ESPN Insider: Rookie report by Chad Ford

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Rookie report: The good, the bad and the solid
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Ford
By Chad Ford
ESPN.com
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I had Rondo ranked at the top point guard in the draft almost all year and thought he should be a top 10 pick. He became the steal of the draft when he fell into the Celtics' lap at No. 21 (via trade from Phoenix).

So far in the preseason, Rondo has played as well as, if not better than, Boston starting point guard Sebastian Telfair. Only time will tell whether Rondo will be able to beat out Telfair for the starting job, but the facts are in his favor: Rondo is a much better defender and rebounder, and he has played virtually mistake-free basketball so far.

If he can learn to consistently knock down the mid-range jumper, he's got a chance to be a star.

Tyrus Thomas, PF, Bulls
Thomas had the most upside of anyone in the draft, but I thought he was a year or two away from being an NBA contributor. However, his energy, shot-blocking and athleticism in the preseason indicate that he'll be a solid rotation player this season.

Marcus Williams, PG, New Jersey Nets
Williams took a shocking draft night nosedive but found the perfect home in New Jersey.

The Nets will try to limit Jason Kidd's minutes this season, and Williams has shown in the preseason and the summer league that he's ready to handle the team 15-to-20 minutes a night. He really should rack up the assists in Jersey.

The Solid

Andrea Bargnani, F, Raptors
GM Bryan Colangelo took a pretty big risk taking Bargnani No. 1, and so far the results have been inconclusive.

He's looked good in a few games, but lost in others. Right now he's spending most of his time on the perimeter. If he's going to be a star, he's eventually going to have to grab some rebounds and block some shots.

Randy Foye, SG, Timberwolves
Foye was awesome in the summer league, but his role in the preseason has been limited. Part of the reason is fit. With Mike James gunning away from the point guard position, they can't really play Foye a lot.

Second, Foye has been struggling with his shot and committing too many turnovers. It might take him a little longer to get going than we originally thought.

Shawne Williams, F, Pacers
I wasn't very high on the Pacers pick on draft night, but he's been very solid in preseason play. He won't get much run for the Pacers this year, but so far the word out of Indiana is that everyone's impressed.

Renaldo Balkman, F, Knicks
Isiah Thomas was blasted by me and just about everyone else on draft night for taking Balkman at No. 20. I still think it was the wrong move, given what the two guys taken directly after him (Rondo and Marcus Williams) have been doing.

But Balkman hasn't been the bust everyone expected, either. He's hustled, played good defense and brought some passion to the Knicks.

The Bad

Adam Morrison, F, Bobcats
Morrison looked good in the summer league, but he's struggled mightily with his shot in the preseason, shooting just 32 percent from the field. Considering he doesn't play much defense, grab rebounds or do much in the assist department, he'd better start making his shots.

The early word out of Bobcats camp is that the team likes him, but he's going to have make big adjustments to his college game to thrive in the pros.

Shelden Williams, F, Hawks
The Hawks reached big-time for Williams at No. 5. Yes, they needed rebounding and shotblocking, and Williams has provided some of that.

But his awful shooting percentage, combined with the stellar play of several players taken after him in the draft, continues to make this pick the shakiest one in the draft.

Kyle Lowry, PG, Grizzlies
I was a big fan of this pick for the Grizzlies on draft night and Lowry has shown the Grizzlies his trademark hustle and grittiness. But his high turnover rate and low shooting percentage make you wonder how much he'll play this year.

The Ugly

LaMarcus Aldridge, F, Blazers
Shoulder surgery has kept Aldridge out of the preseason and he'll likely miss the first month of the season. That's usually the kiss of death for rookies. Combine that with the solid play of Tyrus Thomas in the early going and you have to start wondering whether the Blazers made the right call on draft night.

Mouhamed Sene, C, Sonics
On draft night I said Sene had great talent but was years away. So far, his play in the preseason hasn't shown much of the talent, but has lended credence to the idea that he's years away.

