Look, if this is really the personnel with which the Kings are going to open the season, it's not going to matter much what Joerger does. He'll get a ton of blame for a lousy season, and it will be undeserved. This team desperately needs an All Star talent in the back court who can score at will on his own. Cousins and "the others" isn't going to cut it.
I guess that depends on what you define as lousy.
Given that Rondo was a net negative statistically when he was on the court last year I don't see his departure hurting the team at all. And Afflalo is an upgrade at SG. Barnes, Tolliver, Temple Labissiere and Papagiannis are likely upgrades over Butler, Acy (debatable here but likely a better fit), Anderson, Dukan and Moreland.
I'm expecting a trade that brings in backcourt help but even if that doesn't happen and all the Kings do is sign Isaiah Cousins and/or a cheap veteran PG it seems like this is an improved roster to me.
The Kings won 33 games in a chaotic season under Karl where players fought with their coach, their coach demoralized many of the players and overall the team quit on the season, especially down the stretch where they just rested everyone.
Seems to me that eclipsing 33 wins should be a pretty attainable goal. Enough to make the playoffs? Possibly, especially if the defense is much improved. Joerger is a much better coach in terms of relating to his players and getting them to buy in than Karl is, but his true strength is being an X's and O's strategist. I think it's feasible that the Kings take a step forward this year - possibly a big one.
I'm bullish on the Jazz this year but looking at their assumed starting lineup:
Gobert
Favors
Hayward
Johnson or Hood
Exum
it's hard for me to say that's significantly better than
Cousins
Cauley-Stein
Gay
Afflalo
Collison
I wouldn't be surprised to see either team (or even both) make the playoffs as a low seed next year if Joerger can really improve the defense significantly.
I guess that depends on what you define as lousy.
Given that Rondo was a net negative statistically when he was on the court last year I don't see his departure hurting the team at all. And Afflalo is an upgrade at SG. Barnes, Tolliver, Temple Labissiere and Papagiannis are likely upgrades over Butler, Acy (debatable here but likely a better fit), Anderson, Dukan and Moreland.
I'm expecting a trade that brings in backcourt help but even if that doesn't happen and all the Kings do is sign Isaiah Cousins and/or a cheap veteran PG it seems like this is an improved roster to me.
The Kings won 33 games in a chaotic season under Karl where players fought with their coach, their coach demoralized many of the players and overall the team quit on the season, especially down the stretch where they just rested everyone.
Seems to me that eclipsing 33 wins should be a pretty attainable goal. Enough to make the playoffs? Possibly, especially if the defense is much improved. Joerger is a much better coach in terms of relating to his players and getting them to buy in than Karl is, but his true strength is being an X's and O's strategist. I think it's feasible that the Kings take a step forward this year - possibly a big one.
I'm bullish on the Jazz this year but looking at their assumed starting lineup:
Gobert
Favors
Hayward
Johnson or Hood
Exum
it's hard for me to say that's significantly better than
Cousins
Cauley-Stein
Gay
Afflalo
Collison
I wouldn't be surprised to see either team (or even both) make the playoffs as a low seed next year if Joerger can really improve the defense significantly.
Funky,
Even 34 wins would be lousy; anything below .500 would be lousy, as it would be highly unlikely they would get the 8th slot in the playoffs with that number. Not sure about Utah. They seem similar to the Kings, in that they lack they necessary firepower in the back court. Exum is a large question mark because of his outside shooting.
You forgot George Hill as their starting PG and that team is better than ours in all positions outside of the center position (where they have the best rim-protector in the league).
Way to succeed in today's NBA if you're the Kings:
1. Acquire talent. This may seem simple, but the draft history over the past decade shows otherwise. Curry, Thompson, Barnes, Lillard, and more have been passed over for assets that proved to not even be serviceable in the league.
2. Keep talent you manage to acquire. If you draft guys like IT, don't trade them for peanuts to watch them become All Stars elsewhere (shoutout to Whiteside. Imagine a Boogie/Hassan frontline).
