Aside from my disinterest in providing 'data' re the value of a winning culture, I'm not sure that it can be quantified.
I would agree that tanking to obtain a good draft pick or picks has had value for some. Nothing is promised though. Examples:
- Cleveland tanked to get their home grown golden child LBJ. LeBron won his first championship with Miami. He did win a championship with Cleveland after signing as a free agent.
- In 1992 Orlando drafted Shaq with the first pick of the NBA draft. They had an opportunity to be great when they paired him with Penny. Shaq left.
There are alternative pathways to success. Examples:
- In 1996 Peja Stojakovic was drafted at 14 by the Kings. In 1998 the Kings drafted Jason Williams at 7. They traded Mitch Richmond and Otis Thorpe for Chris Webber and signed Vlade Divacs. After trading Jason Williams for Mike Bibby, the team won 59 games in the regular season and came within one game of winning a championship in 2002. The same year Golden State won 38 games and were in season 8 of a 12-year playoff drought.
- In 2004 the Detroit Pistons traded spare change for Rasheed Wallace. His team mates included Chauncy Billups (a former under-performing no 3 pick on his third team), Rip Hamilton (who was traded for Jason Stackhouse), Tayshaun Prince (a no 23 pick), and franchise favourite Ben Wallace (undrafted). They won a championship. Their No 2 pick (Darko) didn’t help.
There is risk in committing oneself to only one form of logic. Example:
- The year the Kings drafted Tyreke Evans, there were posters on this forum adamant he was a better pick than Steph Curry. ‘Tyreke is the type of player you win championships with, Steph is not’. And in fairness, he did pretty well for a minute while Steph struggled with durability issues.
Philadelphia's current promise can be attributed mostly to draft picks. Sure. But. What other steps have they taken to improve their culture? In 2015 they hired David Martin as their head of sport science. Prior to joining the 76ers, Dr Martin spent 21 years working with the Australian Institute of Sport as well as leading Australian and European cycling teams. How much difference will this make to now or the future? Probably slim. But if you can't measure it you can't test it. ... On the Australian Institute of Sports. They were really successful until other countries copied what they were doing. i.e. an innovative and novel approach to performance worked until it was less innovative and less novel. Tanking is no longer innovative or novel. Sadly, too many bachelors and not enough roses.
Where do I stand re the current Kings and their future? There is reason for optimism. The current roster has several quality NBA players who will improve. There is some money for free agents. There is a draft pick coming. There is more stability in both the front office and coaching team than there was previously. The owner appears more settled. Will this equal success in a few years? I don’t know. Have I been optimistic before, only to be left with 82 objectionable box scores? Sure. Will there be some more missteps. Yes (maybe you would feel better if we referred to any future mistakes as "Nerlens Noels" as this seems to be a context you appreciate). What does this leave me with as a fan? Certainly, no less than if the kings spent 5 years trying to get as many first round picks as possible.