bajaden
Hall of Famer
I may be giving too much credit to Stern and co. but it sounds to me like the overwhelming majority of what the owners want is a situation where it would make it even more likely that we'd be able to retain our guys. I think there are about 29 other owners right now somewhat PO'd by what went down in Miami this past summer and are determined to make sure that if it happens again, the players involved will have to give up far more than a measly 10 million over the life of their contracts.
First off, I'd like to split that measly 10 million with you. Secondly, I think your right. I think the owners would like to be in a situation where they have more control over the future of their team. That means taking as much control of the outcome of player movement as possible. Just having a hard cap in place would be a giant step toward limiting player movement. The major advantage the big markets have over the small markets is money. If you can limit the use of that money, the playing field becomes more equal.
I think Stern likes what he see's in the NFL, where you can't predict whose in the superbowl from year to year. Where, through good drafting and managing, you can go from the bottom to the top in a year or two. Quite different from the old days when the teams that had the money, were usually the one's at the top. Now I'm sure LA and New York would probably disagree with him. But when you look at the excitement generated by the playoffs this year, you have to think a large part of it is because of the fresh blood like the Thunder, Chicago, and the Grizz, and the demise of the Lakers, Spurs etc.
What I wonder, is whether the League, and the players union, are both willing to throw water on all the good PR the playoffs are generating, by having a lockout, and possibly cancelling the season. My gut tells me no! I think a compromise will be reached. Neither side will get all of what it wants, which is the usual result anyway. I think the players union will give up a little of its guaranteed money. And I think there will be some changes in rookie salarys, and length of contracts. If the league is unable to get a hard cap put in place, then I think there will be some changes in how your allowed to go over it. Such as doing away with the MLE.
It obvious that the whole concept of the luxury tax was to put restrictions on the teams with the money. As it turned out, teams like New York and LA etc. could care less about the luxury tax. So while it may have worked to some degree, it didn't have the effect the league wanted. It'll be interesting to see how it all shakes out. Hopefully in the Kings favor.