Yeah, the list of “stars” that might (and I mean “might”) be available during the offseason are…
- James Harden
- Joel Embiid
- Julius Randle
- Kawhi Leonard
- Kevin Durant
- Lauri Markkanen
- Paul George
- Trae Young
- Zion Williamson
That’s not a very inspiring list, and of that list, I’d say only these players have the ability/potential to be a #1 on a top team…
- Joel Embiid
- Kawhi Leonard
- Kevin Durant
- Zion Williamson
And of that list, I don’t see how Embiid makes sense with Sabonis here (and I doubt we have the assets to beat out other teams anyway). The other three guys all have injury and/or age concerns.
I probably like Leonard the least out of those 3 considering he’s just as big of an injury risk as Zion but he’ll also be 34 years old at the start of next season (9 years older than Zion). If I’m going to bet on a player who’s had injury issues, I’m taking the 25 year old.
Durant has his own injury concerns but definitely not at the level of Leonard or Zion. However, he’s going to be 37 at the start of next season. How much longer will he play and will it be at an high enough level to still be an #1 option? Also, he’ll be an UFA after the 2025-26 season. What are we having to give up to get him and will he end up just walking in 1 year’s time?
Having said that, Durant is an excellent fit on paper for us (better fit than Zion) so maybe it’s worth the risk (depending on the price) to hope that you strike gold in that 1 year with him and convince him to hang around for a bit longer.
The other issue with trading for Durant is what would PHX want? They don’t own their 2027, 2029, and 2031 1sts, and they owe swaps on their 2026, 2028, and 2030 1sts. Trading both Durant and Booker and bottoming out doesn’t seem like a realistic path unless they are getting some of their own 1sts back in the deal. The complication is that multiple teams are tied to their 1sts (HOU and UTA) and multiple teams are tied to their swaps (WAS, ORL, BKN, MEM).
Maybe there is some universe where they send us Durant for assets and send Booker to HOU for their picks and other assets, and weave in one or two of those teams (UTA, WAS, ORL, BKN, MEM) to get more of their picks/pick swaps back. Or maybe they are satisfied with simply moving Durant for assets and attempting to retool around Booker (thus keeping the picks they owe to other teams not as valuable). Hard to say what they want to do.
If you can turn LaVine + assets into Durant and flip DeRozan + assets for Cam Johnson, that’s a pretty good looking, complementary team…
PG - Monk / Carter
SG - Ellis
SF - Murray / Johnson
PF - Durant
C - Sabonis / Valanciunas