3. Be a stable organization. Even if the wins aren't coming, the worst thing you can be is unstable. The drama the past few seasons has resulted in our franchise being the Chernobyl of the NBA. The Kings are a no-fly-zone for top talent in the league, which wasn't the case when they had a stable FO, stable coaching staff, and a winning product.
I feel like you are severely overestimating at least half of Utah's talent. #GrassIsGreenerUtah is better than us. No doubt about it.
Cousins > Gobert
Cauley-Stein < Favors
Gay < Hayward
Afflalo < Hood
Collison < Hill
Koufos < Diaw
Tolliver < Lyles
Casspi = J. Johnson
McLemore < Burks
Temple < Exum
Forgive me if I am misinterpreting your post, but I still don't see you saying that the Kings are better than the Jazz which is what my post is arguing against. We can argue about little things like maybe Temple being better than Exum, but if you don't disagree with the premise, we don't have much else to discuss...I feel like you are severely overestimating at least half of Utah's talent. #GrassIsGreener
Good points...but I just got to disagree on the Thompson < Bogut. Thompson was a defensive beast and a rebounding machine. They don't win without him.Thompson < Bogut
Lebron >>>> Green
Jefferson < Barnes
Smith < Thompson
Irving < Curry
Cousins >>> Gobert
Cauley-Stein < Favors
Gay < Hayward
Afflalo < Hood
Collison < Hill
Sometimes all you need is one player with those extra >>>'s.
I don't know whether or not the Kings are better than the Jazz; this team doesn't really resemble the last Kings team that played the Jazz. However, comma, the last Kings team we saw was one that most of us agree was not very good, and they took two out of three from the Jazz.Forgive me if I am misinterpreting your post, but I still don't see you saying that the Kings are better than the Jazz which is what my post is arguing against. We can argue about little things like maybe Temple being better than Exum, but if you don't disagree with the premise, we don't have much else to discuss...
Good points...but I just got to disagree on the Thompson < Bogut. Thompson was a defensive beast and a rebounding machine. They don't win without him.
Gay and Hayward.....even? Afflalo and Hood.... Even? DC and Hill....even. I have a feeling that Sac is going to become a defensive unit like Utah. Would be a good series.
I don't know whether or not the Kings are better than the Jazz; this team doesn't really resemble the last Kings team that played the Jazz. However, comma, the last Kings team we saw was one that most of us agree was not very good, and they took two out of three from the Jazz.
So, I neither agree nor disagree with the premise, but I probably trend towards disagreeing with it. It is entirely possible that I am way less impressed with Utah's talent than you are.
I'll take Collison over hill and Casspi over Johnson. Wcs is our only real wild card... Would be amazing to see him make an unexpectedly big leap.Utah is better than us. No doubt about it.
Cousins > Gobert
Cauley-Stein < Favors
Gay < Hayward
Afflalo < Hood
Collison < Hill
Koufos < Diaw
Tolliver < Lyles
Casspi = J. Johnson
McLemore < Burks
Temple < Exum
Comparison with Utah is nice, because Utah is similarly a "no name" team like the Kings (except DMC). Rudy probably isn't the name name he was, but he still is a very good player. Looking at that comparison between Hayward - Gay and J. Johnson - Casspi is right about even. Both Rudy and Casspi played less minutes than their counterparts, but were just about even in scoring. Casspi scored 0.4 points less per game than J. Johnson, but played over 6 minutes less per game. While Hayward was their no. 1 scorer, Rudy was the second option. J. Johnson was a starter in the Nets while Casspi was not the go to guy even in the second lineup. So let's not be too hasty with these comparisons. I mean, the Kings have scorers if you want to use them.
To me it is much more important to have a super tough defensive lineup out there at any given time. I also don't see any reason why the Kings can't make a 0.500 record this year. The 33 win record does not tell everything. You have probably forgotten already that in the end of the season many of the top Kings players were not even traveling with the team anymore. There were other periods when the effort and determination was not there. Therefore, in my opinion, 0.500 is clearly achievable.