Official "It's Only One Game" Thread

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SpursIndonesia

G-League
#61
#61
Dave McNulla said:
the spurs have lost game 1 at home three times in that past three playoffs and won the series (once they lost game 2 at home and won). the only series they've lost in that time was after winning games 1 and 2 at home.
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Man, that horrible .4 debacle haunts me once more :( Thanx Dave for bringing that up, pointing that anything's possible until 4 wins mark achieved by any contestant in any competition, especially in this NBA playoff ;).
 
D

DeAtHrOw

Guest
#62
#62
QueensFan said:
Arg, I don't want to get into the nuances of how statistics can be deceiving, but my point is...the team that wins the first game of the series wins 79% of all series. But after a series goes to 1-1, that team that won the first game of the series probably wins much less than 79% of all series - in other words, the percentages move around based on what happens next. So you can look at it and say "at this moment, the kings have a 21% chance of winning this series." OR, you can say "In my opinion, the Kings have a 45% chance of winning game 2 and if they win game 2, their odds of winning the series go up to about 35% but if they lose game 2 their odds go down to 4%. Now I'm going to multiply the odds of these occurences to find the expected value..." anyways my POINT is lies, damn lies, then statistics. Don't buy into it 99% of all statistics are 100% meaningless.
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I agree with you on most of it. Statistics can be very deceiving and you can use them to paint whatever the picture you want depending how you manipulate them.
 
D

Dave McNulla

Bench
#63
#63
SpursIndonesia said:
Man, that horrible .4 debacle haunts me once more :( Thanx Dave for bringing that up, pointing that anything's possible until 4 wins mark achieved by any contestant in any competition, especially in this NBA playoff ;).
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not that the kings forum is the place to discuss it, but i completely disagree with that .4 assessment. first, the lakers outplayed the spurs for most of four straight games. second, while the clock did start late when derek fisher got the ball, it stopped late when tim duncan's shot went in, caused by the same human failing called slow reaction. third, the spurs didn't lose the series in game 5, they lost the series in game 6. i have begged, but no longer expect, for my fellow spurs fans to get over it already.
 
Bricklayer

Bricklayer

Don't Make Me Use The Bat
#65
#65
Gilles said:
Kings started playoffs under Rick with 87-117 loss to Utah. That game was decided in overtime of Game 5.
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Series. Yep.

Tougher, and longer series this time though. And the real thing is we have to see whetehr we have that same sort of resilience wiht this crew. People critiqued that Kings team for not being clutch or whatnot, but they had serious heart. They went to a deciding game before they were knocked out in 5 of 6 years there between 99-04 -- which is just remarkable. They might lose, but they were always going down swinging.
 
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