the last two games to see where a Reke-run offense can take us.
The two most important needs in my opinion are the need for a consistent second star and an interior defender. The Landry acquisition has given us a very consistent third man because Landry is able to get his 16 points very efficiently without dominating the ball too much. However, we usually have run that second star by committee. Sometimes Beno steps up, and when he does we usually win. Against Minnesota Donte really stepped up and we completely dominated, that should have been a 30 point win. Against the Lakers however nobody stepped up enough, leaving us a little dry offensively.
Now, we can hope Donte becomes that guy, because I think he has star potential. But thats a big gamble; he might not pan out or he might take too long, and the FO has to keep in mind the Arena talks. So using these two avenues available to us (FA and the Draft) we could seek that second guy.
So how does this relate to Gay? Personally I believe that second star has to be at SF or C. Martin, a decent second banana in his own right, didn't work out at SG, so it's probably best to have a Cisco or Beno type roleplayer be Reke's backcourt mate. Gay I think would make a good enough second option to Reke to form a championship level core. He's young, athletic, a good shooter and a terrific finisher around the rim. He's inconsistent defensively but has all the tools to be a lockdown type defender. I think he would be a great fit.
If we use our FA money on Gay then we'd have to search for an interior defender in the draft, but thats the topic of a different thread.
So in short, I would be happy with Gay as our big FA signing, even if we have to overplay slightly. He's a proven star in this league and we shouldn't try to wallow too long in mediocrity with Tyreke's ascendance and the Arena issue looming.
Tyreke/Beno
Garcia/Greene
Gay/Casspi
Landry/Thompson
????/Hawes
In time that could be a team that contends for a championship.