QWERTYLICIOUS
Starter
The NBA is about to reward you with that #1 pick!
Race to the Bottom thread
- Thread starter iowamcnabb
- Start date
ockingsfan
Starter
We can't even win a damn coin flip. SMDH
QWERTYLICIOUS
Starter
The coin is even against us!We can't even win a damn coin flip. SMDH
BillyStrings
G-League
Outsmarted by Danny Ainge.
SacTownKid
Hall of Famer
In other words, I'm not trying to fly the plane into the mountain. Trust me! lol.
SacTownKid
Hall of Famer
On tankathon I've have better results at 5 than 4. lol.
Insomniacal Fan
Starter
Well, I don't want to talk about quantum physics if you don't. Is there any way that the coin flip and the lottery draw can influence each other in a way that's perceivable by humans?
QWERTYLICIOUS
Starter
I ran a bunch of simulations on tankathon earlier this afternoon, and we jumped all the way up to the 1st pick well over 50% of the time. Although the number of simulations I ran wasn't too terribly high, it still gave me some glimmer of hope, lol!!!
Insomniacal Fan
Starter
LoungeLizard
Starter
Just ran 10 simulations, here were results of Kings pick: 3, 3, 6, 8, 3, 8, 7, 6, 8, 7
Expecting the worst, hoping for the best.
Expecting the worst, hoping for the best.
sactowndog
Hall of Famer
The 7th spot is now are most likely result. Yeah!! While the Jazz most likely spot is 6th. 2021 draft all over again for the Three Stooges of Professional sports.
gunks
Hall of Famer
Perry
With the tiers seeming to be
AJ
Wilson, Boozer, Peterson
"the rest" 5-10
I can't get too torn up about potentially dropping to 9 vs 7.
See all you rascals on May 10th!
With the tiers seeming to be
AJ
Wilson, Boozer, Peterson
"the rest" 5-10
I can't get too torn up about potentially dropping to 9 vs 7.
See all you rascals on May 10th!
sactowndog
Hall of Famer
Actually as much as I despise this organization, in many ways this flip was okay. It really only matters if we both fail to make the top 4 which could happen but could well not. By loosing we do get our 2nd round pick in front of Utah for sure.
sactowndog
Hall of Famer
Ainge has a pretty good draft history. If neither of us get top 4 we will likely regret this season if 5 years at least as much as we regret 2021 now.
sactowndog
Hall of Famer
Pretty smart marketing on their part to set you up for local adverts.
Joshyjosh31
Starter
I have as well and landed in the top three more often then when I did it in April when we were slotted 1-3
Tetsujin
The Game Thread Dude
Ainge rather famously does not have a pretty good draft history. He does a good job of collecting swings at the piñata and managed to hit a leg hard enough for a couple of pieces of candy to fall out every once in a while though.
sactowndog
Hall of Famer
Jalen Brown, Jason Tatum say hi. He takes swings on guys and does miss some but gets real winners also
Insomniacal Fan
Starter
I ran a million simulations, here are my results:
| Pick | Number of times simulation produced pick |
| 1 | 116337 |
| 2 | 113767 |
| 3 | 112195 |
| 4 | 110611 |
| 5 | 20061 |
| 6 | 182183 |
| 7 | 254832 |
| 8 | 85028 |
| 9 | 4986 |
MizzouKing
Starter
I still say they would do well to just give us the number one pick... we'll do something Kingsy and pick some rando from the top 20, the pro-tank accusations will go away for the league, and everyone else can just go back to business as planned.
Tetsujin
The Game Thread Dude
Pretty much every single pick he’s made since taking over the Jazz aside from Keyonte George say hi.
sactowndog
Hall of Famer
Too early to tell on some of them.
LoungeLizard
Starter
Kings and the 7th pick, name a better pair.
coolhandluke
Starter
Well deserved.
The concept of them being two separate events is in itself an error in perception. Or perhaps it would be more accurate to call it an illusion of perception. The coin flip is what the NBA League Office uses to assign a subset of possible outcomes to each team. Since we do not yet know the actual outcome, we don't yet know if Subset A > Subset B or vice versa. We have incomplete information. Nothing changed in the world as a result of the coin flip. The only thing which has changed is the mental value we, as Kings fans, now assign to Subset B relative to Subset A.
It's as if we've been asked to choose between two closed doors. The result we want is either behind one of them or it isn't. The way we go about making the decision of which door to open can be calculated probabilistically but that isn't the only way to make decisions. And if we do make the statistically better decision (in this case that would be winning the coin flip and selecting Subset A) and don't get the outcome we want, doesn't that ultimately make it the wrong decision? History is filled with stories of people who made the best decision available to them based on the information they had... and lost. We don't remember them as winners.
Graphs, man, we need graphs.
Insomniacal Fan
Starter
Kazam!
