Out of those teams 2 have won the championship. Based around the fact that they brought in a HUGE FA or made a HUGE trade or trades. i.e. Heat w/o Shaq are a borderline lotto team. The Spurs picked all their guys in the draft but with late 1st rounders, not lotto picks.
Those teams didn't build from the draft. I think it's safe to say we have about 2 top lotto pick type players in Bibby and Artest. I don't see a reason to gamble them away for a lotto pick and hope it becomes somewhat as good as these guys. If they were old maybe but they are 28 and 27!
Thats a big mistake that everyone makes when Shaq is on a team and not playing, they think that the team would be a lottery team without Shaq. Problem is while Shaq is on the roster you build the team differently and when he is injured and not playing the team really suffers for that time.
1. Do you think udonis Haslem and Michael Doleac will really be their starting bigs or would they start for any team in the league
2. you are taking away 25-30 mil in salary out and expecting that team to compete with a team that supposedly has that extra 25 mil on the floor for them.
3. Because Shaq is on the team you dont expect other bigs who can score on their own or defend (atleast occupy ) the paint as he can. When he is out you get a gaping hole in the middle that the other teams will take advantage of
4. Defensive schemes are built around Shaq and when he is not there you will need to adjust and refine the strategy (again read point 1 )
5. Offense also needs to be tinkered and Wade might be good enough to make 4 or 5 highlight reel plays a game but he cannot do everything and needs his team to contribute on offense and for that the system needs to work with the right personnel.
for example throw the ball to low post, expect double team and have strong side three point shooter on the corner - option not available since there is no double team on the low post
other option, if no double team, cut the passer to the baseline for a pass for a layup - Not available, low post defender covering the pass and is not worried about doleac or haslem making a low post move
other option - kick it out to weak side and rotate the ball - if shaq was in the weakside defender would have been paying attention to his move to come in for a double if he made a low post move, now he is focussing on his man and it is not an easy pass for a score but a general catch and create
Wade with the other players who were dealt for Shaq did make the playoffs three years ago and Wade has gotten better after that so I dont agree with you assesment that they are a lottery team. This team with Shaq on the bench and not playing will also make the playoffs