I'll be curious to see how the narrative around Luka Doncic is shaped as his career progresses. He's got loads of talent and skill to match, but I still maintain he's playing for a low-key terrible team, and that always has an impact on shaping the narrative. The Mavericks sport the league's worst road record at 2-14. They've been impressive at home, of course, which has offset their extremely poor road play, but they've also had one of the NBA's cushiest schedules in the first third of the season. That's about to change. Despite losing four straight, their schedule doesn't get easier as they head into the new year. The next two months are an absolute minefield. I've said it before, but I honestly believe they're headed for a plunge down the standings, no matter how excellent Luka's level of play remains.
None of this would be worth noting, except the Mavericks dealt their 2019 first rounder in order to move up to draft Doncic in the first place. It's top-5 protected, so if they really sink down to the league's basement, it may not matter. But as deeply skeptical as I am of their playoff aspirations, I also don't think they're bottom-five bad. I expect their 2019 first rounder to confer to Atlanta. And after that, the cupboard's rather bare. Harrison Barnes is a solid piece. So is Deandre Jordan. But Doncic/Barnes/Jordan does not a "Big Three" make. Maybe Dennis Smith Jr. finds his mojo this season. Or maybe he has a third year leap next season. Either way, the Mavs kinda need DSJ to develop into a second star. If their recent track record in free agency is any indication, they will struggle to attract the kind of talent that will make a difference.
All of this is to say, I'm curious about just how good Luka really is. I'm also curious how good his most ardent fans believe he'll be. Is he Lebron James good? That is, will he be able to carry a thoroughly below-average squad into the playoffs all on his own? If that's the case, then yeah, the Kings (as well as the Suns, the Grizzlies, and the Hawks) all made a huge mistake passing on him. Or is Luka Doncic only Demarcus Cousins good? That is, will he evince an otherworldly kind of talent that the NBA marvels at, while never lifting his team to greater heights? If he's in that tier, then it's not exactly a fireable offense to have passed on him, as good as he looks during his rookie season. Time will tell, of course.
Ya know, it's funny, a lot of the pre-draft hype machine was practically begging for Luka to get drafted by any team except the Kings. Sacramento is an NBA backwater with an ignominious history of futility attached to its reputation. He'd languish on that franchise and never live up to his potential, they said. Yet as a member of the Dallas Mavericks, I do have to wonder if he'll end up a big stats/bad team kind of player. They're a well-coached ball club. Rick Carlisle squeezes every ounce of defensive potential he can from his rosters. These Mavs are playing pretty damn well on that end, considering their make-up. But the West is insanely competitive these days, even moreso than it's been across the last decade. They're going to need more talent, but it's going to be difficult for them to acquire it. They're asset poor.
I mentioned Demarcus Cousins earlier. Part of me actually expects the Mavericks to sign him this off-season. If they renounce all of their own free agents, they'll have enough cap room to offer the max to one guy (a second superstar would have to take a paycut), and I just don't see Durant or Leonard or Irving heading for Dallas, and I certainly don't see more than one star heading there. My guess is Mark Cuban will end up throwing money at whoever he can get a meeting with in the tiers below players like Durant. That's just the Mavericks' way. But a Doncic/Cousins pairing is not uninteresting, should Cousins return to even 80% of the player he was before injury. Anyway, this is all idle speculation, and I'm not really prognosticating here. Just loosing some stray thoughts into the ether.