Kings 2022 Play-off Chances.
- Thread starter sactowndog
- Start date
Yeah I'm 50/50 on the Bogi thing but who could have envisioned his offense taking off like that? His defense still sucked so I think the Kings would still be in the same position whether they signed him or not.
I don't give him much credit for the Hali move because it seemed like a no brainer. Kind of like Vlade picking Fox. I mean we didn't even talk about Hali much at all last offseason because we didn't think he would even get close to falling to us. Then again, a handful of other GMs passed on him so I have to give the man credit for not being as dumb as the rest.
The CoJo for Wright trade was great. It just sucks when a coach, GM and owner aren't on the same page because the smart thing would have been to acquire the better players, tank and then roll in to the next season with an upgraded roster + a high draft pick. I'm surprised Detroit made that trade. I would have thought they would have been looking for a younger asset since they're essentially in the same situation as the Kings. Either way, good move by Monte. Bad move by Walton to take the gloves off and duke it out to get the 9th pick in the draft.
I don't give him much credit for the Hali move because it seemed like a no brainer. Kind of like Vlade picking Fox. I mean we didn't even talk about Hali much at all last offseason because we didn't think he would even get close to falling to us. Then again, a handful of other GMs passed on him so I have to give the man credit for not being as dumb as the rest.
The CoJo for Wright trade was great. It just sucks when a coach, GM and owner aren't on the same page because the smart thing would have been to acquire the better players, tank and then roll in to the next season with an upgraded roster + a high draft pick. I'm surprised Detroit made that trade. I would have thought they would have been looking for a younger asset since they're essentially in the same situation as the Kings. Either way, good move by Monte. Bad move by Walton to take the gloves off and duke it out to get the 9th pick in the draft.
The Kings as is have more depth than just about any team out there. as well The issue is if the 2 Walton seasons weren't a fluke then that kind of performance could be the norm. So far in totality Waltons teams suck during the bulk of the season in the first 2/3 where you can't be a sub .400 team. Back to back seasons prior to the deadline they were. After the deadline and he was able to boost role guys thanks to injuries they were about a .500 team. This season proves if it's his MO or not. If it is, this will be his last gig in the NBA.
Detroit saved money to use in free agency and they acquired 2 second round picks.
Essentially, the Pistons will have around $20 million in cap space if they don’t pick up Cory Joseph’s contract (they won’t), don’t make a qualifying offer to Dennis Smith Jr. (they shouldn’t) and let Rodney McGruder walk (they will).
Essentially, the Pistons will have around $20 million in cap space if they don’t pick up Cory Joseph’s contract (they won’t), don’t make a qualifying offer to Dennis Smith Jr. (they shouldn’t) and let Rodney McGruder walk (they will).
Well first step was to make the playins before we try the 7-8 seed. Spurs made it with a 33-39 record so if we at least hover around 0.500 we might make it. 4-5 games is possible if healthy and and a year of growth from our guys. Also we might get some luck if other teams have injuries or play less than their normal standards. I really don’t think that’s out of the question. Those wins could even be won against eastern conference teams we should have beat.
I agree that it is possibles to get those wins. Next to some luck and development of our guys it is highly important to consistently win against worser teams - then we still can afford to lose more games in our division but make it into the play-ins (still I am unsure if we are able to win 70-80% against such teams).
I am assuming you will beat eastern conference teams at about the rate at a rate of .55% which is better than .500. But even if you do that you still only win 36 games. Leaving you with having to win 6 games in Division to get to .500.
so basically you are counting on injuries.
Even if you bump it up to winning at a .59% rate against all none division teams that still only gets you to 39 wins and leaves you needing 3 wins in division just to get to .500.
I think people are way underestimating the challenges of playing in a division where every other team in the division is essentially a top 5 team in the league. Other teams not in our division playing a .59% pace over 82 games will have won 48 plus games.
so basically you are counting on injuries.
Even if you bump it up to winning at a .59% rate against all none division teams that still only gets you to 39 wins and leaves you needing 3 wins in division just to get to .500.
I think people are way underestimating the challenges of playing in a division where every other team in the division is essentially a top 5 team in the league. Other teams not in our division playing a .59% pace over 82 games will have won 48 plus games.
Last edited:
That’s all good and true but sometimes things just work out. Not saying it will or the chances are high. Who really expected the suns to be the 2 seed. Especially considering their division and conference. Maybe they were just expecting to build off last year and get the 7-8 seed and look what happened. Or the hawks who started off poorly then going on a run. Chances are based on the stats you are correct. I’m just saying there’s a chance and if ( I know it’s a big if) we consistently are in playoff contention, better free agents might be willing to come here.
I think the Suns are a case in point. Once they were good enough to win in division it meant they were really good and you saw this step function jump in record. Now with the Suns also where they are, the step function jump becomes an even more likely outcome
in any other Division the Kings are likely a .500 team and in the play-in next year. But in our division it’s a challenge especially given our lack of large wings.
in any other Division the Kings are likely a .500 team and in the play-in next year. But in our division it’s a challenge especially given our lack of large wings.
