Technically we would have Bird rights now if not for the superseding restriction. But your point is valid, if Jake wants to play the long game, bet on himself, he could take a 1+1 which would be the fastest possible path to exercisable Bird rights for him. At the same time it's a risk, and a "big enough" contract would certainly pry him away. Maybe that's not $7M, but for sure if somebody throws out 3/$40M total he's not sticking around at $5M for a year to see if he can turn that into $18M/year from us to even that out. And he was basically a 3 WS guy this year, so that translates to about 9% of the salary cap on the free agent market and that comes up to...just a touch under $14M per year for next year's salary cap. I mean, a contract like that is not really even a stretch given what fair market value looks like these days.
I do hope he likes it here, but "I love it here" in season exit interviews is the equivalent of "best shape of my life" five months from now.