Nuggets still can't play any defense, so any games against teams, that can put up points in a hurry are not a guarantee for them, even if they look like that on the paper: @Bucks, Lakers and @Blazers; they have 3 games left vs Rockets, and at this moment that's almost guaranteed 3 losses. But the key would be 3 games against Kings and Pelicans each.
Pels lost their only game at home by 5 points, but that was without a bunch of players, while replacements played their first official game. Pels are not going away as they just beat Grizzlies on the road.
If Kings take 2 out of 3 games in Denver series, they will have the tie-breaker on both Pels and Nugs.