Please reread my comments.
What I'm highlighting is that it's more likely that the selected player will be out of the league or contributing to some other team, than being a major part of your team. Contributing to some other team may not always be bad, particularly if you have traded him to get something of value, but often, that's not the case.
Once again, I'm not against trading Davion. Quite the opposite in fact. From a value perspective, I think trading him for #22 is a bad idea. It helps Suns much more in the short and medium term, while promising us little in the long term.
Yes, I understand that he will need to get paid (someone else likely will if we don't, and we might lose him for nothing) as against the fact that the rookie scale contract will allow us to take a flyer on a young player, and hope he develops. That said, I do hope that we can combine some of our guard depth to get some FC help with some established players instead.
Needless to say, easier said than done.
What I'm highlighting is that it's more likely that the selected player will be out of the league or contributing to some other team, than being a major part of your team. Contributing to some other team may not always be bad, particularly if you have traded him to get something of value, but often, that's not the case.
Once again, I'm not against trading Davion. Quite the opposite in fact. From a value perspective, I think trading him for #22 is a bad idea. It helps Suns much more in the short and medium term, while promising us little in the long term.
Yes, I understand that he will need to get paid (someone else likely will if we don't, and we might lose him for nothing) as against the fact that the rookie scale contract will allow us to take a flyer on a young player, and hope he develops. That said, I do hope that we can combine some of our guard depth to get some FC help with some established players instead.
Needless to say, easier said than done.
He could very well be contributing for another team next year considering he will be up for a new contract, and we would already have Fox, Ellis, Monk, Jones, and potentially #13 as our guards. He’s, at best, our 4th guard in the rotation and could be overtaken by Jones and/or #13 (if we use it on a guard) in the near future. How much are we willing to pay for that type of player vs. another team who could consistently use him in a 20 mpg role?
If we can get a solid asset for Davion, we have to seriously consider it (especially a pick as high as #22) considering our current roster construction and how strict the cap rules and aprons are going forward.
Also, these are players taken #22-#30 going back to the 2000 draft that seem like good returns.
- 2000: Deshawn Stevenson
- 2001: Gerald Wallace, Sam Dalembert, Jamal Tinsley, & Tony Parker
- 2002: Tayshaun Prince, Kristic, & John Salmons
- 2003: Travis Outlaw, Kendrick Perkins, Leandro Barbosa, & Josh Howard
- 2004: Delonte West, Tony Allen, Kevin Martin, & Beno Udrih
- 2005: Jarrett Jack, Ian Mahinmi, & David Lee
- 2006: Marcus Williams & Kyle Lowry
- 2007: Jared Dudley, Wilson Chandler, Aaron Brooks, Aaron Afflalo, & Tiago Splitter
- 2008: Courtney Lee, Kostas Koufos, Serge Ibaka, Nic Batum, & George Hill
- 2009: Omri Casspi, Taj Gibson, & DeMarre Caroll
- 2010: Trevor Booker, Quincy Pondexter, Jordan Crawford, & Grevis Vasquez
- 2011: Kenneth Faried, Nikola Mirotic, Reggie Jackson, Norris Cole, Cory Joseph, & Jimmy Butler
- 2012: Miles Plumlee
- 2013: Mason Plumlee, Solomon Hill, Tim Hardaway, Reggie Bullock, Andre Roberson, & Rudy Gobert
- 2014: Rodney Hood, Clint Capela, Bogdan Bogdanovic, & Kyle Anderson
- 2015: Bobby Portis, Tyus Jones, Larry Nance, & Kevon Looney
- 2016: Pascal Siakam & Dejounte Murray
- 2017: Jarrett Allen, OG Anunoby, Kyle Kuzma, Derrick White, & Josh Hart
- 2018: Aaron Holiday, Anfernee Simons, Mo Wagner, Landry Shamet, & Robert Williams
- 2019: Grant Williams, Jordan Poole, Keldon Johnson, & Kevin Porter
- 2020: Immanuel Quickley, Payton Pritchard, Jaden McDaniels, & Desmond Bane
- 2021: Isaiah Jackson, Quentin Grimes, Bones Hyland, Cam Thomas, Day’Ron Sharpe, & Santi Aldama
- 2022: Walker Kessler, Nikola Jovic, Peyton Watson
I think McNair is a pretty good drafter so I feel even better about his odds to find a cost controlled, diamond in the rough/rotational player than the average GM.
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