I've got this funny feeling that Wiggins is going to the Raptors.
I think the Kings' win total will equal the number of polls that K F Jay starts this year.
2 giant unknowns make this impossible.
1) the coach. If he can coach, defense especially, that's worth 6-8 wins right there, even with the roster no better and possibly even weaker.
2) Cousins. 4th year. Whichever year it is that he steps forward as a major star, you can get another +8-10 wins just out of that.
Our offseason nearly exactly mirrors last year. We drafted an overhyped Kansas rookie who slid in the draft, possibly for good reason. We signed a duplicative free agent we didn't need. We swapped a 2nd round pick for a platoon player to bring some defense at SF. Except this year we threw away our 2nd best player to bring back a slow footed PG. Its another 25-30 win roster EXCEPT for Cousins and the coach. If both are for real, Malone squeezes some defense out of a crew of bad defenders, Cousins goes 20+ 11+ as a true anchor, then we can dream of chasing .500 again. If only one of those things is true maybe 35 wins. If neither is true, back to the crap and more praying for lottery luck.
I don't know how many wins we get this year, but man, this a "glass half empty" perspective. This off-season we were freed from owners who had no money to run an NBA franchise. The new owner is turning things over with a new GM and a new coach. We are in the beginning of new day in Sacramento. We are like 2 months into this new thing. IMHO, this off-season is dramatically different than last off-season.
12 wins, tops.
I agree with 1/2 of that. Lets face it free agency was never our friend, it is a process by which we hope to NOT loose talent. We let the "moveable pieces" from Houston go, and turned Evans into Vasquez and Landry. BUT we are working out an extension for Cousins, so it could be worse. The BEST hope we have to bring in talent is by trade (this is true every season) so now we wait and see what happens.I voted with the majority but I don't believe the FO is done in it's preseason moves. We are going to lose at least two and gain at least one. Won't be an earth shaker but it will help. Won't be a star but it will be a useful piece. Also, the two players we lose will also help us at least marginally. May not cause me to change my vote here. Onward and upward.
i desperately want to believe that "the currently constructed team" won't look exactly as it is to begin the season, but i'm skeptical of the kings' ability to make any kind of worthwhile upgrades, given that most of the rest of the nba has already made its splashes...
beyond that, i remain wholly unconvinced that the roster has actually improved thus far, both talent-wise and balance-wise. more to the point, i see little in the way of a "plan." now, the new front office might very well have a plan, but the personnel decisions made this offseason look quite a bit like the rudderless flailing about of the previous regime, and i am not encouraged by that rather startling resemblance...
like many, i expect the kings to win a few more games than last season by virtue of improved coaching and a [hopefully] bought-in demarcus cousins, but i am not optimistic about opportunities to further reshape the roster into a winner. the kings still need a legitimate #2, and preferably one that plays both ways, given the glaring defensive weaknesses that still run rampant across both the starting five and the bench. that said, they're unlikely to win enough games to build the kind of upward momentum we want to see. and, unfortunately, if DMC continues to improve, and if mike malone can squeeze just a bit of effort out of these kings on the defensive side of the ball, they're unlikely to lose enough games to score a top-five pick, unless this franchise's horrific streak in the draft lottery ends with a #1 pick in 2014. but that's just a hope and a prayer...
if you want to see a successful offseason by a small market franchise, just look at how the pacers are improving upon their weaknesses, offloading redundancies and dead weight, and remaining below the luxury tax threshold while they do it. their turnaround the last few seasons has been impressive, and it's tough to see so many former lottery teams lapping the kings while we keep hoping and praying over here in sacramento. the new regime has plenty of time to step up its game in the long term, but as training camp nears in their first offseason operating this franchise, much of the league is gonna want its rosters set, and teams are going to be less willing to deal for the kings' scraps...
And for me, the idea that the Kings now have a chance to accomplish the same kind of thing is reason for total and complete optimism. I fully understand your lack of appreciation for true optimism, so I don't expect you to buy in...yet. I think Vivek and Co. will do what they've committed themselves to doing and I'm looking forward to the time when they are used as an example of how a small market franchise can turn around.![]()
I think you have touched the important element - basketball is a team sport not a Cousins/whoever sport. Good team guys can make a good team.Very difficult to predict. I disagree that the season hinges on the coach, cousins or any other single person. Bball is the consumate team sport.
I think you have touched the important element - basketball is a team sport not a Cousins/whoever sport. Good team guys can make a good team.
Very difficult to predict. I disagree that the season hinges on the coach, cousins or any other single person. Bball is the consumate team sport.
there's certainly reason for optimism, but such is the nature of low expectations. it's hard to imagine a franchise being more poorly owned, managed, and coached than the sacramento kings across the last seven seasons, and it's nearly impossible to imagine the previous regime's replacements doing any worse...
that said, i honestly believe that vivek ranadive wants to build a winner in sacramento, intends to build a winner in sacramento, and will eventually build a winner in sacramento, but this offseason has shown me that the new regime is going to have to adapt to a rather steep learning curve on the way to achieving that goal. i think they've made crucial errors so far this offseason, and it very well may burden them with a more difficult climb than they initially signed up for...
as far as this season is concerned, i have not yet bought in, and i'm waiting to place my faith in the collective prowess of these highly-touted but relatively inexperienced individuals (relative to the positions they occupy). now, if they prove me wrong and toss up 40 wins in '13-'14 without batting an eyelash, i'll be the first to eat crow, and i'll do so happily. but i don't see that ceiling with this roster, nor do i see salvation on the other side of any hypothetical upcoming trade...
the western conference is brutal. that factor has not changed, even though the major players have. and i am not one who believes that a team like the lakers is going to sit idly by while the kings move up the standings in the coming seasons. if the kings don't luck out in next year's draft, "aggressive" doesn't even sufficiently describe the kind of strategy they'll need to build a winner around demarcus cousins...
again, i have never wanted to eat my fair share of crow more badly than i do right now. if it gets to that point, i'll gladly chase it with a chorus of "rah-rah"s along with everybody else who manages to adopt an optimist's stance at this fragile moment in the franchise's contemporary history. i'm just tired of the losing, and i don't want to see this franchise looking to the lottery every offseason for the next great hope, after squandering an opportunity with tyreke evans and after wasting demarcus' developmental years. they need to get things done from within...
Very difficult to predict. I disagree that the season hinges on the coach, cousins or any other single person. Bball is the consumate team sport.