Bricklayer
Don't Make Me Use The Bat
Been meaning to do this for the last few days, but been very busy.
We are all disappointed with the general suckiness of this squad, but how much should we be, and how much was just unrealistic expectations? Some interesting comparisons here:
Bibby:
04-05: 38.6min 19.6pts (.443 FG% .360 3pt% .775 FT%) 4.2reb 6.8ast 1.6stl 0.4blk 2.5TO
05-06: 37.3min 19.6pts (.440 FG% .407 3pt% .836 FT%) 3.1reb 5.4ast 0.9stl 0.2blk 2.3TO
Notes: Offensively Mike is every bit as good as he was last year. Rebounds and assits are down, but down to his normal numbers for us -- averaged 2.8, 2.7, and 3.4 rebs before last season, and 5.0, 5.2 and 5.4 ast before last year. One year spike. Steals is interesting, lowest of his career and a big fall off. Statistical reflection of the general impression of a bad defender having an even worse year?
Peja:
04-05: 38.4min 20.1pts (.444 FG% .402 3pt% .920 FT%) 4.3reb 2.1ast 1.2stl 0.2blk 1.6TO
05-06: 37.3min 17.2pts (.417 FG% .420 3pt% .927 FT%) 4.7reb 2.3ast 0.7stl 0.1blk 1.4TO
Notes: As will be seen, of all the guys the only one who is actually down from his recent offensive numbers. Of course this falloff began last year when the shooting percentages started to drop and the rebounding stopped. Note the curiosity that Peja is as good or better this year from 3pt range and the FT stripe (where he gets a free point or two every game shooting technicals), but is shooting MUCH worse from 2pt range. Perhaps the big falloff on laser passes from Vlade/Webb/Doug to Peja inside on cuts for easy layups. No more spoon feeds, and creating for himself, in traffic inside, = bad news. Note also the steals. Like Mike, a statistical reflection of a falloff in defensive intensity? Career low again.
Reef:
04-05: 34.6min 16.8pts (.503 FG% .385 3pt% .866 FT%) 7.3reb 2.1ast 0.9stl 0.5blk 2.2TO
05-06: 35.4min 16.5pts (.547 FG% .500 3pt% .792 FT%) 6.4reb 3.2ast 0.7stl 0.9blk 2.0TO
Notes: Amongst all the posts suggesting the contrary, is it possible Reef actually BENEFITS from this system/team structure? Again pts and rebounds similar to last year, while FG% is by far and away a career high, and perhaps a reflection of the extra attention all of the other scorers get. 3pt% must be considered an aberration, but again a career high. Ironically somewhat of a falloff in FT% after years of 80%+ -- lowest since 1998. Assists are elevated by the Princeton no doubt, and also a return to his earlier years when he would get 3 a game. And blocks are the highest they've been since the year we met the Lakers in the WCF, although obviously still bad for a PF. And then there's rebounds. Suck of course. But sucked last year too. And here's a stat for you: In 1999-2000, the year forever ago that we had Nick Anderson, Reef briefly topped 10 rebs a game. These are the annual averages in the 7 years since: 10.1, 9.1, 9.0, 8.4, 7.5, 7.3, 6.4...detecting a trend?
Bonzi:
02-03: 31.9min 15.2pts (.441 FG% .292 2pt% .722 FT%) 5.3reb 3.3ast 1.6stl 0.2blk 2.9TO
05-06: 34.3min 15.1pts (.476 FG% .227 3pt% .670 FT%) 7.6reb 3.2ast 1.8stl 0.5blk 2.6TO
Notes: Obviously I cheated a bit here to go back and find the closer comparison to the last time Bonzi started and got 30+ min in a season. I did not highlight the shooting percentages, either better (FG) or worse (3pt and FT) because the year before 02-03 (01-02) Bonzi shot .469 and is a career .465 shooter. Meanwhile his outside shooting numbers here may or may not have something to do with his own injured finger. Hard to tell, as he's never been much of a shooter or FTer. In any case, rest of the numbers match up quite well, with the exception obviously of the rebounding. He's always been an excellent rebounder, but this year has taken it to another level.
Miller:
04-05: 37.3min 15.6pts (.524 FG% .263 3pt% .812 FT%) 9.3reb 3.9ast 1.2stl 1.2blk 1.5TO
05-06: 36.5min 14.6pts (.516 FG% .292 3pt% .858 FT%) 8.1reb 5.6ast 1.0stl 0.5blk 2.3TO
Notes: So once again, the offensive numbers all match very closely with last season. Like Reef, the rebounding has been trending in the wrong direction ever since he hit Sacto -- 10, to 9, now to 8. But its a muich shorter three year trend, and it has been getting a little better here in recent weeks. Assists are up as he basically assumes all of the passing duties that Vlade and Webb used to split between them, and turnovers have risen too as a logical result. Shotblocking is worth highlighting, just because again, like Bibby and Peja, maybe it means something. In his two prior years in Sacto Brad has been a crappy defender, but had actually raised his shotblocking to career highs (very modest impact free 1.2 a game). Now he has fallen back to 0.5, which is about where he was beore he hit Sacto and is below Bonzi.
