And here's your cautionary tale for Sharpe where a high school superstar flames out. Not saying Sharpe will flame out or anything, but it happens far more than people expect.
Brandon Boston is another example. He was ranked somewhere between the 5-8th best prospect for the 2020 class, struggled at Kentucky and fell to the 51st pick. He still looks to have solid potential to be a good NBA player, but clearly didn't live up to projections.
That said, Baldwin ranked between #4-8 in terms of prospects for this year's freshman class. Neither of these guys were ranked #1 as Sharpe was. That seems like a small thing, but most of the guys that were consistent #1 recruits the last 15 years have gone on to be very good NBA players. Of course, Marvin Bagley is one recent example that wasn't.
I don't know how good Shaedon Sharpe can or will be, but the TYPE of player he is makes me a little less nervous that he'll be a bust.
He's a guard with good size for the position. He's physically developed and an NBA level athlete, but his biggest strengths are actually creating space for his shot, scoring, and secondary playmaking.
I'd be more concerned if he was overwhelming lower competition with size, strength, and/or athleticism.
Again, I'm not confident enough in Sharpe to say that for sure the Kings should take him at 4 - just that his profile is that of a useful and potentially very good player.