Having underwritten many publicly-financed projects, although smaller and quite different, it may be harder to pencil out the deal with less public money. Why? Because developers/borrowers of all kinds of projects know that public money has better terms and lower interest rates than any private lender can give them. To make it work, they may have to put in more of their own money to keep debt down. This is generally not a preference, as they lose some interest expense right-off and put more of their personal money at risk. I'm sure its taking intensive analysis to figure out the sweet spot to make this pencil out for all investors and lenders, including the city.
"Pencil out" means making a lot of assumptions up front. Those assumptions have to be realistic and supportable. Then you play around with the combination of funding sources and the variables for all of those. They also have to understand what will be required for collateral and what other legal requirements will ultimately be in the documents supporting the deal for lenders and investors. The number of potential variables is immense.
Bottom line is we only get one shot. Whatever investor/lender scenario we present for the all parites is going to have to be realistic and well-supported by the analysis. This is going to be presented to expert business people and other professional, who will do their best to pick every detail apart to make their decision. That's why I'm not surprised there's been know announcement yet. You can't announce until all potential owners, lenders and the city are in agreement on all terms and conditions.
Remember, Hansen and his group have had months to work on something Sacramento is trying to accomplish is a really short time frame. A really short time for such a huge deal. I'm keeping the faith, though. Doesn't mean I'm not as anxious as everybody else to hear something. I just know that quality over speed matters, so I'm trying to be patient.