Let me put it this way since I can get really long winded sometimes. If Fox had the exact same numbers from this year and I went and looked at his game logs and the numbers were bad and then all the sudden in March and April he averages 16ppg and 5apg, I'd have something to be excited about. You could say that he's turning the corner. But that's not the case. His numbers were all over the place from month to month, not showing much improvement. Kemba Walker was even worse than him his rookie year so it's not like he's done for but if you check out the top PGs in the league, most of them probably had good rookie years. Curry, Wall, Paul, Lillard, Irving and Westbrook all had really good to solid rookie years. Walker, Conley, and Lowry didn't. So you start to get a feel for what category Fox has a chance of landing in and unless he's a complete outlier, that first group is out and now we have to hope he lands in this second group. He could wind up as the best PG of all time but the numbers are slowly telling you where he's probably going to wind up.
I don't quite agree with 206fan comparison Fox to Curry since they were 4 years apart as rookies but the odds of Fox reaching that group's levels have now dropped considerably after his rookie campaign. We all know that every player doesn't come into the league guns blazing but we also know that each year the player doesn't develop basically lowers the odds of them ever developing into a really good player. There are obviously outliers there but the odds are against most of our players at the moment. We don't even have a single player currently on the team with the potential that Curry and Klay had their rookie years.
We're putting our money on a player with a horrible rookie season (Fox), a 25 year old solid player who more than likely doesn't have much of a ceiling (Bogdan), a 24 year old great shooter with terrible handles and improving but shaky defense (Buddy), a 21 year old that has regressed offensively (Skal) and a kid we haven't seen play healthy since high school (Giles). That's 5 core players with massive question marks and the two with the least amount of question marks are older and don't have the time nor the odds of developing as the younger guys do. The odds simply aren't there for us and while I'm not ready to write them off, I'm not going to bank on them being anything like Golden State or even the Nuggets. Basically we're playing against house money right now and it's not a foregone conclusion that we're going to lose but the odds are not in our favor at the moment. I think we still need to acquire our best player to have a shot at the playoffs in a couple years.