J.J. Redick, SG, Magic
Back injuries, DWIs and then a foot injury in the summer have limited Redick's time on the court to just one preseason game. The summer and preseason are vital times for the development of rookies and it appears that Redick might end up missing the boat.

Quincy Douby, G, Kings
I thought this was a questionable pick for the Kings on draft night and I haven't seen anything from Douby to suggest the Kings made the right call here. With Mike Bibby out at least three weeks with a thumb injury, I'm sure Rondo and Marcus Williams are looking better and better to the Kings.

The Sleepers

Steve Novak, F, Rockets
Novak is pretty one-dimensional, but he's been a red-hot shooter in the preseason from just about anywhere on the floor. With Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady commanding double teams all year, this second-round pick could end up having a bigger year than Redick.

Alexander Johnson, F, Grizzlies
It's hard to understand why so many teams passed on Johnson late in the first round, and so far he's made them really second guess themselves with his solid play on both ends of the floor. With Gasol out for a while, he could be another sleeper who makes a surprising impact his rookie year.

Leon Powe, F, Celtics
It's doubtful that Powe will see much run on a stacked Celtics squad this year, but the C's have to be happy about his early play. The last few games he's been a force on the boards and in the paint. Powe has first-round talent. If the knee holds up, he could be a player down the road.

Chad Ford covers the NBA for ESPN Insider.

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I thought this article was kind of stupid (but thanks for posting), as with most of what Chad Ford writes. He shows amazing dedication to the guys he jocks -- he's been all over Rondo for more than a year, and to call him the steal of the draft after a few preseason games is ridiculous. There are definitely some guys who have looked good in preseason, but it's vintage Chad Ford to make premature pronouncements on who made the right picks. Check out how badly his draft grades have aged to see how poor his predictive powers are.
 
I'm never impressed with Chad Ford, but hey ... it was free.

;)

I was hoping the Kings would draft Rondo, however... I thought he would be really well-suited to the Kings style of play.
 
I'm never impressed with Chad Ford, but hey ... it was free.

;)

I was hoping the Kings would draft Rondo, however... I thought he would be really well-suited to the Kings style of play.

Well, you may be right. He had some good games in preseason. I was definitely a Douby fan going into the draft, and while he hasn't really gotten it together in preseason I like what I've seen -- his defense is good, he gets good separation on his shots and hopefully those shots will start falling. It's just too soon to know how good any of the draftees are going to be.
 
i am following in awe all the praise telfair is getting from the talking heads of basketball. the telfair i remember is worse than j-will, less fundamentals, more of a head-case. maybe he has substantially changed for the good, i don't know. but if rondo is only arguably better than telfair and ford is actually bending the reality for his agenda, then i don't think much of this rookie.

i thought ronnie brewer was also getting some props, even though i did not like his game one bit. it is interesting that chad ford does not mention him. also putting redick in the ugly category is as baseless as some college fans' hyping him to no end.
 
I thought this article was kind of stupid (but thanks for posting), as with most of what Chad Ford writes. He shows amazing dedication to the guys he jocks -- he's been all over Rondo for more than a year, and to call him the steal of the draft after a few preseason games is ridiculous.


I would agree with this -- Ford refuses to back off his jocking, and so once he's tagged a guy as "it" he will never miss an opportunity to twist, distort, or even flat out make up stuff to support his initial predictions 9whihc are often wrong).

Now all that said, two things:

1) Sebastian Telfair has looked very good in preseason -- like a new player. Shooting 50%, shooting 60% form three (!), and generally controlling action.

2) Rondo has looked very good in preseason. Just not as good as Telfair. Much better than Quincy obviously. But I agree its too early to tell much on that front.
 
Oh c'mon everybody knows that the 1st preseason of a guys career when he averages 10 minutes a game is truly enough to judge somebody on.
 
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