We are all disappointed with the general suckiness of this squad, but how much should we be, and how much was just unrealistic expectations? Some interesting comparisons here:
Bibby:
04-05: 38.6min 19.6pts (.443 FG% .360 3pt% .775 FT%) 4.2reb 6.8ast 1.6stl 0.4blk 2.5TO
05-06: 37.3min 19.6pts (.440 FG% .407 3pt% .836 FT%) 3.1reb 5.4ast 0.9stl 0.2blk 2.3TO
Notes: Offensively Mike is every bit as good as he was last year. Rebounds and assits are down, but down to his normal numbers for us -- averaged 2.8, 2.7, and 3.4 rebs before last season, and 5.0, 5.2 and 5.4 ast before last year. One year spike. Steals is interesting, lowest of his career and a big fall off. Statistical reflection of the general impression of a bad defender having an even worse year?
Peja:
04-05: 38.4min 20.1pts (.444 FG% .402 3pt% .920 FT%) 4.3reb 2.1ast 1.2stl 0.2blk 1.6TO
05-06: 37.3min 17.2pts (.417 FG% .420 3pt% .927 FT%) 4.7reb 2.3ast 0.7stl 0.1blk 1.4TO
Notes: As will be seen, of all the guys the only one who is actually down from his recent offensive numbers. Of course this falloff began last year when the shooting percentages started to drop and the rebounding stopped. Note the curiosity that Peja is as good or better this year from 3pt range and the FT stripe (where he gets a free point or two every game shooting technicals), but is shooting MUCH worse from 2pt range. Perhaps the big falloff on laser passes from Vlade/Webb/Doug to Peja inside on cuts for easy layups. No more spoon feeds, and creating for himself, in traffic inside, = bad news. Note also the steals. Like Mike, a statistical reflection of a falloff in defensive intensity? Career low again.
Reef:
04-05: 34.6min 16.8pts (.503 FG% .385 3pt% .866 FT%) 7.3reb 2.1ast 0.9stl 0.5blk 2.2TO
05-06: 35.4min 16.5pts (.547 FG% .500 3pt% .792 FT%) 6.4reb 3.2ast 0.7stl 0.9blk 2.0TO
Notes: Amongst all the posts suggesting the contrary, is it possible Reef actually BENEFITS from this system/team structure? Again pts and rebounds similar to last year, while FG% is by far and away a career high, and perhaps a reflection of the extra attention all of the other scorers get. 3pt% must be considered an aberration, but again a career high. Ironically somewhat of a falloff in FT% after years of 80%+ -- lowest since 1998. Assists are elevated by the Princeton no doubt, and also a return to his earlier years when he would get 3 a game. And blocks are the highest they've been since the year we met the Lakers in the WCF, although obviously still bad for a PF. And then there's rebounds. Suck of course. But sucked last year too. And here's a stat for you: In 1999-2000, the year forever ago that we had Nick Anderson, Reef briefly topped 10 rebs a game. These are the annual averages in the 7 years since: 10.1, 9.1, 9.0, 8.4, 7.5, 7.3, 6.4...detecting a trend?
Bonzi:
02-03: 31.9min 15.2pts (.441 FG% .292 2pt% .722 FT%) 5.3reb 3.3ast 1.6stl 0.2blk 2.9TO
05-06: 34.3min 15.1pts (.476 FG% .227 3pt% .670 FT%) 7.6reb 3.2ast 1.8stl 0.5blk 2.6TO
Notes: Obviously I cheated a bit here to go back and find the closer comparison to the last time Bonzi started and got 30+ min in a season. I did not highlight the shooting percentages, either better (FG) or worse (3pt and FT) because the year before 02-03 (01-02) Bonzi shot .469 and is a career .465 shooter. Meanwhile his outside shooting numbers here may or may not have something to do with his own injured finger. Hard to tell, as he's never been much of a shooter or FTer. In any case, rest of the numbers match up quite well, with the exception obviously of the rebounding. He's always been an excellent rebounder, but this year has taken it to another level.
Miller:
04-05: 37.3min 15.6pts (.524 FG% .263 3pt% .812 FT%) 9.3reb 3.9ast 1.2stl 1.2blk 1.5TO
05-06: 36.5min 14.6pts (.516 FG% .292 3pt% .858 FT%) 8.1reb 5.6ast 1.0stl 0.5blk 2.3TO
Notes: So once again, the offensive numbers all match very closely with last season. Like Reef, the rebounding has been trending in the wrong direction ever since he hit Sacto -- 10, to 9, now to 8. But its a muich shorter three year trend, and it has been getting a little better here in recent weeks. Assists are up as he basically assumes all of the passing duties that Vlade and Webb used to split between them, and turnovers have risen too as a logical result. Shotblocking is worth highlighting, just because again, like Bibby and Peja, maybe it means something. In his two prior years in Sacto Brad has been a crappy defender, but had actually raised his shotblocking to career highs (very modest impact free 1.2 a game). Now he has fallen back to 0.5, which is about where he was beore he hit Sacto and is below Bonzi.
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